Sweden herd immunity
04-23-2020, 02:35 AM
#1
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Sweden herd immunity
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/22/no-l...-in-weeks.html
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01098-x
Sweden may have herd immunity in a few weeks time
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01098-x
Sweden may have herd immunity in a few weeks time
04-23-2020, 03:27 AM
#2
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Originally Posted by OVC010CB
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/22/no-l...-in-weeks.html
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01098-x
Sweden may have herd immunity in a few weeks time
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01098-x
Sweden may have herd immunity in a few weeks time
USA as of yesterday: 47,659 deaths....144/million....10th highest rate in world
04-23-2020, 09:11 AM
#3
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Originally Posted by MaxQ
Sweden as of yesterday: 1,937 deaths...192/million.....7th highest rate worldwide
USA as of yesterday: 47,659 deaths....144/million....10th highest rate in world
USA as of yesterday: 47,659 deaths....144/million....10th highest rate in world
That’s a violation of epidemiology 101. You can’t even use stats for trend analysis if you are repeatedly changing baselines and case definitions.
04-23-2020, 09:22 AM
#4
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Originally Posted by MaxQ
Sweden as of yesterday: 1,937 deaths...192/million.....7th highest rate worldwide
USA as of yesterday: 47,659 deaths....144/million....10th highest rate in world
USA as of yesterday: 47,659 deaths....144/million....10th highest rate in world
You'd expect Sweden to have a slightly higher death rate given than they are not trying to flatten the curve. This has the effect of shortening the life of the virus...vice trying to flatten it like the US is doing...which actually prolongs it. I think we (the US) was trying to flatten it to try to make sure the hospitals were not overwhelmed....it would never reduce the death toll or make sure people dont get it.....unless complete isolation...which is not reality.
04-23-2020, 09:28 AM
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Originally Posted by MiLtoMajor123
You'd expect Sweden to have a slightly higher death rate given than they are not trying to flatten the curve. This has the effect of shortening the life of the virus...vice trying to flatten it like the US is doing...which actually prolongs it. I think we (the US) was trying to flatten it to try to make sure the hospitals were not overwhelmed....it would never reduce the death toll or make sure people dont get it.....unless complete isolation...which is not reality.
04-23-2020, 09:41 AM
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Originally Posted by Simpsons
Hospitals being overwhelmed would have raised the death toll. That’s what it was all about
I think Sweden includes COVID-19 deaths from hospitals and from nursing homes. I don't think every country does that.
04-23-2020, 09:51 AM
#7
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
Run that through a chi square and you’ll find no meaningful statistical difference there. Let alone the fact that we are retrospectively changing the cause of death to anyone who MIGHT have died with coronavirus to coronavirus.
That’s a violation of epidemiology 101. You can’t even use stats for trend analysis if you are repeatedly changing baselines and case definitions.
That’s a violation of epidemiology 101. You can’t even use stats for trend analysis if you are repeatedly changing baselines and case definitions.
04-23-2020, 09:59 AM
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
Run that through a chi square and you’ll find no meaningful statistical difference there. Let alone the fact that we are retrospectively changing the cause of death to anyone who MIGHT have died with coronavirus to coronavirus.
That’s a violation of epidemiology 101. You can’t even use stats for trend analysis if you are repeatedly changing baselines and case definitions.
That’s a violation of epidemiology 101. You can’t even use stats for trend analysis if you are repeatedly changing baselines and case definitions.
For what it’s worth, NYC Health website lists Coronas deaths as confirmed and probable. I have noticed that only the confirmed number shows up in the CDC stats.
04-23-2020, 10:10 AM
#9
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Originally Posted by MiLtoMajor123
You'd expect Sweden to have a slightly higher death rate given than they are not trying to flatten the curve. This has the effect of shortening the life of the virus...vice trying to flatten it like the US is doing...which actually prolongs it. I think we (the US) was trying to flatten it to try to make sure the hospitals were not overwhelmed....it would never reduce the death toll or make sure people dont get it.....unless complete isolation...which is not reality.
https://www.google.com/search?biw=12...4dUDCAw&uact=5
Sweden's new infecitons are not slowing down, as of 22 April:
https://www.worldometers.info/corona...ountry/sweden/
04-23-2020, 10:17 AM
#10
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
Run that through a chi square and you’ll find no meaningful statistical difference there. Let alone the fact that we are retrospectively changing the cause of death to anyone who MIGHT have died with coronavirus to coronavirus.
That’s a violation of epidemiology 101. You can’t even use stats for trend analysis if you are repeatedly changing baselines and case definitions.
That’s a violation of epidemiology 101. You can’t even use stats for trend analysis if you are repeatedly changing baselines and case definitions.
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