How it Might Go Initially
#21
Not that we should believe every word out of Kirbys mouth, but he said that a pilot furlough to match a 30% reduction in demand would take 3-5 years to logistically and financially recover from, by the time people are trained for displacements, then retrained and back on line. Yes, people compare this to 9/11 and 2008 saying it’s worse than both combined. But that’s mostly due to the fact that people are locked indoors and can’t go to work. But they actually want to go to work. In most cases their jobs will be waiting for them the minute they’re told it’s safe to do so. People want to fly. We’ve seen the biggest bounces and surges the markets ever seen. Trial treatments are doing well. A vaccine is likely a year away... Do we REALLY see ourselves taking 4 years (split the difference) to get back to normal? I think the biggest indicator of how fast we spring back will be how many of these small business cut their loses and don't even open their doors back up. I’ll bet there will be quite a few, but most are eager to get back in business and making money again.
I read somewhere that Emirates is already doing this. People will not fly until they feel is safe to.
if we can somehow mass test everyone before we go through security/known it would be a great start, but it will take time to come up with all the test kits and procedures. Hopefully in the next few months as this would also help the airlines bounce back instead of crawl?
thoughts?
#22
testing will be key to making people feel “safe” to fly until a vaccine or better treatment is discovered.
I read somewhere that Emirates is already doing this. People will not fly until they feel is safe to.
if we can somehow mass test everyone before we go through security/known it would be a great start, but it will take time to come up with all the test kits and procedures. Hopefully in the next few months as this would also help the airlines bounce back instead of crawl?
thoughts?
I read somewhere that Emirates is already doing this. People will not fly until they feel is safe to.
if we can somehow mass test everyone before we go through security/known it would be a great start, but it will take time to come up with all the test kits and procedures. Hopefully in the next few months as this would also help the airlines bounce back instead of crawl?
thoughts?
#23
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2019
Posts: 472
Regardless of concern Prices will come down (and fear will be priced in), planes will fill, airlines will take a hit......
#24
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2020
Posts: 215
Have you seen some of the fares floating around now? It's not driving higher load factors. No one will get in a tube with two hundred people for hours on end until they know they are safe. That will take a vaccine or at the very least, a readily available therapeutic.
#25
You conveniently left out people are ordered to stay home. Otherwise more people would be flying now.
#26
People have short memories.. as soon as the scare numbers aren't newsworthy combined with cheap fares, people will travel using credit cards.. maybe not to pre CV numbers for a while
#27
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2020
Posts: 215
#28
Yep. Same argument post 9/11 was used. People are never going to fly again and teleconferencing was the future. There was never going to be another face to face business meeting. It was to be an airline killer.
#29
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2020
Posts: 215
The public attention span of a gnat. There probably will be some enticements to get people back on planes after a medical solution.
#30
And load factors will rise after these order are removed. There is way more info available about the virus now that was not known at that time. People are realizing that they were hoodwinked. It's turning out to be more like the average flu season the a population ending event.
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