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-   -   Odds of Delta TA passing (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/major/67694-odds-delta-ta-passing.html)

DeadHead 05-26-2012 05:32 PM


Originally Posted by SCRWDbyMGMT (Post 1198354)
With ALPA counting votes, of course it's going to pass!:mad:

I know you wrote this as tongue and cheek, but in all seriousness is tampering with the votes something that has come up in the past?
Anyway to verify the integrity of the vote?

Don't mean to sound naive here, just curious.

Everyone is entitled to their opinion, but I hope this thing gets voted down by an overwheliming majority. Definite NO vote here.

nwaf16dude 05-26-2012 06:18 PM


Originally Posted by Delta1067 (Post 1198324)
From reading the opinions here and the polls it doesn't seem like this thing has any steam towards ratification. Who thinks the silent minority will contain enough kool-aid drinkers to pass this? I hope I'm wrong but my gut feeling is that this will pass.

Hard to say...the forum community is such a small fraction of the pilot group that you can't really get a good feel for the mood of the group as a whole from the here. I very rarely fly with anyone that posts here or even reads these boards. ALPA Board participation is probably even lower than here.

crewdawg52 05-26-2012 06:25 PM

Haven't flown in a long time (reserve guy no where near a line), so I cant say or speak from what I've heard. But, I will vote a definite NO. No more rj's, and the pay restitution is not up to par. Shoot, we're loosing a third from profit sharing to finance a pay increase :confused:

Sink r8 05-26-2012 07:22 PM


Originally Posted by nwaf16dude (Post 1198410)
Hard to say...the forum community is such a small fraction of the pilot group that you can't really get a good feel for the mood of the group as a whole from the here. I very rarely fly with anyone that posts here or even reads these boards. ALPA Board participation is probably even lower than here.

Probably the most accurate analysis here. No way to tell on APC.

My hunch is narrow pass or fail. I think Sailing is very fair in his own analysis: Scope is improved, and this is for F/O's, junior CA's on Reserve, CA's that want to upgrade to Reserve in better A/C, N CA's wanting early outs, and people nervous about economy. Senior CA's with no retirement enhancements, and no logical fear of adverse economy probably hate the payrates. Real junior F/O's that don't see value in Section 1, but bite on DPA bait join them. People who are just plain "yes" fatigued join in also, to make it a very narrow vote. Possibly a pass.

Even C2K was hotly contested.

newKnow 05-26-2012 07:30 PM


Originally Posted by Columbia (Post 1198349)
Yep-you and your reverse psychology. I'll bet the biggest yes's will be from the senior ca's. 15 very junior fo's I have spoken with all say heck no.
Funny you are now voting no when you have been one of the stronger defenders of the TA.

Don't get sailing mixed up with slow, alpha, and pineapple. I think he has been a "no" since the details of the TA came out.

If I haven't gotten them mixed up, he said:

1.) Not enough pay
2.) Not enough retirement contribution

groundstop 05-26-2012 08:40 PM

I haven't talked to anyone voting yes... so that is a couple dozen NO's. However... I have a bad feeling its going to pass. The kool-aid flows strong in the south.

BigGuns 05-26-2012 08:45 PM


Originally Posted by SFWB (Post 1198353)
five guys in my Atlanta crashpad. 1 yes. 4 no's. (one he11 no, 2 YGBKM He11 no's and one guy is in orbit he's so disappointed with the offer. Elvis, I'm not in orbit.)

I have been at 3 airlines and have never known anyone to ever say they voted for any contract. Especially while in a crew lounge or crash pad!

TheManager 05-26-2012 08:47 PM


Originally Posted by groundstop (Post 1198490)
I haven't talked to anyone voting yes... so that is a couple dozen NO's. However... I have a bad feeling its going to pass. The kool-aid flows strong in the south.


It is part of the ingrained mindset. Get the mission done. The misson being whatever helps the company.

sailingfun 05-27-2012 02:27 AM


Originally Posted by Columbia (Post 1198349)
Yep-you and your reverse psychology. I'll bet the biggest yes's will be from the senior ca's. 15 very junior fo's I have spoken with all say heck no.
Funny you are now voting no when you have been one of the stronger defenders of the TA.

Not once I have said anything other then I am voting no. What I have defended are statements about the TA that have no basis in fact. Many of the statements seem to be from the same crowd that has been posting stuff like DALPA has agreed with the company to allow 100 seaters at DCI in exchange for a 20, 30, 40 percent pay raise. The group doing that has a agenda and honesty is certainly not part of it.
When people post wild statements they lose all credibility. If you want a no vote on the TA you need to be unemotional and use simple facts.
This is a junior pilots TA. Several reps said exactly that to me. If this TA passes or fails it will be with the bottom half of the list. We will know how each base and segment votes on the TA. Want to put some money on the outcome? The reps of been in the lounges every day even over this holiday weekend. Ask them what they are hearing. I did.

sailingfun 05-27-2012 02:30 AM


Originally Posted by SCRWDbyMGMT (Post 1198354)
With ALPA counting votes, of course it's going to pass!:mad:

Amazing how little pilots know about the process. ALPA never counts the votes. Have you ever attended a single union meeting? Read the policy manual?


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