Retirements by Fleet 737 v 320
10-21-2022, 06:53 AM
#2
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Joined APC: Oct 2013
Posts: 1,052
Originally Posted by ooglemcdoogle
What are the projected pilot retirements by fleet type (73 vs Airbus) over the next couple years?
Moral of the story: It won't matter for planning purposes.
10-21-2022, 07:14 AM
#3
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Joined APC: Oct 2005
Position: B-737 Pilot
Posts: 1,617
Originally Posted by ooglemcdoogle
What are the projected pilot retirements by fleet type (73 vs Airbus) over the next couple years?
10-21-2022, 07:22 AM
#4
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Joined APC: Dec 2021
Posts: 199
Originally Posted by B757200ER
We're losing... 50% of the seniority list in the next 5 years.
10-21-2022, 09:32 AM
#5
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Joined APC: Mar 2021
Posts: 1,491
Also very hard to predict because you have pilots going back and forth between NB and WB flying. You may have a WB FO coming into a NB CA slot. You may have a NB CA go to WB CA, or they may choose to stay for better relative seniority. Heck, I recently flew with a NB CA who was a WB FO. Hated the QOL so much as a NB CA that they are going back to be a WB FO.
10-21-2022, 10:04 AM
#6
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Joined APC: Dec 2019
Posts: 1,876
There are a lot of bogus retirement projections floating around. Almost like AA recruiting is planting it since it would be the main carrot to attract new hires and retain them.
According to crew age by fleet with unknown time of update:
Airbus CA 60+ = 1055
737 CA 60+ = 789
According to crew age by fleet with unknown time of update:
Airbus CA 60+ = 1055
737 CA 60+ = 789
10-21-2022, 02:39 PM
#8
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Joined APC: Jun 2018
Position: 757/767
Posts: 537
Originally Posted by B757200ER
We're losing 2.5 pilots to retirement per day, and 50% of the seniority list in the next 5 years. Whatever numbers reflect your original question, it will be almost identical.
10-21-2022, 03:29 PM
#9
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Joined APC: Oct 2017
Posts: 428
Originally Posted by AAL24
Where did you hear that? We currently have roughly 3,512 pilots who are between 60-65 years old. Not even close to 50% hitting 65 over the next 5 years.
7500 pilots gone in 5 years fast? No. But industry leading (neck and neck with United) none the less.
10-21-2022, 03:54 PM
#10
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Joined APC: Jan 2022
Posts: 192
Originally Posted by B757200ER
We're losing 2.5 pilots to retirement per day, and 50% of the seniority list in the next 5 years. Whatever numbers reflect your original question, it will be almost identical.
Retirements:
2023 - 712
2024 - 802
2025 - 865
2026 - 868
2027 - 763
That is 4000 in 5 years. It is a LOT of retirements, but not 50%.
To actually retire 50% of the list as compared to right now, that will happen in mid 2033. So 10 years.
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