Are you ready for this possibility?
06-25-2008, 06:01 PM
#1
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Joined APC: Jun 2005
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Are you ready for this possibility?
Israel attacks Iran this year, a very possible scenario. Iran fires back, Hesbollah and Hamas join in, as does Syria. Now you have a genuine Middle East war. Result?
OIL GOES THROUGH $200.
Customer confidence plummets, people become afraid to fly for the first time since 2001, and the world's economy takes a huge hit.
What will happen at the airlines when the Israel-Iran War I'm predicting erupts? Is our profession even remotely aware of this realistic possibility?
OIL GOES THROUGH $200.
Customer confidence plummets, people become afraid to fly for the first time since 2001, and the world's economy takes a huge hit.
What will happen at the airlines when the Israel-Iran War I'm predicting erupts? Is our profession even remotely aware of this realistic possibility?
06-25-2008, 07:28 PM
#4
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2007
Position: C172 Left
Posts: 642
Originally Posted by SLpilot
Why would people be afraid to fly because oil is really expensive?
06-26-2008, 02:56 AM
#6
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Joined APC: Mar 2007
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Posts: 958
Originally Posted by Ninety Two, Set
Israel attacks Iran this year, a very possible scenario. Iran fires back, Hesbollah and Hamas join in, as does Syria. Now you have a genuine Middle East war. Result?
06-26-2008, 03:13 AM
#7
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Joined APC: Jun 2008
Position: B-737 Right
Posts: 243
With the price of oil now, it is in the best interests of the governments of oil-producing nations to keep this scenario from happening.
FOXNews.com - Saudi Arabia Arrests 701 Al Qaeda-Linked Militants Plotting 'Oil Attacks' - International News | News of the World | Middle East News | Europe News
That doesn't necessarily mean that Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, etc, can prevent the scenario you suggest, but any desire they might have to secretly cheer for the bad guys will be dampened by their desire to keep the oil flowing. I think ... :-)
FOXNews.com - Saudi Arabia Arrests 701 Al Qaeda-Linked Militants Plotting 'Oil Attacks' - International News | News of the World | Middle East News | Europe News
That doesn't necessarily mean that Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, etc, can prevent the scenario you suggest, but any desire they might have to secretly cheer for the bad guys will be dampened by their desire to keep the oil flowing. I think ... :-)
06-26-2008, 08:34 AM
#8
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Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 39,186
Originally Posted by Rama
If Israel invaded Iran they would wipe them off the map and then the other Muslim countries would invade Israel. Then the nukes would come out and the whole Middle East would be a smoking glass pit.
Israel also has theater anti-missile defense systems, which would work fine against any delivery system the iranians could come up with any time soon.
The arabs prefer Israel in it's current condition...moderate with porous borders, so they can conveniently harrass Israel at their leasure. If they force a big showdown, Isreal will win, and then turn itself into a fortress...physically and politically.
But it would be hard on oil prices in the short term.
06-26-2008, 08:45 AM
#9
Weekends off? HA!
Joined APC: May 2006
Posts: 991
Originally Posted by rickair7777
Israel has the weapons (in strategically significant quantities) AND the means to deliver them....Iran has neither.
""Keep in mind that Israel does not have strategic bombers," Oren said. "The Israeli Air Force is not the American Air Force. Israel can not eliminate Iran's nuclear program."
Israel Prodding U.S. To Attack Iran, White House Weighs Striking Iran's Nuclear Complex, Which Could Trigger 3rd War In Region - CBS News
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