Search

Notices
Major Legacy, National, and LCC

SWA toast in 2009 ?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 06-24-2006 | 04:22 PM
  #11  
Baburang
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Anyone notice how many times airlines have raised airfares by $5-10 each way this year? Well guess what...its gonna keep happening, I can see airfares going up an average of 5-7% in the next year, as oil should drop below $60 per barrel!
Reply
Old 06-24-2006 | 04:52 PM
  #12  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 168
Likes: 0
From: EMB170 FO
Default

Originally Posted by hatetobreakit2u
oil will come down after bush is gone
This is so not true
Reply
Old 06-24-2006 | 05:00 PM
  #13  
surreal1221's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 903
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by C175
This is so not true
I don't think hatetobreakit has any factual evidence to support his theory.

Bush isn't the reason oil is becoming more expensive. Perhaps a 5% reason, and it's not even Bush. It's the US Administration's foriegn affairs that has set a slight premium on oil. Along with the fact that many oil producing countries have reached peak productions already, and it will only platuea and eventually production levels will decrease over the next few decades.

Originally Posted by Baburang
Anyone notice how many times airlines have raised airfares by $5-10 each way this year? Well guess what...its gonna keep happening, I can see airfares going up an average of 5-7% in the next year, as oil should drop below $60 per barrel!
How do you figure oil will drop below $60 a barrel?
Reply
Old 06-24-2006 | 05:23 PM
  #14  
757Driver's Avatar
Need More Callouts
 
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 2,143
Likes: 0
From: Unbridled Enthusiasm
Default

Originally Posted by 1800 RVR
Obviously, I don't work for SWA, but why do people think that they are not competing just because they have fuel hedges? They have great forward-looking folks oin their finance dept. and the cash to backup buying hedges. SWA has ALWAYS had low fares. That won't change in any big way in the future, I believe. It's the productivity of the workers, good debt management, and sound business policies that make them successful. Their pilots get paid well, and the harder you work, the more money you make. IT IS YOUR OWN CHOICE! If you want to fly your sked then go home, so be it. If you want to pick up open time, then great. No one is forced to work overtime.

Legacies got in trouble with debt and management that gave themselves huge bonuses for many years before 9-11. Then, when labor got a taste of the money in new contracts, and things started to go sour in the economy, labor is the first to get screwed. Did anyone see management saying that they will forgo their hefty bonuses first? I think not. SWA isn't organized like that. Everyone knows that they value their employees. And because of that, employees reciprocate by working hard. Novel concept, huh?

I just tire of these stupid threads of "What will SWA do when they have to compete?"
Good Post.

SWA has proven time and time again they are in this business for the long-haul and not for a quick jump in the stock price. The fact that their management actually tells unruly passengers to "hit the road" and not to come back when abusing employees shows that they have a high regard for the worker bees.

Excellent Management Team says it all.
Reply
Old 06-25-2006 | 08:15 AM
  #15  
Banned
 
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 523
Likes: 0
From: FO dhc-6
Default

oil spiked in the 70's 80's and its doing it again. the president of venezuala or some south american country hates bush and said something along the lines of "we opec need to stick together and keep the price of a barrel no less than $50"
that shows you that the oil industry is a bunch of bull**** and hearsay is all it takes to raise the price. in a few years once the world cools off and we have some better leaders that no how to make friends with underdeveloped country's the price will come down,
then southwest will hedge some more to prepare for the next oil crisis in 2016
Reply
Old 06-25-2006 | 09:35 AM
  #16  
surreal1221's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 903
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by hatetobreakit2u
oil spiked in the 70's 80's and its doing it again. the president of venezuala or some south american country hates bush and said something along the lines of "we opec need to stick together and keep the price of a barrel no less than $50"
that shows you that the oil industry is a bunch of bull**** and hearsay is all it takes to raise the price. in a few years once the world cools off and we have some better leaders that no how to make friends with underdeveloped country's the price will come down,
then southwest will hedge some more to prepare for the next oil crisis in 2016
I hope you're right. But knowing the facts of the current "crisis," I doubt it.
Reply
Old 06-25-2006 | 09:59 AM
  #17  
Brav989
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Here is something that blew me away when I saw it. Look at the 2002 cost of oil. $19/barrel

Reply
Old 06-26-2006 | 11:18 PM
  #18  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 955
Likes: 0
From: 737 Right
Default

Originally Posted by Gman
What will happen after fuel hedges expire and the airline has to compete with all the other ones who have now lowered their costs?
Why do so many people assume that fuel hedging is SWA's only cost advantage? SWA's management (and other employees) work hard to create new operational efficiencies and improve proven ones. I'm guessing that much of this has to do with SWA organizational culture.

And is cost alone SWA's only operational advantage? Of course not! SWA still ranks #2 in ontime performance and has fewer consumer complaints than any US airline (see Air Transport World, June 06). SWA consistently gets the job done with efficiency and quality, as measured by industry benchmarks. SWA's great people will likely shine as bright in the future as they have in the past.
Reply
Old 06-27-2006 | 05:32 AM
  #19  
AlyE's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 35
Likes: 0
From: Dreaming
Default

Originally Posted by Uncle Bose
Right...also, when Bush is gone there will be no more hurricanes, and all species on the endangered list will make a comeback.
Hahaha...well said!
Reply
Old 06-27-2006 | 05:44 AM
  #20  
fireman0174's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 1,045
Likes: 1
From: Retired 121 pilot
Default

Originally Posted by waflyboy
Why do so many people assume that fuel hedging is SWA's only cost advantage? SWA's management (and other employees) work hard to create new operational efficiencies and improve proven ones. I'm guessing that much of this has to do with SWA organizational culture.
Most people here seem to think that fuel hedges are the reason why SWA has been successful, especially in these days. I would suggest many are not seeing the proverbial “big picture”.

SWA’s fuel hedges are but a tool. Their real success is their management, which remains focused on running an efficient airline.

SWA “toast” in 2009? Don’t make me laugh!

I’m not and have never been a SWA employee. They seem to have a valuable culture over there and that’s something virtually all airlines don’t have, especially the one I used to work for.
Reply
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
Gordon C
Major
11
07-25-2006 12:44 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices