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Originally Posted by CantTaxiToACS
(Post 3089782)
Full lockdown or let it rip. These “model” countries will soon have their own upticks as they travel between, COVID is easily transmitted.
Honestly, the biggest challenge is the complete lack of any sense of national solidarity. This is a collective problem that requires a collective effort, but right now our collective wants to tear itself apart. |
Originally Posted by furloughfuntime
(Post 3089759)
Denial hasn't gotten us anywhere. We need to confront the problem, and it will go away more quickly if people would just work together. Instead, mask wearing has become a controversial and politicized issue. We could have moved on from this by now
No, probably not. We have a vaccine for influenza. Only about two-thirds of kids get it and barely More than half of Adults. Optimum use of the HPV vaccination could save 30,000 people from getting cancer a year, but immunization rates For the two shot series are less than 50%. In fact, MOST adult immunization rates for tetanus, diphtheria, or pertussis are just about 50%. And we only do that well because immunizations are required for school and college entry and the military immunized for everything. But even in the military, where you could give an order backed up by an Article 15 or worse, it was a constant battle (no pun intended) to keep troops up on their immunizations, particularly the annual influenza, People are people. Unless we draft everybody, the compliance is not going to be there - especially for young people at minimal personal risk. |
Originally Posted by Excargodog
(Post 3089787)
No, probably not. We have a vaccine for influenza. Only about two-thirds of kids get it and barely More than half of Adults. Optimum use of the HPV vaccination could save 30,000 people from getting cancer a year, but immunization rates For the two shot series are less than 50%. In fact, MOST adult immunization rates for tetanus, diphtheria, or pertussis are just about 50%.
And we only do that well because immunizations are required for school and college entry and the military immunized for everything. But even in the military, where you could give an order backed up by an Article 15 or worse, it was a constant battle (no pun intended) to keep troops up on their immunizations, particularly the annual influenza, People are people. Unless we draft everybody, the compliance is not going to be there - especially for young people at minimal personal risk. People aren’t changing, they don’t perceive a danger and aren’t going along with the mask police. The whole self-quarantine idea is madness. We’ll get to 200,000 excess deaths soon enough |
Maybe if we had let the virus steamroll through our country like in places such as England and Italy, we could be all high and mighty too while conveniently forgetting a month of incredible case and death numbers.
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Originally Posted by WutFace
(Post 3089784)
And you seem to have forgotten the conversation we had earlier. We're stalling until the vaccine. Dr. Fauci has been reporting that several vaccine candidates are looking good for a late 2020 approval and an early 2021 rollout.
Wouldn't it be a shame if we did nothing, hundreds of thousands more died, and then a solid vaccine comes through 8 months later? Also, I’d wager the opposite just for conversation sake. Wouldn't it be a shame if we did all this, hundreds of millions of lives upended, and then a solid vaccine never comes through? And now, we have remdesivir, dexamethosone, masks, possibly the tuberculosis vaccine to help. Why do we have to go on with the same lockdown we had in April? We don’t really have to make the wager anymore. I’d also argue that the amount of contact we all have by being forced into common stores like Walmart’s all summer and visiting family more often is no different than if we just go back to watching baseball games in stadiums. At least that way some folks won’t be up all night worrying about unemployment running out. Anywho, I’ve side tracked the thread. I don’t think the European countries will be so high and mighty soon enough. |
Originally Posted by CantTaxiToACS
(Post 3089813)
I know what you mean but I haven’t forgotten, I just didn’t include it in the post because I made it too long to begin with. But I go back and forth on it, also can we even hold out until 2021? Is that possible?
Also, I’d wager the opposite just for conversation sake. Wouldn't it be a shame if we did all this, hundreds of millions of lives upended, and then a solid vaccine never comes through? That eradication took 180 years, and was completed in 1980. Mass immunization programs, even in the era before anti-vaxxers, aren’t cheap, they aren’t easy, and they aren’t quick. https://i.ibb.co/3mDGnvq/69-ED27-EC-...C83-E1-F48.jpg |
Originally Posted by CantTaxiToACS
(Post 3089813)
I know what you mean but I haven’t forgotten, I just didn’t include it in the post because I made it too long to begin with. But I go back and forth on it, also can we even hold out until 2021? Is that possible?
Also, I’d wager the opposite just for conversation sake. Wouldn't it be a shame if we did all this, hundreds of millions of lives upended, and then a solid vaccine never comes through? And now, we have remdesivir, dexamethosone, masks, possibly the tuberculosis vaccine to help. Why do we have to go on with the same lockdown we had in April? We don’t really have to make the wager anymore. I’d also argue that the amount of contact we all have by being forced into common stores like Walmart’s all summer and visiting family more often is no different than if we just go back to watching baseball games in stadiums. At least that way some folks won’t be up all night worrying about unemployment running out. Anywho, I’ve side tracked the thread. I don’t think the European countries will be so high and mighty soon enough. |
Originally Posted by Excargodog
(Post 3089819)
So far, we have eradicated one (1) viral pandemic pathogen by vaccination. That was smallpox, for which we had an exceedingly cheap and effective attenuated virus vaccine good for at least ten years of immunity And partial immunity out to 25 years after inoculation.
That eradication took 180 years, and was completed in 1980. Mass immunization programs, even in the era before anti-vaxxers, aren’t cheap, they aren’t easy, and they aren’t quick. https://i.ibb.co/3mDGnvq/69-ED27-EC-...C83-E1-F48.jpg (not directed at you) |
Originally Posted by contrails12
(Post 3089881)
wait, the WHO was instrumental in eradicating small pox? I thought they were just a propaganda arm of the Chinese
(not directed at you) (And that IS directed at you, and all the others who have not addressed the issue of how difficult a mass immunization program is just logistically, Even without the active resistance of the anti-vaxxers which we certainly will face thanks to that never to be sufficiently damned and now retracted Lancet article, even assuming we eventually DO get an effective COVID -19 vaccine) |
Originally Posted by Excargodog
(Post 3089923)
Naw. The Communist Chinese hadn’t been AROUND for that 180 years, only the last 30 or so of it. More to the point, the USSR wasn’t either but it was around for about 60 years of that time, and even when Cold War enemies combined forces and resources to go after smallpox (which had a case fatality rate of about 35%, that is 35%, over one in three, not the 3.6% that WHO was originally touting for coronavirus or the 0.4% that it appears to actually have) and yet it STILL TOOK 180 years despite a near universal consensus that smallpox had to go and an attenuated virus vaccine that was cheap and effective and basically grew itself.
(And that IS directed at you, and all the others who have not addressed the issue of how difficult a mass immunization program is just logistically, Even without the active resistance of the anti-vaxxers which we certainly will face thanks to that never to be sufficiently damned and now retracted Lancet article, even assuming we eventually DO get an effective COVID -19 vaccine) Right but the world has a plan B suppression. The EU is doing ok. It buys time for treatments denies the virus more host to mutate in and keeps the hospital open. That said we lacked discipline to watch tv for six weeks. I actually had someone tell me the other day mask were communist. I was speechless. Look imho with this spike reservations will soften again and everyone will furlough. We should have taken the heavier pain in March. To use a medical analogy the EU did a knee replacement and it hurt bad. The US used some ice and rest and now it hurts worse and the pain will be spread out. |
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