Are you ready for this possibility?
 

Israel attacks Iran this year, a very possible scenario. Iran fires back, Hesbollah and Hamas join in, as does Syria. Now you have a genuine Middle East war. Result?

OIL GOES THROUGH $200.

Customer confidence plummets, people become afraid to fly for the first time since 2001, and the world's economy takes a huge hit.

What will happen at the airlines when the Israel-Iran War I'm predicting erupts? Is our profession even remotely aware of this realistic possibility?

Why would people be afraid to fly because oil is really expensive?

We very well could see another World War.

People wouldn't be afraid, with $200 per barrel oil, jet fuel prices would skyrocket even further and push more airlines towards bankruptcy.

If Israel invaded Iran they would wipe them off the map and then the other Muslim countries would invade Israel. Then the nukes would come out and the whole Middle East would be a smoking glass pit.

you've been watching too many Steven Seagal movies

With the price of oil now, it is in the best interests of the governments of oil-producing nations to keep this scenario from happening.

FOXNews.com - Saudi Arabia Arrests 701 Al Qaeda-Linked Militants Plotting 'Oil Attacks' - International News | News of the World | Middle East News | Europe News

That doesn't necessarily mean that Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, etc, can prevent the scenario you suggest, but any desire they might have to secretly cheer for the bad guys will be dampened by their desire to keep the oil flowing. I think ... :-)

None of the arabs are THAT stupid. Israel has the weapons (in strategically significant quantities) AND the means to deliver them....Iran has neither.

Israel also has theater anti-missile defense systems, which would work fine against any delivery system the iranians could come up with any time soon.

The arabs prefer Israel in it's current condition...moderate with porous borders, so they can conveniently harrass Israel at their leasure. If they force a big showdown, Isreal will win, and then turn itself into a fortress...physically and politically.

But it would be hard on oil prices in the short term.

Maybe,...maybe not.
""Keep in mind that Israel does not have strategic bombers," Oren said. "The Israeli Air Force is not the American Air Force. Israel can not eliminate Iran's nuclear program."
Israel Prodding U.S. To Attack Iran, White House Weighs Striking Iran's Nuclear Complex, Which Could Trigger 3rd War In Region - CBS News

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