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-   -   Notable developments in Russo-Ukraine War 2 (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/hangar-talk/152222-notable-developments-russo-ukraine-war-2-a.html)

Excargodog 03-29-2026 10:27 AM


Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna (Post 4017715)
You are either an idiot or insane…. which is it?

Show me where, anywhere, that I have accused the BBC or NPR of being propagandists?

I will help you out. I didn’t. I am calling YOU a propagandist because you fit the definition.

You only spread one side of a story, the pro russian side.

YOU are the propagandist here.

I don’t even have to prove it, four years of your posting only the russian side has shown everyone what your truly are.



.

Paranoid much?

DSM-5-TR Criteria for Paranoid Personality Disorder (F60.0)

A pervasive distrust and suspiciousness of others, leading to the interpretation of their motives as malevolent, beginning by early adulthood and evident in various contexts, as indicated by 4 (or more) of the following:
  • Suspects, without sufficient basis, that others are exploiting, harming, or deceiving them.
  • Is preoccupied with unjustified doubts about the loyalty or trustworthiness of friends or associates.
  • Is reluctant to confide in others because of unwarranted fear that the information will be used maliciously against them.
  • Reads hidden demeaning or threatening meanings into benign remarks or events.
  • Bears grudges persistently, being unforgiving of insults, injuries, or slights.
  • Perceives attacks on their character or reputation that are not apparent to others and quickly reacts angrily or counterattacks.
  • Has recurrent suspicions, without justification, regarding fidelity of spouse or sexual partner.
  • Does not occur exclusively during the course of schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, depressive disorder with psychotic features, or another psychotic disorder, and is not attributable to the physiological effects of another medical condition.


Excargodog 03-29-2026 10:35 AM


Originally Posted by METO Guido (Post 4017902)
Russians possess real time E3 position?

Real time? Unlikely. But I’d bet they have every parking spot on every UAE, Saudi, Kuwaiti, and every other airbase within range of their missiles coordinates down to three decimal places. And enough local humint to send them coded targeting messages. The internet makes that pretty easy. For that matter, there are reconnaissance drones as well and both Chinese and Russian recon satellites.

And the issue with drones is one of cost effectiveness. It’s a low tech weapon but there are low tech relatively inexpensive solutions to at least limit the possible damage.

https://www.aerotime.aero/articles/e...-counter-drone

https://www.twz.com/air/a-29-super-t...s-drone-hunter

and I suspect the use of A-10s in the strait on the Iranian high speed patrol boats will mean the Air Force’s desire to scrap all the warthogs will take another hit in Congress.

METO Guido 03-29-2026 10:38 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4017935)
Real time? Unlikely. But I’d bet they have every parking spot on every UAE, Saudi, Kuwaiti, and every other airbase within range of their missiles coordinates down to three decimal places. And enough local humint to send them coded targeting messages. The internet makes that pretty easy. For that matter, there are reconnaissance drones as well and both Chinese and Russian recon satellites.

And the issue with drones is one of cost effectiveness. It’s a low tech weapon but there are low tech relatively inexpensive solutions to at least limit the possible damage.

https://www.aerotime.aero/articles/e...-counter-drone

https://www.twz.com/air/a-29-super-t...s-drone-hunter

I sure hope not. Parking E3s like that is bound to draw unwanted attention.


CLazarus 03-29-2026 11:19 AM

So I started the original Notable Developments thread some months ago, and I included some guidance on what it was about to try and keep it worthwhile. It quickly got derailed by the usual chaff. I even tried to guide it back on track only to see it get shut down after a mere six pages (and I have no idea why as I was not consulted beforehand, it was not particularly acidic compared to this one lately). That was my last attempt to start a thread here, I'll just post whatever is interesting on whomever's thread I feel like derailing. Anyways, I just thought it was rather amusing how quickly it got snuffed out while this one meanders on and on and on (until someone reports it to an Admin, hint, hint).

Some pretty notable developments lately. The Ukrainians seem hard at work trying to cancel out Putin's oil windfall, several significant strikes on different refineries and export terminals. Because I'm not too familiar with the names/locations I am not sure if some of the reports overlap, so I won't try to list them. However, a 25 Mar strike on the Baltic port of Ust Luga set off fires that have burned for days (although some additional strikes since may explain why). Ukrainian drones and cruise missiles seem to be able to strike at will anywhere but the Far East.

The Russian Spring offensive is two weeks old... but it is the Ukrainians who seem to be taking any territory. This was an observation made by Phillips OBrien, who stands out as one of the most knowledgable commentators I've followed, I'm about ready to pay for a subscription to his Substack. Here's a link to a nice piece from a few days ago that talks more about what the Ukrainians are trying to accomplish with their strikes. Out.

https://substack.com/home/post/p-192291032

METO Guido 03-29-2026 12:11 PM


Originally Posted by CLazarus (Post 4017948)
So I started the original
The Russian Spring offensive is two weeks old... but it is the Ukrainians who seem to be taking any territory. This was an observation made by Phillips OBrien, who stands out as one of the most knowledgable commentators I've followed, I'm about ready to pay for a subscription to his Substack. Here's a link to a nice piece from a few days ago that talks more about what the Ukrainians are trying to accomplish with their strikes. Out.
https://substack.com/home/post/p-192291032

Nice lead in to Phil’s report then substack paywall smack obviously. Wouldn’t it be cool to have a subscription to hard news features like that from various perspectives? Like an impartial, buffet style news source. Oh well.


Sliceback 03-30-2026 08:41 AM


Originally Posted by CLazarus (Post 4017948)
So I started the original Notable Developments thread some months ago, and I included some guidance on what it was about to try and keep it worthwhile. It quickly got derailed by the usual chaff. I even tried to guide it back on track only to see it get shut down after a mere six pages (and I have no idea why as I was not consulted beforehand, it was not particularly acidic compared to this one lately). That was my last attempt to start a thread here, I'll just post whatever is interesting on whomever's thread I feel like derailing. Anyways, I just thought it was rather amusing how quickly it got snuffed out while this one meanders on and on and on (until someone reports it to an Admin, hint, hint).

Some pretty notable developments lately. The Ukrainians seem hard at work trying to cancel out Putin's oil windfall, several significant strikes on different refineries and export terminals. Because I'm not too familiar with the names/locations I am not sure if some of the reports overlap, so I won't try to list them. However, a 25 Mar strike on the Baltic port of Ust Luga set off fires that have burned for days (although some additional strikes since may explain why). Ukrainian drones and cruise missiles seem to be able to strike at will anywhere but the Far East.

The Russian Spring offensive is two weeks old... but it is the Ukrainians who seem to be taking any territory. This was an observation made by Phillips OBrien, who stands out as one of the most knowledgable commentators I've followed, I'm about ready to pay for a subscription to his Substack. Here's a link to a nice piece from a few days ago that talks more about what the Ukrainians are trying to accomplish with their strikes. Out.

https://substack.com/home/post/p-192291032

Come here and it's all doom and gloom for Ukraine. Just saw headlines talking about the 470 sq km's Ukraine has taken back (this year?). Nothing of that mentioned here. The increasing tempo, and success, of Ukraine's drone war against Russian oil ($$)? It's like it's not even happening.

I wouldn't bother paying for a subscription to the guy's Substack when you can come here and get unfiltered access to the 'real story'. :-/

Profane Kahuna 03-30-2026 10:11 AM


Originally Posted by Sliceback (Post 4018174)
Come here and it's all doom and gloom for Ukraine. Just saw headlines talking about the 470 sq km's Ukraine has taken back (this year?). Nothing of that mentioned here. The increasing tempo, and success, of Ukraine's drone war against Russian oil ($$)? It's like it's not even happening.

I wouldn't bother paying for a subscription to the guy's Substack when you can come here and get unfiltered access to the 'real story'. :-/




You won’t see anyone calling out the pro russian one sidedness of this thread because our posts keep getting deleted.




.

Excargodog 03-30-2026 12:16 PM


Originally Posted by Sliceback (Post 4018174)
Come here and it's all doom and gloom for Ukraine. Just saw headlines talking about the 470 sq km's Ukraine has taken back (this year?). Nothing of that mentioned here. The increasing tempo, and success, of Ukraine's drone war against Russian oil ($$)? It's like it's not even happening.

I wouldn't bother paying for a subscription to the guy's Substack when you can come here and get unfiltered access to the 'real story'. :-/

You might want to look back to posting 181 or so. There was a short discussion of that 154 square miles.
But you can certainly feel free to post any pertinent developments yiu feel are relevant or being overlooked.


Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna (Post 4018213)
You won’t see anyone calling out the pro russian one sidedness of this thread because our posts keep getting deleted.

.

Try avoiding ad hominem attacks, defamation, and outright libel. That might help. While the site itself is largely protected legally from the consequences of such posting by section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, most don’t want the nuisance of being dragged into depositions and providing evidence. That’s why they have terms of service.

Profane Kahuna 03-30-2026 12:52 PM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4018253)



Try avoiding ad hominem attacks, defamation, and outright libel. That might help. While the site itself is largely protected legally from the consequences of such posting by section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, most don’t want the nuisance of being dragged into depositions and providing evidence. That’s why they have terms of service.



I am perfectly within the terms of service to point out you only post the pro russian side of the story.


.

METO Guido 03-30-2026 01:15 PM


Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna (Post 4018213)
You won’t see anyone calling out the pro russian one sidedness of this thread because our posts keep getting deleted..

Patently false.
The ‘real’ story reads deadlock. In every language. Hopes 2026 contains a working settlement already one quarter in the mirror. Furthermore no poster appearing anywhere on^^^ blog has anything to do with any of it. Delete whatever you like.
These are the the facts.


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