Originally Posted by
stbloc
I don't think 1500 rule will hold. Majors haven't even announce hiring and regional are starting to run thin on applicants. What will happen when majors start pulling pilots from the regional level? Delta will be on a steady pace of 500 new hires a year going forward along with US Air and others. At the pace of the major's projected numbers I feel you will see a shortage at the regional level. No way 1500 will hold up. If you think this spring was crazy you haven't see nothing yet.
I hate to say it but you're right. Unless the economy collapses even more dramatically than last time there are not going to be enough part 91/135 ATP's to keep the regionals in business once mainline hiring starts...even if there were, many of them would not work for regional wages!