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Old 11-11-2008, 09:20 AM
  #1  
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Exclamation Oil drops to 21-month low

Oil price slides under $55
Nov 11 01:33 PM US/Eastern

Oil prices sank under 55 dollars a barrel on Tuesday to strike a 21-month low as frresh recession worries sparked fresh fears about slowing global energy demand, traders said.

On London's InterContinental Exchange (ICE), Brent North Sea crude for delivery in December plunged 4.16 dollars to 54.92 dollars per barrel -- a level last seen on Janury 30, 2007.

At the same time, on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), light sweet crude for December tumbled 4.09 dollars to 58.32 dollars, the lowest level since March 21, 2007.

"The short-term focus continues to be on weak demand," Barclays Capital analysts wrote in a research note to clients.

Oil prices extended earlier losses on Tuesday after Wall Street skidded lower in opening trade, with investor sentiment unsettled by fears about a collapse of General Motors and more poor corporate news amid the credit crisis.

The market was also undermined by the strengthening dollar which tends to dampen oil demand because dollar-priced crude becomes more expensive for buyers holding weaker currencies.
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Old 11-11-2008, 09:54 AM
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I find it hard to believe that demand has shrunk by 2/3 in just a few months. The pendulum is just swinging the other way for now.
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Old 11-11-2008, 09:56 AM
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Wait until the holiday seasons...
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Old 11-11-2008, 11:19 AM
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Wait until Summer '09...











OO.
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Old 11-11-2008, 11:31 AM
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Nope, the bubble has burst and people aren't buying the BS. It's going to stay down at a naturally sustained level.
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Old 11-11-2008, 12:12 PM
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the price may have dropped by 2/3 but not demand. remember it was commodities traders and pension fund managers who drove it up.

i think demand was down 10 to 15 % from last at the end of summer.

also, everybody is flat arse broke including me.
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Old 11-11-2008, 12:55 PM
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Originally Posted by yoke jerker View Post
the price may have dropped by 2/3 but not demand. remember it was commodities traders and pension fund managers who drove it up.

i think demand was down 10 to 15 % from last at the end of summer.

also, everybody is flat arse broke including me.
Well said.
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Old 11-11-2008, 01:10 PM
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Originally Posted by Riddler View Post
I find it hard to believe that demand has shrunk by 2/3 in just a few months. The pendulum is just swinging the other way for now.
The correlation bewteen demand and price is not linear...

Once demand (or perceived demand) approaches or exceeds supply, then prices rise very rapidly...until enough buyers are simply priced out of the market so as to bring demand in line with supply. This will cause prices to far exceed production costs.


Once you back off from that point, and supply is greater than or equal to demand, then prices rapidly drop (due to competetive pressure) down to productions costs plus a little profit.

Of course OPEC is always fiddling with production...if they were in the US, they would be in prison for price fixing.
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Old 11-11-2008, 07:58 PM
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Originally Posted by Riddler View Post
I find it hard to believe that demand has shrunk by 2/3 in just a few months. The pendulum is just swinging the other way for now.
If anyone really thinks oil prices are based on supply and demand and not market manipulation by hedge funds and energy traders, your blind.
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Old 11-12-2008, 02:33 AM
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Attention Fuel hedgers....This would be the time to lock in your price for fuel for the next 12 -24 months....that is all
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