![]() |
Originally Posted by Trip7
(Post 3424009)
Just an interesting observation, the forum has morphed from we want more Widebodies to, we want more Pacific WB flying because it's 4 man as if the rest of WB flying doesn't count. Eerily similar to how the 765 all of a sudden wasnt a "real WB" when new hires started being assigned the plane. Pilots are a fickle bunch. [emoji23]
Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk |
Originally Posted by DALFA
(Post 3423976)
What were the financial results for DAL in 2019? What did the balance sheet look like? (3 years ago)
What are the financial results forecast for 2022? What's the balance sheet look like? Surely you can understand how the negotiating environment was much more favorable in 2019 than what it is now. No?
Originally Posted by Trip7
(Post 3424009)
Just an interesting observation, the forum has morphed from we want more Widebodies to, we want more Pacific WB flying because it's 4 man as if the rest of WB flying doesn't count. Eerily similar to how the 765 all of a sudden wasnt a "real WB" when new hires started being assigned the plane. Pilots are a fickle bunch. [emoji23]
Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk |
Originally Posted by Trip7
(Post 3423993)
China is a freight training running down hill at the USA and there is nothing stopping it. China will be the biggest economy in the world here shortly. Once they get over their idiotic zero COVID stance and open up to the world again their economy will be back at full speed. Nearly every thing of substance in the USA, is made in China. Where would the US's largest company, Apple, be without China? They're aren't going to make all those iPhones in Vietnam
Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk I could have a lengthy geopolitical debate, but now is not the time or place. China is in China’s way. A single party/authoritarian system always fails. China is on the way out. |
Originally Posted by Gunfighter
(Post 3424020)
Outside of profit sharing, financial results are the owner's (shareholder's) problem. Employee wages are an expense that is subject to inflation just like jet fuel and gate rental.
One hour of pacific = 2 captain hours. One hour of Atlantic is 1 captain hour. Scope is about protecting pilot jobs at Delta Air Lines. Giving away an hour of 4 pilot ops for an hour of 3 pilot ops is a HUGE loss if the agreement is written that way. We need the final language before getting too deep into debating the merits of scope. I'm all for having flexibility in fleet deployment that helps maximize profits as long as it protects Delta Captain jobs in the process. |
Originally Posted by CBreezy
(Post 3424014)
You can't please some of these guys. If we had more Asian WB then it would be "not enough Vietnam WB.
|
I wonder who directly was negotiating this opposite our NC?
|
Originally Posted by Trip7
(Post 3424009)
Just an interesting observation, the forum has morphed from we want more Widebodies to, we want more Pacific WB flying because it's 4 man as if the rest of WB flying doesn't count. Eerily similar to how the 765 all of a sudden wasnt a "real WB" when new hires started being assigned the plane. Pilots are a fickle bunch. [emoji23]
Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk lets see what the language says before we start getting too excited one way or another. |
Originally Posted by Gunfighter
(Post 3424020)
Outside of profit sharing, financial results are the owner's (shareholder's) problem. Employee wages are an expense that is subject to inflation just like jet fuel and gate rental.
|
Originally Posted by CBreezy
(Post 3423977)
Every day they wait, the retro check gets larger. Every day they wait and our partners sign deals, candidates choose them. Every day they wait, it's harder and harder to get LCA to sign up.
|
Originally Posted by CBreezy
(Post 3424014)
You can't please some of these guys. If we had more Asian WB then it would be "not enough Vietnam WB.
|
The devil is always in the details. It’s not unwise to reserve judgment until we’ve seen them.
|
Originally Posted by Nantonaku
(Post 3424060)
despite the people on here working against their own best interests.
|
Originally Posted by Nantonaku
(Post 3424060)
He did come here right on queue pumping this thing like it is the best thing since sliced bread and no one even knows what's in it. Sorry if some of us are hard to please when it comes to protecting our own jobs despite the people on here working against their own best interests.
|
Originally Posted by Nantonaku
(Post 3424060)
He did come here right on queue pumping this thing like it is the best thing since sliced bread and no one even knows what's in it. Sorry if some of us are hard to please when it comes to protecting our own jobs despite the people on here working against their own best interests.
Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk |
Originally Posted by crazyjaydawg
(Post 3423816)
I agree with what you’re saying. I’m unknown, but all this news tells me is that this better be a damn good deal for me to vote yes outside of section 6. If it’s just OK or a kinda good deal, then I say roll it into the whole shebang.
As an aside, since when did “AIPs” become so significant? I remember thinking that TAs were the things worth talking about. An AIP is worth about as much as an Elon Musk tweet at 2am. But honestly, we need to stop arguing and wait to see the language. THEN we argue the merits or pitfalls. THEN we vote. |
“Yeah, some of them called me out, what should I say? Mention the Chairman’s letter? ok I’ll try that.”
|
Originally Posted by boog123
(Post 3424116)
“Yeah, some of them called me out, what should I say? Mention the Chairman’s letter? ok I’ll try that.”
|
Originally Posted by CBreezy
(Post 3424014)
You can't please some of these guys. If we had more Asian WB then it would be "not enough Vietnam WB.
Without actual language trip can’t claim a slam dunk just the same as no one else can claim a clear loss. We’ve got to wait on the actual agreement to decide. |
Originally Posted by theUpsideDown
(Post 3423792)
Again, hes just re explaining his worldview. If you ask why hes so optimistic hes just going to tell you why hes optimistic. He believes being optimistic is how you get to be successful, another derivative of magic thinking like youre rich because god loves you so if god loves you will be rich. Theres no substance there, just optimism.
Wait for the language. |
Has anyone read the current Section 1 lately?
It might be enlightening, and helpful when making a decision on how to vote. |
Originally Posted by First Break
(Post 3424245)
Has anyone read the current Section 1 lately?
It might be enlightening, and helpful when making a decision on how to vote. |
Originally Posted by MJP27
(Post 3424269)
Nah, they're too busy on here pontificating about a Global Scope AIP that they haven't even seen the language for .....;)
|
Originally Posted by First Break
(Post 3424245)
Has anyone read the current Section 1 lately?
It might be enlightening, and helpful when making a decision on how to vote. A majority of the current language is based on capturing Delta pilots' share of the company's commercial agreements with partners. Each separate Joint Venture has our share, based on the amount of flying the company expected to perform. Sections 1 E 2., and 8. act as major "catch-alls" in case the company fails to negotiate a JV scope section with ALPA. AeroMexico serves as an example of 1 E. 2. coming into play. 1 E. 2. requires that if more than 40% of the seats in a market are sold as (in this example) DL seats then the flight must be flown by a Delta pilot. Our current scope ties the pilots to the company's cash flows and commercial agreements. The result is easy to explain on an excel spreadsheet, but more difficult to write in plain language. The PROBLEM our current Scope Section has is that the company's commercial agreements are not functioning normally as a result of COVID. The international route network, partner flying and our flying, are a mess. The company has asserted "force majure" allowing them to escape compliance for now. As things are rebuilt we could take several paths. One would be to modify the existing language to capture the new agreements the company builds with partners around the world. The complexity of this task requires a highly functional team of managers and ALPA negotiators, experienced and trained on what currently exists, to fix it. Today's ALPA Reps are several generations removed from that work. So a new generation of managers and ALPA reps have set out to make a much simpler scope section. The genesis of this new language was >>MANAGEMENT's DEFENSE<< to prior scope violations (which were settled in our favor for $30,000,000.00). This is confusing because ALPA's new Reps have bought into management's idea and now proclaim it as their own product. The sides were as follows back in 2012-15:
The hang-up on giving management what management wanted was that management really did not want a penalty that cost them anything for noncompliance and pilots rightfully figured the RLA is stacked against us. This was resolved with some sort of staffing formula. Here we are. The thing everyone has to remember is these are a balance. Half of 10 is 5. Half of 2 is one. When the entire planet shuts down for COVID (SARS, speculative home buying, speculative oil contract purchases, whatever ****-show Goldman Sachs or Deutchesbank thinks up to **** us; whatever) that balance swings to a number that does not help us. Absolutely nothing in our current scope prevents the company from growing. In fact our scope requires it. But, the main point of sope is JOB PROTECTION when things go badly. It is to protect our junior pilots and all of us in a merger. |
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
(Post 3424300)
Yes.
=12pt But, the main point of sope is JOB PROTECTION when things go badly. It is to protect our junior pilots and all of us in a merger. |
Originally Posted by DALFA
(Post 3423976)
What were the financial results for DAL in 2019? What did the balance sheet look like? (3 years ago)
The pricing of pilots will be at market, its basically a fixed cost as there is a shortage. We have chosen to prolong negotiations and that means we are likely up to bat last. So UAL offers, >16%, AAL +, SWA goes ++ and the LCC follow suit. What I refuse to do is offer Ed a discount on my rate so he can pay down debt AND resume early burn backs, of which contribute nothing of value to the company going forward. Trust me, Ed wants to be first to the buy backs. Back on thread target, we don't have JV CS agreements for any of the new entrants (Korean, Latam, Aero Mexico). Delta can put code on 40% of the seats on a city pair of a foreign carrier's flight. If they need more we have an insane amount of 330 and 350s coming that I am constantly reminded by Trip7 are growth. Or are they? PWA SEC 1 E.2 Without the consent of the Delta MEC, neither the Company nor any Company affiliate will enter into or maintain an agreement or arrangement with any foreign air carrier performing international partner flying that permits the Company or any Company affiliate to book or ticket under the Company’s or Company affiliate’s designator code, reserve, block, and/or purchase for resale: a. more than 40% of the passenger seats in any month on any pair of flight segments in a city pair (e.g., CDG-ATL-CDG) of such foreign air carrier, I understand the issues in the Pacific and acknowledge war is inevitable with time. However, global production balance will have to be better than ^^ |
The narrative is:
ER's will be around another decade with new LCDs, with 2017 captains to EU 400s (not the old big 400s) are going back to international, with newhires Record deliveries of 330s and used Latam 350s Because this narrative has been beat into my head I think we are best served doing greater than half of all our flying on our own metal. The global production balance will need to stand out as a solid win or nothing of which I have been told to believe is true. To me that means no tricks, cure periods, etc. |
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
(Post 3424300)
Yes.
A majority of the current language is based on capturing Delta pilots' share of the company's commercial agreements with partners. Each separate Joint Venture has our share, based on the amount of flying the company expected to perform. Sections 1 E 2., and 8. act as major "catch-alls" in case the company fails to negotiate a JV scope section with ALPA. AeroMexico serves as an example of 1 E. 2. coming into play. 1 E. 2. requires that if more than 40% of the seats in a market are sold as (in this example) DL seats then the flight must be flown by a Delta pilot. Our current scope ties the pilots to the company's cash flows and commercial agreements. The result is easy to explain on an excel spreadsheet, but more difficult to write in plain language. The PROBLEM our current Scope Section has is that the company's commercial agreements are not functioning normally as a result of COVID. The international route network, partner flying and our flying, are a mess. The company has asserted "force majure" allowing them to escape compliance for now. As things are rebuilt we could take several paths. One would be to modify the existing language to capture the new agreements the company builds with partners around the world. The complexity of this task requires a highly functional team of managers and ALPA negotiators, experienced and trained on what currently exists, to fix it. Today's ALPA Reps are several generations removed from that work. So a new generation of managers and ALPA reps have set out to make a much simpler scope section. The genesis of this new language was >>MANAGEMENT's DEFENSE<< to prior scope violations (which were settled in our favor for $30,000,000.00). This is confusing because ALPA's new Reps have bought into management's idea and now proclaim it as their own product. The sides were as follows back in 2012-15:
The hang-up on giving management what management wanted was that management really did not want a penalty that cost them anything for noncompliance and pilots rightfully figured the RLA is stacked against us. This was resolved with some sort of staffing formula. Here we are. The thing everyone has to remember is these are a balance. Half of 10 is 5. Half of 2 is one. When the entire planet shuts down for COVID (SARS, speculative home buying, speculative oil contract purchases, whatever ****-show Goldman Sachs or Deutchesbank thinks up to **** us; whatever) that balance swings to a number that does not help us. Absolutely nothing in our current scope prevents the company from growing. In fact our scope requires it. But, the main point of sope is JOB PROTECTION when things go badly. It is to protect our junior pilots and all of us in a merger. This is a worthwhile read, thanks for the history. I’d be very interested in a scope comparison document that dives deep into the scope agreements we have and are proposing, with those in place at AA and UAL. Folks forget that it’s possible to fly to more than a handful of destinations in Europe…you just have to invest in your own capital instead of someone else’s. I’m not thrilled with the jobs cure proposal for scope violations because I think that will honestly be exploited, and I’m not thrilled with global flexibility for the exact scenario you spell out above. I was against voting for this scope deal outside of a broader TA, but maybe killing it early could be a better idea! |
The problem, Bucking Bar, is that according to my reps, the companys position is that the transatlantic protections in 1P and the Virgin protections in 1R were both superseded due to the JVs being combined in a new agreement called Blue Skies. So apparently everything you just said is OBE.
With the recent track record in arbitration, if we were forced to grieve the company’s disregard of old JV deals that no longer exist, in 3 years time an arbitrator would find a way to screw us again. It seems you may be working with rather stale facts. I’ll withhold judgement until I actually see details. But so far, as advertised, there seems to be quite a few new protections, which currently have none. The devil will be in the details. |
Originally Posted by First Break
(Post 3424377)
The problem, Bucking Bar, is that according to my reps, the companys position is that the transatlantic protections in 1P and the Virgin protections in 1R were both superseded due to the JVs being combined in a new agreement called Blue Skies. So apparently everything you just said is OBE.
With the recent track record in arbitration, if we were forced to grieve the company’s disregard of old JV deals that no longer exist, in 3 years time an arbitrator would find a way to screw us again. It seems you may be working with rather stale facts. I’ll withhold judgement until I actually see details. But so far, as advertised, there seems to be quite a few new protections, which currently have none. The devil will be in the details. |
Originally Posted by CBreezy
(Post 3424419)
I think the other problem is that there is this assumption that there is zero institutional knowledge or experience in DALPA when that simply isn't true.
Again, I’m skeptical but also pragmatic enough to realize what we have in Section 1 hasn’t been working for a long time. Pointing to the glory days of the Moak era for scope wisdom is like asking Edison what his opinion is on LED ballast circuitry design. |
Originally Posted by First Break
(Post 3424421)
I’m pretty sure Bucking Bars replacement on the scope committee is part of the NC that negotiated this.
Again, I’m skeptical but also pragmatic enough to realize what we have in Section 1 hasn’t been working for a long time. Pointing to the glory days of the Moak era for scope wisdom is like asking Edison what his opinion is on LED ballast circuitry design. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk |
Scope has to keep up with the times and even be forward-looking to capture our share of new opportunities in business structures management has not even thought of yet. The provisions that protect labor must constantly evolve and so we must have new scope language.
I would disagree that the current provisions "haven't worked." Various administrations have won scope grievances and obtained settlements in our favor; demonstrably they have "worked." We have also avoided furloughs going back to the thousands of pilots which were carried extra after the merger. The perception exists that JV partners have grown at our expense. Our current language takes it JV by JV to ensure we get our share of each JV's flying. Joint Ventures are the opposite of a zero-sum game. The concept behind the combination is to grow market share and gain pricing power. Literally that a rising tide raises all boats. Delta has very limited power over its partners' plans to add jets. Often the partners overshoot and when they have too much they aim those airplanes at America. Delta tends to run from engagements that result in overcapacity and ticket prices. Delta would rather run and redeploy than fight. As I understand the broad outline of this "global scope" arrangement, we loosen and reduce requirements that Delta perform flying within any particular JV, and provide the company flexibility to redeploy those jets to underserved (often undercapitalized) parts of the world (mostly South America). Nothing in our scope today limits Delta in any way from growth in any direction. We just require our fair share of specific JV's and if those JV's have been rebuilt, then we need to reallocate and seek to increase our share. From a pragmatic standpoint, I do not see how ALPA or even the company has any control over compliance with a global metric. Every JV and even every codeshare adds thousands of variables and permutations. If we can not get one JV in compliance, how do we affect a dozen? To me, it seems a feel-good aspiration without any effective control. Guessing First Break is Heiko or someone else not exactly flying the line. That's fine. We need people from the Admin to explain this new deal to us. |
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
(Post 3424468)
Scope has to keep up with the times and even be forward-looking to capture our share of new opportunities in business structures management has not even thought of yet. The provisions that protect labor must constantly evolve and so we must have new scope language.
I would disagree that the current provisions "haven't worked." Various administrations have won scope grievances and obtained settlements in our favor; demonstrably they have "worked." We have also avoided furloughs going back to the thousands of pilots which were carried extra after the merger. The perception exists that JV partners have grown at our expense. Our current language takes it JV by JV to ensure we get our share of each JV's flying. Joint Ventures are the opposite of a zero-sum game. The concept behind the combination is to grow market share and gain pricing power. Literally that a rising tide raises all boats. Delta has very limited power over its partners' plans to add jets. Often the partners overshoot and when they have too much they aim those airplanes at America. Delta tends to run from engagements that result in overcapacity and ticket prices. Delta would rather run and redeploy than fight. As I understand the broad outline of this "global scope" arrangement, we loosen and reduce requirements that Delta perform flying within any particular JV, and provide the company flexibility to redeploy those jets to underserved (often undercapitalized) parts of the world (mostly South America). Nothing in our scope today limits Delta in any way from growth in any direction. We just require our fair share of specific JV's and if those JV's have been rebuilt, then we need to reallocate and seek to increase our share. From a pragmatic standpoint, I do not see how ALPA or even the company has any control over compliance with a global metric. Every JV and even every codeshare adds thousands of variables and permutations. If we can not get one JV in compliance, how do we affect a dozen? To me, it seems a feel-good aspiration without any effective control. Guessing First Break is Heiko or someone else not exactly flying the line. That's fine. We need people from the Admin to explain this new deal to us. Like I said, according to people much closer to the process than I, the production balance in 1P and the silly step stair scheme in 1R (which has never protected anything to date) are topics of dispute due to the new Blue Skies agreement. You have no idea what’s in the deal and what existing language the new agreement supersedes. I just see opportunistic revisionism and speculation in lieu of you picking up the phone, like I did, and calling your reps for information. I have no idea what a Heiko is, and certainly can’t explain anything about the new deal. I just see a bunch of understandable hyperventilation about the new agreement, due in no small part to PTSD from the way your idols treated the pilot group for so many years. I’m willing to give the current leadership the benefit of doubt. |
Originally Posted by First Break
(Post 3424482)
How is a defunct production balance “forward looking”? And what in the contract compels the company to match the growth of our partners currently?
Like I said, according to people much closer to the process than I, the production balance in 1P and the silly step stair scheme in 1R (which has never protected anything to date) are topics of dispute due to the new Blue Skies agreement. I wrote that our agreement needed updating. Either you have a very low ability to comprehend what you read, or are just trying to stir up conflict where none exists. |
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
(Post 3424468)
Delta has very limited power over its partners' plans to add jets. Often the partners overshoot and when they have too much they aim those airplanes at America. Delta tends to run from engagements that result in overcapacity and ticket prices.
Australia is probably one of the better indicators for how this AIP (if ratified) will have worked in the coming few years. Clearly the DL-VAus one was heavily biased towards VAus not only from day one but for any amount of realistic growth. I don't think DL was really ever going to increase its share until and unless the market experienced dramatic growth. Now that they're NB only (for now) and ditched us anyway, DL finally increased by 3-4 flights a week. Now there's a partnership with a NB only airline. Cool, that could help feed the network. But where will it be in several years? Will DL "invest" in Rex, they'll get WB's and we'll go back to 7X a week (or less?) and they'll get all growth under the cover of a "global balance" while we cover it with other theater flying that we were going to do anyway? |
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
(Post 3424506)
The 1 P. 4. violation was settled for $30,000,000.00; that's not nothing. Does that force AF+KLM to do anything? Nope. Will the new agreement force our partners to fly less, or us to fly more? OK, you can answer that.
I wrote that our agreement needed updating. Either you have a very low ability to comprehend what you read, or are just trying to stir up conflict where none exists. No argument on the dollar value of Donatelli’s settlement agreement from 2015. Regardless of your viewpoint that the previous monetary settlement was appropriate, I recommend you do some due diligence on whether any of the current leadership believes a violation of 1P would produce the same result today, or in the future. |
We may not control how many or what kind of airplanes a partner flies…but surely we can keep track of how many seats we sell on JV metal and how many seats they sell on our own? I don’t care if partners or competitors grow if it’s not in my control…I care about how much Delta flying is being done by Delta pilots.
|
Originally Posted by gloopy
(Post 3424517)
That's why we need language that forces them to pull the code (at least on any and all excess flights) when they get out of balance. They can barf their flag carrier capacity hourly to every city if they want. They can do that anyway, at least until they run out of money. But they can't use our code to do it.
|
Originally Posted by TED74
(Post 3424532)
We may not control how many or what kind of airplanes a partner flies…but surely we can keep track of how many seats we sell on JV metal and how many seats they sell on our own? I don’t care if partners or competitors grow if it’s not in my control…I care about how much Delta flying is being done by Delta pilots.
|
Originally Posted by gloopy
(Post 3424517)
That's why we need language that forces them to pull the code (at least on any and all excess flights) when they get out of balance. They can barf their flag carrier capacity hourly to every city if they want. They can do that anyway, at least until they run out of money. But they can't use our code to do it.
Australia is probably one of the better indicators for how this AIP (if ratified) will have worked in the coming few years. Clearly the DL-VAus one was heavily biased towards VAus not only from day one but for any amount of realistic growth. I don't think DL was really ever going to increase its share until and unless the market experienced dramatic growth. Now that they're NB only (for now) and ditched us anyway, DL finally increased by 3-4 flights a week. Now there's a partnership with a NB only airline. Cool, that could help feed the network. But where will it be in several years? Will DL "invest" in Rex, they'll get WB's and we'll go back to 7X a week (or less?) and they'll get all growth under the cover of a "global balance" while we cover it with other theater flying that we were going to do anyway? Ex: Say we want to re-add a new route like, or LAX-PPT, or LAX-AUK. At the same time, we see a market to go 2x SYD or even add MEL. Instead of ordering more WBs for the additional route expansion, could we just move our 350s out of Australia entirely and move them to Tahiti and New Zealand, and let Rex get some WBs and fly the 2x or 3x Australia-US? |
| All times are GMT -8. The time now is 04:10 PM. |
Website Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands