Pilot Shortage?
#32
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2019
Posts: 307
Out of curiosity I researched how many people die in the USA annually... the last stats were published for 2017 by the CDC saying 2.8 million Americans died that year.
The media loves saying “200,000 people died” as if that’s a big deal. In reality most of those people were going to die anyways.
It will be interesting to see if we even have an overall increase in death rate for 2020 once this is all said and done
The media loves saying “200,000 people died” as if that’s a big deal. In reality most of those people were going to die anyways.
It will be interesting to see if we even have an overall increase in death rate for 2020 once this is all said and done
#33
Out of curiosity I researched how many people die in the USA annually... the last stats were published for 2017 by the CDC saying 2.8 million Americans died that year.
The media loves saying “200,000 people died” as if that’s a big deal. In reality most of those people were going to die anyways.
It will be interesting to see if we even have an overall increase in death rate for 2020 once this is all said and done
The media loves saying “200,000 people died” as if that’s a big deal. In reality most of those people were going to die anyways.
It will be interesting to see if we even have an overall increase in death rate for 2020 once this is all said and done
But the folks having hysterics over this are people who have limited intellectual capacity with regards to big numbers, or are just willfully ignorant.
If hospitals have capacity, then everyone should be allowed to make their own choices. I grudgingly gave them benefit of the doubt for a couple weeks to get the medical capacity under control.
#35
I think it’s 2.8 million per year. According to the CDC “excess deaths” are back close to the normal trend line in September. Over at the Europe numbers thread.
https://ibb.co/k2k9Jy1
https://ibb.co/k2k9Jy1
#36
That makes the covid more significant, but still in the grand scheme not too far out of the influenza statistical ballpark.
#37
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2019
Posts: 307
Of the 200,000 deaths the CDC said 96% had underlying conditions.
So if 96% were going to die anyways from something other than COVID, that leaves 12,000 Americans dead from the virus.
When you have over 2.8 million Americans dying during a typical year I do not believe 12,000 deaths is going to be very noticeable in any overall trend.
The president comes out and told us not to be afraid of the virus or base our lives around it. He’s giving us great advice.
In 2018 48,344 Americans died from suicide.
It isn’t hard to imagine more than 12,000 people dying from suicide due to the implications of losing their jobs, ability to socialize or have access to places of comfort like gyms or churches. The reaction to the virus is likely to be more deadly than the virus itself.
I’m becoming more and more convinced that the news is hyping this up to try to keep our economy bogged down until after the election.
Im still optimistic that things can bounce back pretty quickly to the way the were if the election gives us a favorable result
So if 96% were going to die anyways from something other than COVID, that leaves 12,000 Americans dead from the virus.
When you have over 2.8 million Americans dying during a typical year I do not believe 12,000 deaths is going to be very noticeable in any overall trend.
The president comes out and told us not to be afraid of the virus or base our lives around it. He’s giving us great advice.
In 2018 48,344 Americans died from suicide.
It isn’t hard to imagine more than 12,000 people dying from suicide due to the implications of losing their jobs, ability to socialize or have access to places of comfort like gyms or churches. The reaction to the virus is likely to be more deadly than the virus itself.
I’m becoming more and more convinced that the news is hyping this up to try to keep our economy bogged down until after the election.
Im still optimistic that things can bounce back pretty quickly to the way the were if the election gives us a favorable result
#38
In 2018 48,344 Americans died from suicide.
It isn’t hard to imagine more than 12,000 people dying from suicide due to the implications of losing their jobs, ability to socialize or have access to places of comfort like gyms or churches. The reaction to the virus is likely to be more deadly than the virus itself.
It isn’t hard to imagine more than 12,000 people dying from suicide due to the implications of losing their jobs, ability to socialize or have access to places of comfort like gyms or churches. The reaction to the virus is likely to be more deadly than the virus itself.
#39
Traditionally public health did not use death numbers as a primary metric because in the end EVERYBODY DIES. They use a metric of years of potential life lost (YPLL),
The rationale is that resources spent to save a 16 year old - who has a life expectancy of another 64 years - are better spent than the same resources being spent on an 80 year old who has a life expectancy of maybe 84 years.
By that metric, the Spanish Flu, which disproportionately affected Young healthy twenty and thirty-something’s, was far more serious than COVID - 19, which disproportionately affects people living in nursing homes and long term care facility residents
The rationale is that resources spent to save a 16 year old - who has a life expectancy of another 64 years - are better spent than the same resources being spent on an 80 year old who has a life expectancy of maybe 84 years.
By that metric, the Spanish Flu, which disproportionately affected Young healthy twenty and thirty-something’s, was far more serious than COVID - 19, which disproportionately affects people living in nursing homes and long term care facility residents
Last edited by Excargodog; 10-09-2020 at 07:45 AM.
#40
Line Holder
Joined APC: Aug 2020
Posts: 28
You can't even get an ATP until you're 23. Nobody knows what the industry will look like in a year, let alone five. Learn from this event and decide if you really want to fly for a living. This will not be the only catastrophic event to happen. They tend to happen every 10 years or so.
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