A320 NEO vs 737
#11
I forgot to post the source for that chart:
CSeries beats NEO, A320, 737 on CASM, plane mile costs
It is certainly a pro C-series site but that doesn't mean the numbers are wrong, it's just as bar put it, it's all a bunch of 0s and 1s right now.
Here is an interesting article from them though:
The Globe and Mail of Toronto has this recap of one element of our new Bombardier CSeries Study, and this is the greatest threat we see to BBD is the prospect of a price was initiated by Airbus and Boeing that it cannot hope to win.
As discussed in our new Study, Airbus and Boeing have the ability to make the A319/319neo and 737-700 loss-leaders, should they choose, to out-price the CSeries. With a full family of airplanes, up to and including Very Large Aircraft, Airbus and Boeing can subsidize the A319/319neo and 737-700 either within the A320 and 737 families or as part of deals with the larger brothers.
If one assumes a 25% discount off list prices for CSeries sales (and certainly this could be deeper for all we know), Airbus will have to discount the A319neo a whopping 41% off its list price (including the $6m premium over the legacy A319) just to match the CSeries discount. This discount would not be unprecedented for Airbus, but it’s not something the company wishes to do on a regular basis.
As for Boeing, which so far is resisting the idea of re-engining the 737, it, too, has pricing power afforded it through a family of airplanes. Boeing, and Airbus, also plan to boost production to as much as 40-42 737s and A320s per month. The additional production efficiencies also lend weight to pricing power, as well as being able to flood the market with airplanes at production rates Bombardier can’t match.
CSeries beats NEO, A320, 737 on CASM, plane mile costs
It is certainly a pro C-series site but that doesn't mean the numbers are wrong, it's just as bar put it, it's all a bunch of 0s and 1s right now.
Here is an interesting article from them though:
The Globe and Mail of Toronto has this recap of one element of our new Bombardier CSeries Study, and this is the greatest threat we see to BBD is the prospect of a price was initiated by Airbus and Boeing that it cannot hope to win.
As discussed in our new Study, Airbus and Boeing have the ability to make the A319/319neo and 737-700 loss-leaders, should they choose, to out-price the CSeries. With a full family of airplanes, up to and including Very Large Aircraft, Airbus and Boeing can subsidize the A319/319neo and 737-700 either within the A320 and 737 families or as part of deals with the larger brothers.
If one assumes a 25% discount off list prices for CSeries sales (and certainly this could be deeper for all we know), Airbus will have to discount the A319neo a whopping 41% off its list price (including the $6m premium over the legacy A319) just to match the CSeries discount. This discount would not be unprecedented for Airbus, but it’s not something the company wishes to do on a regular basis.
As for Boeing, which so far is resisting the idea of re-engining the 737, it, too, has pricing power afforded it through a family of airplanes. Boeing, and Airbus, also plan to boost production to as much as 40-42 737s and A320s per month. The additional production efficiencies also lend weight to pricing power, as well as being able to flood the market with airplanes at production rates Bombardier can’t match.
#12
What if Boeing's new 737 replacement is something very radical, such as a single pilot airliner?
Embraer reveals vision for single-pilot airliners
I ask because they could pitch the jet as being "safer" than a two pilot airplane because if backed up by a UAV type system they could land the plane if a pilot became incapacitated or unresponsive and they could provide pilots with a much needed break enroute. And it's cheaper.
Don't gag, just throwing diapers against the wall here and trying to see this from a engineers ROI point of view. We know the CASM on a pilot is rather small especially if it's the FO!
BUT, what if?
Embraer reveals vision for single-pilot airliners
I ask because they could pitch the jet as being "safer" than a two pilot airplane because if backed up by a UAV type system they could land the plane if a pilot became incapacitated or unresponsive and they could provide pilots with a much needed break enroute. And it's cheaper.
Don't gag, just throwing diapers against the wall here and trying to see this from a engineers ROI point of view. We know the CASM on a pilot is rather small especially if it's the FO!
BUT, what if?
#13
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Joined APC: Oct 2006
Position: B757/767
Posts: 13,088
What if Boeing's new 737 replacement is something very radical, such as a single pilot airliner?
Embraer reveals vision for single-pilot airliners
I ask because they could pitch the jet as being "safer" than a two pilot airplane because if backed up by a UAV type system they could land the plane if a pilot became incapacitated or unresponsive and they could provide pilots with a much needed break enroute. And it's cheaper.
Don't gag, just throwing diapers against the wall here and trying to see this from a engineers ROI point of view. We know the CASM on a pilot is rather small especially if it's the FO!
BUT, what if?
Embraer reveals vision for single-pilot airliners
I ask because they could pitch the jet as being "safer" than a two pilot airplane because if backed up by a UAV type system they could land the plane if a pilot became incapacitated or unresponsive and they could provide pilots with a much needed break enroute. And it's cheaper.
Don't gag, just throwing diapers against the wall here and trying to see this from a engineers ROI point of view. We know the CASM on a pilot is rather small especially if it's the FO!
BUT, what if?
Considering how long it took(and how much blood) for the FAA & NTSB to consider re-writing rest rules I think it will be a minimum of 50 years before a single pilot airliner would be approved.
#14
Or just go the simple route and remove a seat:
But think of all of the benefits! Fly with your favorite Captain. No dumb conversations. No Mr. Crabby. Nobody gets antsy as you decide how far you want to til you turn base, pass gas as much as you want... well, don't gamble and lose...
Last edited by forgot to bid; 12-07-2010 at 05:06 PM.
#15
#16
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2008
Posts: 581
Leaving out the acquisition cost makes the numbers bogus.
Years ago I remember a very good friend's Dad tell me that a car's miles per gallon wasn't important. It was the total operating cost that mattered.
A number of years ago Air Transport World had a very interesting article that discussed aircraft operating cost. The general thesis was: When fuel is cheap and interest rates are high you are better off with a gas guzzling 727. But when interest rates are low and fuel is high you are better off with a new generation expensive jet.
I'd really like to see the numbers that reflect the total cost, including the acquisition cost of the aircraft. If manufacturer "A" wants to "give away" their airplanes that has a very significant effect on their relative operating cost vis a vis manufacturer "B", who for the sake of argument wants full list price.
#17
On Boeing's website they have a new United painted 737-800 that they are testing mods for main gear wheel wells and doors, the beacon and some different engines that are supposed to give it 2% less fuel burn. I wonder how that will compare to the 320 NEO. Seems that currently the 737-800 is a bit more efficient than the current A320, perhaps the NEO wont be that drastically more efficient than the 737-800 with the mods.
I also came across an article where a Boeing spokesmen said that there was no way Airbus was going to get a 15% decease in fuel burn with their planed mods (sorry no source to lazy to go find it again). I think Boeing is betting that Airbus won't be able to achieve its calms with the NEO and therefore no need for a 737 redesign, just a guess though.
I also came across an article where a Boeing spokesmen said that there was no way Airbus was going to get a 15% decease in fuel burn with their planed mods (sorry no source to lazy to go find it again). I think Boeing is betting that Airbus won't be able to achieve its calms with the NEO and therefore no need for a 737 redesign, just a guess though.
#18
The graph above may or may not be impartial, I don't know. Seems legit enough for me as long as you take Bombardier and Airbus at their word for their new products. The CASM though seems to point towards the A320 as being the winner because it is a known quantity that will have some staggering 90 or 95% commonality with the current A320 and it's just being improved in the engines and drag. I think AW&ST said the A320 family would go from 4,000 or so to over 10,000 aircraft with the NEO. Whereas the C Series is still in the computer until it flies.
This is summer 2000 numbers: http://www.icao.int/icao/en/ro/allpi...g4/wp28app.pdf
If you do the math and multiply fuel by 2 to 3 times you'll get closer to todays numbers.
#20
Am I reading the graph right, that cost per aircraft mile is on the x axis, and that CASM is on y axis? This would show that the CS-300 has the lowest cost per aircraft mile, its CASM is nearly identical to the 320neo and 737-800 and that the CS-100 has the highest CASM.
X is how much it costs to run the aircraft each mile. Y is CASM.
CASM of course will vary a bit as different carriers put different amount of seats with each plane, and as was stated earlier, acquisition costs factored leaves out a big portion of the equation.
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