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Old 04-14-2005, 02:52 PM   #1  
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Default Southwest Airlines Profit Nearly Triples

AP
By DAVID KOENIG, AP Business Writer

DALLAS - With fuel hedges and Easter in March providing a tail wind, Southwest Airlines Co. nearly tripled its first-quarter earnings making it one of the few profitable U.S. carriers despite intense competition and high oil prices.

Southwest said Thursday that it earned $76 million, or 9 cents a share, in the January-March period, up from $26 million, or 3 cents a share, a year earlier. Revenue rose 12 percent to $1.66 billion.

The results topped the expectations of analysts surveyed by Thomson First Call, which had predicted Southwest would earn 5 cents a share.

But Southwest officials said revenue trends remain weak, and rising fuel prices might eventually force it to raise fares or make other changes.

Southwest shares rose 22 cents to close at $14.94 on the New York Stock Exchange, on a day when other airline stocks slid, falling as much as 11 percent. Southwest shares have traded in a 52-week range of $13.18 to $17.06.

Southwest was the first U.S. carrier to report January-March financial results, and analysts expect all other significant carriers except JetBlue Airways Corp. to post a loss. The nine largest carriers could lose $2 billion in the quarter, up from about $1.5 billion a year ago.

The high cost of fuel is one problem. Another is intense competition, led by low-cost carriers such as Southwest that have added seats, driving down fares.

Southwest would have lost money in the quarter except for a calculated gamble made several years ago and repeated several times since. The airline has insulated itself from rising oil costs by hedging, taking options to buy most of its jet fuel in advance at lower prices.

Southwest said those options cut its fuel bill by $155 million in the first quarter double the company's eventual profit.

In the first quarter, Dallas-based Southwest bought 86 percent of its fuel with hedges. The airline is about 85 percent hedged for the rest of the year at prices capped at $26 per barrel about half the going rate for oil.

According to analysts, no other U.S. carrier has hedged more than 50 percent of its 2005 fuel purchases. Southwest has also locked in 65 percent of next year's fuel at $32 per barrel.

Chief Executive Gary C. Kelly said the hedges have bought the airline time, but it still might need to raise fares or make other changes to offset rising fuel prices. He said last month's fare increase of $2 to $6 per round trip would raise $150 million this year.

Other airlines also raised fares this spring, boosting some domestic round trips as much as $60.

"We're as well prepared I think as I would have expected us to be, and certainly we're better prepared than anybody else," Kelly said.

Southwest also cut nonfuel costs 3.8 percent from a year earlier. The airline said revenue trends remain weak but first-quarter results were helped by planes flying more full and by Easter falling in March.

Conversely, the early Easter will rob $20 million in sales from the second quarter, and April revenue per airplane seat could be flat to down 5 percent, said Chief Financial Officer Laura Wright.

"In this atmosphere, that's a pretty good accomplishment if they can do it," said Ray Neidl, an analyst with Calyon Securities.

Southwest is proceeding with plans to increase its fleet by 29 planes this year and 34 next year. On Thursday, the company announced it would add 11 new nonstop flights around the country by fall.

Bill Warlick, an analyst with Fitch Ratings credit-rating service, said Southwest's lower costs continued to give it an advantage over the larger, so-called legacy carriers.

"There are opportunities for them to grow as the legacy carriers pull back and even some of the (other low-cost carriers) pull back, like ATA in Chicago," Warlick said.

Southwest took over some of bankrupt ATA Airlines' gates at Chicago's Midway Airport, one of Southwest's key growth markets.
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