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Originally Posted by Scoop
(Post 1201960)
Not sure 76 seaters will grow - A No vote may stop this. True, the three for one would allow more 76 seaters but when you consider 70 seaters will have to parked (255 CAP on 70 +76 seaters) the large RJs will not really grow with a NO vote.
If we sold Scope what did we get for it? Scope is too complicated to accurately describe in a bumper sticker. Bad decisions go back decades and the final straw was in BK - I wouldn't really call that selling it. ALPA and DALPA both have made many poor Scope descions - this is very obvious in hindsight. but I am not sure it was obvious back when they were making the decisions. 70 Seat Scope at DAL actually goes back to 1986. Before the RJ, Scope strictly limited seats and made no distinction between jets and Props. Along came the RJ and we have been playing catch up ever since. PM me your E-mail address and I will send you a 5 page history of Scope at DAL written a few years ago be a C-44 guy. Scoop |
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1202271)
The 76 seaters can grow in number regardless. They could get extra 76 seaters if the go over a certain number of mainline planes, which we are about 40 shy of now. Add 88 717s, then add 3 76 seaters for every plane over that limit. Now, it is true they would have to replace 70 seaters with those new 76 seaters, but then Delta would keep 50 seaters around that aren't profitable in high oil. Is that what you want? Keep the less efficient ones? There are 331 50 seaters still on the lease hook through 2015, and this TA brings that down to 125 50 seaters, and allows 102 70 seaters to cover some of those 50 seater routes, in hopes to make more profits on them.
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Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1202271)
but then Delta would keep 50 seaters around that aren't profitable in high oil. Is that what you want? Keep the less efficient ones?
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Originally Posted by JungleBus
(Post 1202323)
That's exactly what I want. Let economics kill the DCI beast once and for all. Let the CRJ become the Edsel of tomorrow's business schools. Make mass outsourcing the folly that all future Delta CEOs wish to avoid repeating.
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Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1201550)
You really are mad. Are you the bottom guy at DL? Sounds like it. Go to a roadshow, please.
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Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1202271)
The 76 seaters can grow in number regardless. They could get extra 76 seaters if the go over a certain number of mainline planes, which we are about 40 shy of now. Add 88 717s, then add 3 76 seaters for every plane over that limit. Now, it is true they would have to replace 70 seaters with those new 76 seaters, but then Delta would keep 50 seaters around that aren't profitable in high oil. Is that what you want? Keep the less efficient ones? There are 331 50 seaters still on the lease hook through 2015, and this TA brings that down to 125 50 seaters, and allows 102 70 seaters to cover some of those 50 seater routes, in hopes to make more profits on them.
Stop running the airline. It is not your job. Hold the line and make this place better in every way you can! The more I read from these yes voters the more I believe someone from "the ballless 16" hijacked their login info. Real pilots can't think like that! :) |
Originally Posted by DLpilot
(Post 1202431)
Amen. We do not want it to be profitable to outsource. If all you care about is profits then give them unlimited large fuel efficient RJs. Then watch domestic mainline shrink away.
That we just won a major grievance over. That are our planes and our pilot jobs, 100%, and do not belong to that non union group. While "only" 5 planes, this is a BFD. If they want those planes, then they can hire 50 more DL pilots and staff them. |
Originally Posted by slowplay
(Post 1201521)
That's not even a burp for one year. In the 80's we hired on average over 600 per year. In the 90's we hired over 500 per year, and that was pre-merger. The system can handle way more than that.
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Gee, gloopy, I didn't know DL mainline pilots wanted to be corporate jet drivers. Who knew? Real ones, not DPJ guys, make DL 767 CA pay, btw.
FF |
Originally Posted by galaxy flyer
(Post 1202935)
Gee, gloopy, I didn't know DL mainline pilots wanted to be corporate jet drivers. Who knew? Real ones, not DPJ guys, make DL 767 CA pay, btw.
FF |
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Riddle me this.....
Didn't oil just close at about 84 dollars a barrell? Who knows (no, really who knows) at what point does the price of oil have to go down to to make the 50 seater viable again? Could Delta's purchase of an oil refinery cause them to maybe look at 50 seaters differently for the future? Denny |
Denny,
Logic tells me "oil killed the 50 seater" is extremely simplistic. Many of the 50 seaters are simply getting older and the model they were used in no longer exists. Sector costs have increased as a result of all the crap we taxpayers have over built into airports from security to Taj Mahal structures like Brunswick where maybe 120 people walk through the terminal a day. These smaller airports got Federal money to build RJ palaces which simply are not self sustaining using local budgets. At the same time travelers began avoiding RJ connections, preferring to drive to the next larger airport and airlines got tired of competing head to head and decided to remove competitive capacity to raise revenues. The 50 seat RJ is like my 300,000 mile airport truck. It isn't comfortable or fashionable. Do I really want to spend $1,000 fixing it up to drive another three years? Management would prefer to buy newer, larger, airplanes to refleet DCI. The thing is half of those newer, larger airplanes are 717's flown by us. That's the deal. If the deal doesn't happen the 50 seater is remains airworthy. Like my old airport truck they'll refresh the engine, put new brakes on it and run the damn thing until it breaks. There are still markets where a CRJ200 fits and management is keeping some of them to fly those markets. Fuel is only a part of the equation. If there is a sufficient revenue premium then the operation still works. Management would prefer to refleet. It is not the end of the World for any of us if they choose option B. In fact, if you like what you see now, that's probably "option B." |
I'm a pretty simplistic guy!:)! Thanks for answering. As far as your last sentence goes, that's the point, I don't particularly like what I see.....But is the alternative any better? I don't know.
Denny |
Originally Posted by Denny Crane
(Post 1203084)
I'm a pretty simplistic guy!:)! Thanks for answering. As far as your last sentence goes, that's the point, I don't particularly like what I see.....But is the alternative any better? I don't know.
Denny I think reality will be somewhere in between the best and worst case, with the wild card of some wide body refleeting once we get our debt in line. |
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
(Post 1203092)
Check out FTB's latest chart. Guaranteed to be the talk of the town later today. Good best case / worst case and I hope he adds a column for status quo with a static fleet +88 717's and 3 to 1 trigger.
I think reality will be somewhere in between the best and worst case, with the wild card of some wide body refleeting once we get our debt in line. It's a spreadsheet designed to force a result. Also, he didn't use a proper "control group", our current PWA. Take a look at his numbers presuming that decrease under our current agreement. Where's the "worst case" there...and with his no vote that's what he's advocating. |
Originally Posted by slowplay
(Post 1201518)
Why is it that the airline with the "weakest" small jet scope never furloughed and the tighter guys did?
Why is it that the most profitable airline for decades has the "strongest" scope with zero small jet given away?? |
Originally Posted by APCLurker
(Post 1203346)
Why is it that the most profitable airline for decades has the "strongest" scope with zero small jet given away??
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Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203363)
Because they run an entirely different business structure. They are really NOT comparable. And their cost structure continues to rise. CASM continues to rise, while PRASM is dropping.
Ah yes, the dalpa "we are not swa" or "swa is not in our peer group" meme. How are they not comparable? You keep spouting off to others in many threads to provide "proof" or "where are your facts." Well, prove it johnso. |
Originally Posted by APCLurker
(Post 1203368)
Ah yes, the dalpa "we are not swa" or "swa is not in our peer group" meme.
How are they not comparable? You keep spouting off to others in many threads to provide "proof" or "where are your facts." Well, prove it johnso. I never said SWA pilots were not in our peer group. YOU put those words in my mouth. I said Southwest the airline and Delta the airline were not comparable. |
Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203363)
Because they run an entirely different business structure. They are really NOT comparable. And their cost structure continues to rise. CASM continues to rise, while PRASM is dropping.
By the way they are very comparable if you both are competing for your customers out of the same customer pool. |
Originally Posted by Eric Stratton
(Post 1203375)
What's the difference between them and the majors other than they don't have first class? Both transport people from point A to point B using the same method of transportation. Where they go may be different but they do the exact same thing. It's not greyhound vs the railroad. It's a passenger airline vs a passenger airline.
By the way they are very comparable if you both are competing for your customers out of the same customer pool. |
Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203373)
Look at their route structure. Is it a hub and spoke system? Does SWA operate multiple fleet types? Do they fly around the world? Do they pay for their pilots type ratings?
I never said SWA pilots were not in our peer group. YOU put those words in my mouth. I said Southwest the airline and Delta the airline were not comparable. 1 airplane vs. multiple. Once again weak and that's up to management. Remember they have 2 right now and getting rid of one and you guys are adding another type rather than getting more of what you have. International shouldn't be a factor because that should pay for itself. If it's a loosing product then once again bad management. Type ratings I'll give you that as a cost savings but they still do the exact same thing as the majors just minus first class. |
Originally Posted by Eric Stratton
(Post 1203379)
So because the hub and spoke doesn't seem to be the most profitable way to run an airline then they can't be compared? Weak argument for bad management decisions.
Originally Posted by Eric Stratton
(Post 1203379)
1 airplane vs. multiple. Once again weak and that's up to management. Remember they have 2 right now and getting rid of one and you guys are adding another type rather than getting more of what you have.
Originally Posted by Eric Stratton
(Post 1203379)
International shouldn't be a factor because that should pay for itself. If it's a loosing product then once again bad management.
Originally Posted by Eric Stratton
(Post 1203379)
Type ratings I'll give you that as a cost savings but they still do the exact same thing as the majors just minus first class.
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Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203378)
It's a different business structure. That's a fact. They are different. Not sure about your last statement. If Delta wants to send someone from LAX-NYC, it'll be nonstop. On SWA, it'll be something like LAX-PHX-MDW-LGA.
Here's where your argument doesn't hold water on the LAX to NYC. Can they both get you from where you are to where you want to go? Yes. Go to delta and pull up that flight. I'll put money on it that it gives you more than just the direct option. I bet they have connecting options too. Just like southwest. You just picked a route that Southwest doesn't do direct and say it's different. Was Continental different because they flew 3 aircraft compared to your 9? |
Originally Posted by Eric Stratton
(Post 1203384)
Then name a route where they both fly non stop and tell me what is the difference? They are both trying to pull from the same passenger pool.
Here's where your argument doesn't hold water on the LAX to NYC. Can they both get you from where you are to where you want to go? Yes. Go to delta and pull up that flight. I'll put money on it that it gives you more than just the direct option. I bet they have connecting options too. Just like southwest. You just picked a route that Southwest doesn't do direct and say it's different. Was Continental different because they flew 3 aircraft compared to your 9? |
Originally Posted by DoubleTrouble
(Post 1201537)
Again with the hiring due to DALPA's scope clause. Could it be the primary reason DAL did not furlough in the second half of '00's is because about 2300 pilots early retired in 2003-2005?
How many RJ's does the SWAPA scope allow, and how many pilots did SWA furlough? There are many reasons an airline expands or contracts. Scope is just one of those reasons. To state as you do above that "the" reason (by omission of any other reason) is misleading. Slow, I like the balance you bring (most of the time) especially when you bring ALL the fact's not just the ones that support your argument! |
Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203373)
Look at their route structure. Is it a hub and spoke system? Does SWA operate multiple fleet types? Do they fly around the world? Do they pay for their pilots type ratings?
I never said SWA pilots were not in our peer group. YOU put those words in my mouth. I said Southwest the airline and Delta the airline were not comparable. And what does multiple fleet type have to do with giving away rj's or not giving away rj's and being profitable (and furloughing, as in slowplays post)? Are you saying that having multiple fleet types somehow makes rj's profitable or a good idea? Seems to me that is a reason to NOT have rj's as we have different types to "fit the bill" ourselves. And flying around the world imho is irrelevant. The rj's we have basically fly domestically. Just like sw does. We could be using a 737 (or smaller mainline) to bring people to those int'l flights, just like swa uses a 737 to bring in people to connect to their other domestic flights. They have been doing it with a profit. And our rj's DO NOT just feed mainline.... Paying for their type ratings??? Now that is reeeaaalllyy a stretch. What on earth does that have to do with the fact that they are the most profitable airline for quite some time and they have no rj's??? That is an irrelevant "comparable" in realtion to a rj vs non rj profitablity discussion. The question I originally posed has to do with "comparable" in regards to rj's and profitablity. Not some red-herring comparable of training. Their pilots still go through the same company required training as ours. Also remember: my original post had to do with slowplays assertion that tighter scope somehow equated into furloughs. |
Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203382)
What's your argument when Delta or any other hub and spoke airline makes more money then SWA? Who is making the poor decisions then?
Then Delta has a better business plan at that time. It doesn't mean they are completely different business' like people want to believe. They both still do the same thing minus/plus first class I see. So how do you intend to serve JFK-TLV or JFK-ACC with a 737? And Delta is taking deliveries of MD90's and B737's. Both types we already have. That's just a different destination. Yes you'll need a different airplane but that doesn't change what both are doing. People like to use that and say it costs the majors differently to do that. Sure it does but shouldn't those ticket prices cover that? If they can't support it, then that's ridiculous to keep doing it. If it cost more to fly to NYC than Witchita and one does it over the other then it doesn't mean it's a different business. And yet they are adding the 717 so another whole set of training and other costs rather than just getting more 737's. Yet they are still doing the same thing as Southwest with all of those airplanes. Nothings different except the same thing, First Class. So international should pay for itself, but domestic shouldn't? It's called route management. If it's profitable, you keep it. If not, bye-bye. It doesn't matter if it's domestic or not. Correct so they are doing the same thing just to different destinations. Same thing except..... They really don't. The SWA operation is different on many levels. Also, Delta seems to be making money just fine. So your poor management argument isn't really holding water. I'm sure Delta and United do things differently on many levels. Doesn't make them different. Still providing virtually the exact same product as Southwest plus or minus destinations and first class. |
Originally Posted by Eric Stratton
(Post 1203395)
For the moment, which makes that last statement just funny. How did they do over the last 12 years compared to Southwest? How has Delta done over their lifetime in bad times compared to southwest?
I'm sure Delta and United do things differently on many levels. Doesn't make them different. Still providing virtually the exact same product as Southwest plus or minus destinations and first class. Southwest does thing differently. Do they serve cities like PIA, SGF, MTY, etc? No, they stay away from the small communities because they can't serve then without a hub and spoke system. |
Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203387)
Yup, Delta will give more options then the non stop. They'll also give options to get you Europe, Africa, and Asia. Does SWA do that? And yes, Continental is different then SWA because they fly multiple types of airplanes.
No under your multiple types of airplanes theory Southwest is just like Continental because they currently have 2 airplanes in their fleet. You haven't gotten them yet have you? Continental must be on a completely different playing field than Delta or American because they have an international base. Can't compare what those guys do..... |
If you don't understand it by now, I can't help you. ;)
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Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203399)
And minus the last 8 years, SWA pilot pay lagged just about everyone else. Even though the company was doing so well. So they as a pilot group really haven't contributed much, have they?
Southwest does thing differently. Do they serve cities like PIA, SGF, MTY, etc? No, they stay away from the small communities because they can't serve then without a hub and spoke system. Southwest, Delta, USAirways, United and American all do things that are different. Doesn't mean that they aren't all going for the same group of people when you compare them on head to head destinations. Not routes but destinations. I know people who will take connections because the direct is expensive or take the direct because the connection route costs too much. They still both do the same thing via the same mode of transportation. |
Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203402)
If you don't understand it by now, I can't help you. ;)
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Johnso,
It is easier to enjoy when Eric Stratton is on your ignore list. He's a troll. |
Originally Posted by sinca3
(Post 1203390)
Funny, we're up to page 7 and no response from Slow. It seems every time a logical argument that actually might prove him wrong comes up he just ignores it.
Slow, I like the balance you bring (most of the time) especially when you bring ALL the fact's not just the ones that support your argument! |
Originally Posted by Eric Stratton
(Post 1203407)
I completely agree with that. They are on top because others fell and if memory serves, their last contract only offered up 2% in raises which was less than historical when they lagged behind. Don't get me started on their pay for training and previously pay for interview.
Southwest, Delta, USAirways, United and American all do things that are different. Doesn't mean that they aren't all going for the same group of people when you compare them on head to head destinations. Not routes but destinations. I know people who will take connections because the direct is expensive or take the direct because the connection route costs too much. They still both do the same thing via the same mode of transportation.
Originally Posted by Eric Stratton
(Post 1203409)
It's like I'm taking crazy pills..... some people just don't get it. :D
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Originally Posted by slowplay
(Post 1203434)
I thought the answer to Trouble's point was common knowlege among DAL pilots. The early retirements were brought up during SLI in the merger in 2008. The vast majority of the nearly 2400 earlies from 2003-2005 would have been retired due to age 60 by December 12, 2007 when the age changed. The time frame we're talking about is when other airlines furloughed in 2008-2009.
Originally Posted by DoubleTrouble
(Post 1201537)
How many RJ's does the SWAPA scope allow, and how many pilots did SWA furlough?
There are many reasons an airline expands or contracts. Scope is just one of those reasons. To state as you do above that "the" reason (by omission of any other reason) is misleading. |
Originally Posted by shiznit
(Post 1203422)
Johnso,
It is easier to enjoy when Eric Stratton is on your ignore list. He's a troll. |
Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1203435)
Hey! We did it!!!! We agree on something!!! :D I too agree that SWA and Delta do similar things. But I also feel the business structure is different between the two. On that, we will likely have to agree to disagree.
:D |
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