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Bill Lumberg 05-31-2012 07:12 AM


Originally Posted by Elvis90 (Post 1201663)
The safe, conservative bet is to vote 'yes'. The risky bet of voting 'no' has the potential to achieve the most benefit, however, in scope, pay and work rules (thinking of ALV+15).

In 2 or more years according to the NMB. That's what was said. It's a definite possibility.

Bill Lumberg 05-31-2012 07:14 AM


Originally Posted by CVG767A (Post 1201667)
To me, it sounds like that refers to their business plan which is reflected in the scope changes in this TA. I'm sure that there is also a business plan without this TA. I would be surprised if management has shared that with DALPA.

The board of directors probably knows, and ALPA has a guy on there, along with confidentiality agreements. Just sayin... Maybe?

vprMatrix 05-31-2012 07:25 AM


Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg (Post 1201666)
.

70 extra 76 seaters are giving us $420 million per year? After parking 150 50 seaters? Really? And how is mainline getting 717s outsourcing? We would be flying those. Parking 150 50 seaters mean 80 less total RJs after adding 70 76 seaters. Less overall is better.

Ask CVG. Those are from his notes from TO's mouth. They are from the first post of the thread.

Less overall is not always better. The company doesn't want 50 seats they do want 76 seaters.

CVG767A 05-31-2012 07:32 AM


Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg (Post 1201678)
The board of directors probably knows, and ALPA has a guy on there, along with confidentiality agreements. Just sayin... Maybe?

I'll grant you that. They might know. That might be a good question for the road show.

CVG767A 05-31-2012 07:36 AM


Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg (Post 1201666)
.

70 extra 76 seaters are giving us $420 million per year? After parking 150 50 seaters? Really? And how is mainline getting 717s outsourcing? We would be flying those. Parking 150 50 seaters mean 80 less total RJs after adding 70 76 seaters. Less overall is better.

That's not what I said. This is: "Cost of this contract is $420 million. This was vehemently challenged by several in the group, citing the Detroit rep's widely known assertion that this is a cost-neutral contract. Tim stated that the cost-neutral statement was mostly for Wall St., and that a cost neutral claim would have to include the added revenue from both the CRJ900s and the 717s. There would be no other way to get to that number."

DAWGS 05-31-2012 07:40 AM


Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg (Post 1201666)
.

70 extra 76 seaters are giving us $420 million per year? After parking 150 50 seaters? Really? And how is mainline getting 717s outsourcing? We would be flying those. Parking 150 50 seaters mean 80 less total RJs after adding 70 76 seaters. Less overall is better.

If it were just less 50s, I would agree with what I just bolded in your comment. Seeing as how we are giving them 70 more 70+ RJs (direct mainline replacement jets), I have to disagree. 325 large RJs under the TA vs. the 255 hard cap we have now is actually more .....not less. Funny how so many guys keep repeating this falsehood.

But using the less is more argument for a moment, we could justify giving them 777s. Hey, it would only be a few airframes. Maybe we could get a few more coins in our pocket and surely we would not have to go through Sec. 6!

Bill Lumberg 05-31-2012 07:47 AM


Originally Posted by DAWGS (Post 1201705)
If it were just less 50s, I would agree with what I just bolded in your comment. Seeing as how we are giving them 70 more 70+ RJs (direct mainline replacement jets), I have to disagree. 325 large RJs under the TA vs. the 255 hard cap we have now is actually more .....not less. Funny how so many guys keep repeating this falsehood.

But using the less is more argument for a moment, we could justify giving them 777s. Hey, it would only be a few airframes. Maybe we could get a few more coins in our pocket and surely we would not have to go through Sec. 6!

Wrong. Overall, there will be less total RJs. There will be more "larger" RJs, but what people are not understanding is that the loss of the 150 50 seaters will create routes for those 102 70 seaters. They will cover a lot of the same routes that the 50s that are being parked are flying now. 150 small RJs hit a lot of important city pairs, but some of them can't make money apparently. That is where the 70 seaters will come in most likely. Where do you think 88 717s will fly to? Places where current 76 seaters are flying? Yeah.... Maybe LGA slot swap RJ routes? Probably.

And your less is more argument is weak. Give 777s? Really? Give a plausible outcome. If you don't think a longer section 6 via the NMB isn't possible, then you need to make some phone calls.

vprMatrix 05-31-2012 07:49 AM


Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg (Post 1201715)
Wrong. Overall, there will be less total RJs. There will be more "larger" RJs, but what people are not understanding is that the loss of the 150 50 seaters will create routes for those 102 70 seaters. They will cover a lot of the same routes that the 50s that are being parked are flying now. 150 small RJs hit a lot of important city pairs, but some of them can't make money apparently. That is where the 70 seaters will come in most likely. Where do you think 88 717s will fly to? Places where current 76 seaters are flying? Yeah.... Maybe LGA slot swap RJ routes? Probably.

:confused:

sevenfiveseven 05-31-2012 07:53 AM


Originally Posted by ayecarumba (Post 1201649)

I've heard it said that in business, you never accept a first offer and that if you're not willing to say "NO", then you're not really negotiating.

I guess we're at the point in the new car negotiation where the salesman says "I gotta talk to my manager." and we say the same thing and turn to our wife. ha ha.


This point was reached weeks ago - by the NC.

Go to a road show. Email/call reps and ask hard questions. . Focus on facts that can be verified then vote - yes or no.

CVG767A 05-31-2012 08:48 AM


Originally Posted by ayecarumba (Post 1201649)

I've heard it said that in business, you never accept a first offer and that if you're not willing to say "NO", then you're not really negotiating.

I guess we're at the point in the new car negotiation where the salesman says "I gotta talk to my manager." and we say the same thing and turn to our wife. ha ha.

One of the FOs I flew with last week said the same thing, more or less. The difference is that our bargaining agent went back and forth over 300 times with that shady car dealer. Now, our agent is bringing us what they say is the best deal they can get. Is it? That's what we all need to decide.


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