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-   -   First to phase out (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/alaska/152560-first-phase-out.html)

PineappleXpres 03-31-2026 12:29 AM


Originally Posted by TTail (Post 4018372)
It's not a thing... But I'm guessing what he was talking about was the earliest date that either Amazon or Alaska could cancel the contract. I think it was around the end of this summer. There was talk that it was getting pushed back until after the holidays to allow stability for Amazon in exchange for a better deal with Alaska.

At least AZ is paying for the gas. Of course our finances have changed over all due to gas in Chester and Pualani

rickair7777 03-31-2026 06:43 AM

Rumor from plausible source (still just a rumor though)... the company is trying to get AZ to allow them to use 330F empty legs for company-branded freight, as a means of making it profitable. Would also need an additional 10+ planes to make it worthwhile.

MrBogardi 04-18-2026 10:29 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 4018450)
Rumor from plausible source (still just a rumor though)... the company is trying to get AZ to allow them to use 330F empty legs for company-branded freight, as a means of making it profitable. Would also need an additional 10+ planes to make it worthwhile.

That’s like asking McDonalds if you can cook burgers on their grill when they’re not using it. Doesn’t seem plausible to intermix non amazon cargo into that operation.

rickair7777 04-18-2026 11:16 AM


Originally Posted by MrBogardi (Post 4024940)
That’s like asking McDonalds if you can cook burgers on their grill when they’re not using it. Doesn’t seem plausible to intermix non amazon cargo into that operation.

That was my thought, but maybe on empty legs. How often does that happen?


MrBogardi 04-18-2026 11:22 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 4024953)
That was my thought, but maybe on empty legs. How often does that happen?

Not very often. The infrastructure isn’t suited for external cargo. Can’t imagine Amazon wanting to disrupt their distribution centers for one off cargo shipments. Especially only on empty flights that are irregular and unpredictable.

dexx 04-19-2026 06:02 PM


Originally Posted by MrBogardi (Post 4024954)
Not very often. The infrastructure isn’t suited for external cargo. Can’t imagine Amazon wanting to disrupt their distribution centers for one off cargo shipments. Especially only on empty flights that are irregular and unpredictable.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazo...110000823.html

PineappleXpres 04-19-2026 06:20 PM


Originally Posted by dexx (Post 4025329)

it says 2024.

MrBogardi 04-19-2026 07:00 PM


Originally Posted by dexx (Post 4025329)

This is different than what was originally said… Alaska freight on empty legs. This implies Amazon runs everything. Maybe Amazon could give AAG a container or two on some routes. We would need more information than an old freight waves article. Is there a website where you can buy this excess capacity? Did Amazon implement this plan? Lots of things are said and even make the news.. fewer things happen.

nick89 04-19-2026 07:10 PM

Honestly, its not that hard to put non amazon cargo with amazon cargo.



https://www.amazonaircargo.com/


rickair7777 04-19-2026 07:51 PM


Originally Posted by PineappleXpres (Post 4025337)
it says 2024.

I think his point was that AZ is on record as being flexible.

GoodJet 04-20-2026 08:46 AM

Pretty sure the prepared statement for the all pilot call today will shed some light on which fleet is phased out first. Of course you can catch it first on the earnings call.

Jetlikespeed 04-20-2026 11:37 AM


Originally Posted by GoodJet (Post 4025507)
Pretty sure the prepared statement for the all pilot call today will shed some light on which fleet is phased out first. Of course you can catch it first on the earnings call.

no earnings call is tomorow AM all pilot call is 3pm today

rickair7777 04-20-2026 11:53 AM


Originally Posted by GoodJet (Post 4025507)
Pretty sure the prepared statement for the all pilot call today will shed some light on which fleet is phased out first. Of course you can catch it first on the earnings call.


Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed (Post 4025573)
no earnings call is tomorow AM all pilot call is 3pm today

IIRC the Q1 results get published today after markets close, that has to happen before the earnings call.

If the timing and content of the pilot call has anything do with the Q1 report, the results will be published very shortly after 1300 PT, before the pilot call. SD/DM can't talk about material stuff if the investors haven't been told first... otherwise they'd have 4500 insider traders.

PineappleXpres 04-20-2026 01:48 PM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 4025579)
IIRC the Q1 results get published today after markets close, that has to happen before the earnings call.

If the timing and content of the pilot call has anything do with the Q1 report, the results will be published very shortly after 1300 PT, before the pilot call. SD/DM can't talk about material stuff if the investors haven't been told first... otherwise they'd have 4500 insider traders.

Fear messaging when all is well. Everything is fine when the house is on fire.

SD3FR8DOG 04-20-2026 03:05 PM

I guess it’s a race between the 717 and 330F.

Rama 04-20-2026 07:05 PM

At least we'll get a couple more years out of the freighters.

rickair7777 04-20-2026 07:58 PM


Originally Posted by PineappleXpres (Post 4025609)
Fear messaging when all is well. Everything is fine when the house is on fire.

Sounds like you've been in the airlines for a little while.

ShyGuy 04-20-2026 10:14 PM

Any updates from the CP call at 3pm? Missed it and I don’t see a replay posted.

Jetlikespeed 04-21-2026 07:43 AM


Originally Posted by ShyGuy (Post 4025773)
Any updates from the CP call at 3pm? Missed it and I don’t see a replay posted.

nothing burger no growth Q4 hiring if oil goes down (it won’t) so no hiring in 26

GoodJet 04-21-2026 08:06 AM


Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed (Post 4025865)
nothing burger no growth Q4 hiring if oil goes down (it won’t) so no hiring in 26

Oil has already gone from 120 to the 80s and the regional conflict isn't even over yet. I wouldn't be too pessimistic about energy costs long term. You'll either see the price spike and make a higher high or it will chop around and gradually get lower. No one can predict the future. You've got to let the trend confirm. So far we are chopping around and getting slowly lower. If oil is 150 in July I'll be very concerned.

PineappleXpres 04-21-2026 08:40 AM


Originally Posted by GoodJet (Post 4025878)
Oil has already gone from 120 to the 80s and the regional conflict isn't even over yet. I wouldn't be too pessimistic about energy costs long term. You'll either see the price spike and make a higher high or it will chop around and gradually get lower. No one can predict the future. You've got to let the trend confirm. So far we are chopping around and getting slowly lower. If oil is 150 in July I'll be very concerned.

Any mention of:

JCBA progress

717 life span

321 drawdown

330 fleet reduction

POG juice’s Future

or anything other than financials or the “bridge” with Amazon?

word302 04-21-2026 08:53 AM


Originally Posted by PineappleXpres (Post 4025896)
Any mention of:

JCBA progress

717 life span

321 drawdown

330 fleet reduction

POG juice’s Future

or anything other than financials or the “bridge” with Amazon?

Dave said he’d be surprised if the 717 wasn’t replaced in 2-3 years. He mentioned NGs and 319s as possibilities.

GoodJet 04-21-2026 09:10 AM


Originally Posted by PineappleXpres (Post 4025896)
Any mention of:

JCBA progress

717 life span

321 drawdown

330 fleet reduction

POG juice’s Future

or anything other than financials or the “bridge” with Amazon?

2 JCBA meetings in May

No 717 replacement mentioned

321 overstaffed

330 reduction not mentioned

I stopped listening part way through the pilots questions because the questions and answers really weren't all that insightful. Mainly I listened to the call because I was concerned that the rescheduling of the call to the same day as Q1 financials and prepared remarks mention in the email about the rescheduling, meant there was going to be a big announcement that couldn't be done before Q1 results were announced to the investors. Thankfully I was wrong about that and the call was mainly business as usual/nothing important.

AKFlyer25 04-21-2026 05:51 PM


Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed (Post 4025865)
nothing burger no growth Q4 hiring if oil goes down (it won’t) so no hiring in 26

Was this actually said or just conjecture? Curious as a CJO holder waiting for a class date. Obviously we (on the outside looking in) are holding our breath…

Hornetdrvr 04-21-2026 06:22 PM


Originally Posted by AKFlyer25 (Post 4026105)
Was this actually said or just conjecture? Curious as a CJO holder waiting for a class date. Obviously we (on the outside looking in) are holding our breath…

Probably just speculation, but I’d guess he’s right. I’m sure I’m not the first to tell you this, and I definitely won’t be the last—don’t wait on us. You’d likely be much better off joining another legacy carrier.

GoodJet 04-21-2026 06:32 PM


Originally Posted by AKFlyer25 (Post 4026105)
Was this actually said or just conjecture? Curious as a CJO holder waiting for a class date. Obviously we (on the outside looking in) are holding our breath…

This was said in the context of oil prices. They mentioned that if energy prices decreased hiring could continue in Q4. Personally I think energy prices will decrease this summer.

I think that hiring is largely dependent on the MAX 10 not oil prices. If you start seeing news about a MAX 10 certification delay you shouldn’t hold your breath on being called in for a class date. Even if oil is at $40.

tzskipper1 04-22-2026 11:56 AM


Originally Posted by GoodJet (Post 4026121)
This was said in the context of oil prices. They mentioned that if energy prices decreased hiring could continue in Q4. Personally I think energy prices will decrease this summer.

I think that hiring is largely dependent on the MAX 10 not oil prices. If you start seeing news about a MAX 10 certification delay you shouldn’t hold your breath on being called in for a class date. Even if oil is at $40.

Boeing said today that certification will be this year; deliveries beginning 2027.

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/22/boei...-earnings.html

S

GoodJet 04-22-2026 12:46 PM


Originally Posted by tzskipper1 (Post 4026386)
Boeing said today that certification will be this year; deliveries beginning 2027.

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/22/boei...-earnings.html

S

They have said the same thing every year for the past 3 or 4 years. 😆 I get a lot of hate for pointing that out but it needs to be said. Pretty often since you guys keep falling for it.

tzskipper1 04-22-2026 02:18 PM


Originally Posted by GoodJet (Post 4026410)
They have said the same thing every year for the past 3 or 4 years. 😆 I get a lot of hate for pointing that out but it needs to be said. Pretty often since you guys keep falling for it.

"You guys"? I just posted what was said on CNBC today.... I didn't plant a stake in either side of the argument.

S

GoodJet 04-22-2026 03:40 PM


Originally Posted by tzskipper1 (Post 4026454)
"You guys"? I just posted what was said on CNBC today.... I didn't plant a stake in either side of the argument.

S

“This time will be different”

I’d wait for them to actually certify the aircraft before I start jumping ahead to the next step or 3. But hey you do you.

Also I’m not arguing. I’m pointing to a 4 year trend of revising delivery numbers to zero for the following year by Q3 and not certifying the aircraft for over 4 years.

But yeah CNBC usually gets the scoop about aviation so you’re golden my dude. Come on now say the AS pilots favorite saying: “this time will be different”😆

Jetlikespeed 04-22-2026 04:12 PM


Originally Posted by GoodJet (Post 4026480)
“This time will be different”

I’d wait for them to actually certify the aircraft before I start jumping ahead to the next step or 3. But hey you do you.

Also I’m not arguing. I’m pointing to a 4 year trend of revising delivery numbers to zero for the following year by Q3 and not certifying the aircraft for over 4 years.

But yeah CNBC usually gets the scoop about aviation so you’re golden my dude. Come on now say the AS pilots favorite saying: “this time will be different”😆

im too deep in brain rot I read the S as sarcasm but in true internet culture /s is sarcasm so I think the S is him signing off as Skipper

GoodJet 04-22-2026 06:18 PM


Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed (Post 4026498)
im too deep in brain rot I read the S as sarcasm but in true internet culture /s is sarcasm so I think the S is him signing off as Skipper

I read it as an initial but I’d have a lot more faith in my peers if they have learned to follow a trend. Hopefully it was sarcasm.


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