I agree that many have no intention of ever coming back, but it does seems that the acceptance rate for the two June classes and the first July class seems to be higher than many had expected. Granted, it's a small sample to this point, but it does seem support the notion that a good number of furloughed guys and gals have NOT moved on to something better after all these years.
My personal guess is that the initial acceptance rate will be somewhere between 30 and 40 percent. If you throw in prior deferrals and the Eagle flow-throughs with seniority numbers at AA, it could very well be two years or more before we see anyone hired off the street. Can you imagine the career that some of those young "new-hires" will enjoy? How about for a 25 year old in the first "new-hire" class at AA in eleven or twelve years? It's all about timing!