I think if anything, you understate things a bit so I'll add two points:
- Week over week increase averaging about 25%.
- Screening count for 5/9 growth accelerated relative to week prior

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/...99a9c0e4_c.jpg

Agree. Growth rate seems to be stabilizing at about 25% week over week. That would suggest about 212k tomorrow wouldn't be unreasonable. A more conservative approach looking at the last five weeks of data would suggest 190k, but the growth rate was accelerating during that time so it is likely not as accurate. Either is a guess, as both are simple mathematical approaches and don't take into account a variety of factors external to the data set.

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/...99a9c0e4_c.jpg

You forgot #justiceforjessie

its Jussie.

200k today, so spot on right in the middle!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

And it was Mother’s Day, usually less people travel because they are already when they needed to be.

Something fascinating about the pax numbers is that they mirror the rise and fall pattern from the date one year prior incredibly well. Almost like clock work, you can expect a drop in numbers for every Tuesday and Saturday, the slowest travel days, and then a strong Sunday and Friday, with Mondays a little less than Sunday, and Wednesday thru Friday showing a climb, just to fall again on Saturday and start all over. Even the approximate scale of the rise and fall right now amidst the current environment is very similar to what it would normally be.

Never the less, I'm cautiously optimistic about the growth. We need business travelers back ASAP, along with the big tourist hot spots to get going.

Just read something about Disney taking reservations for July. That is a good start. Cruises are taking reservations for late summer.

We need the islands to open up.

So if TSA traffic increases 5 times from it's current level by Oct 1st, we'll still only be at 40 - 50% capacity we were before COVID? This is not looking good at all IRT furloughs.

except it’s compound interest. 20% per week x 20 weeks is 120% ^20 or about 3800%. Of course the rate of increase will slow before then as the numbers get bigger, and international flying may be depressed even longer. Narrow body domestic flying is going to be OK by summer’s end if the current rate of recovery continues, not great certainly, but OK.

https://i.ibb.co/fH58DPc/7-D2-A9-ADB...01-F109-A0.jpg