![]() |
Originally Posted by tsquare
(Post 1205816)
Your entire scenario is a huge leap.
But.. if you want to go with that, with no TA, we will need fewer pilots. Pump and dump is a real concern because... as you said.. the lift will NOT be needed because of the large (in number) RJ fleet. Furlough will entirely be possible. With the TA, block hour ratios must be maintained. Even if the 88s are parked, the company must fly the remaining airplanes enough to maintain that ratio OR start parking RJs. That ensures jobs will be maintained. (Of course the 717s are paid less because they are smaller.... oh no I di'int) And if they furlough one... single... pilot.. they have to remove 6 seats from ALL the 76s. THAT is punitive, and THAT is some serious furlough protection... However, I know of one way to make this TA result in 0 net gain in airplanes and meet the ratio and forgive me for not using a table. Now to furlough protection, I think my favorite protection was the Compass flow down. I think that costs way too much money for the company to swallow. According to a union correspondence I looked at, we are looking at 24 additional 717s for a total of 112. Park the DC9s, park the 88s, add the 90s up until 65 total, and you get 566 total airplanes along with the Boeings and Airbus. Same as we have today, 566. The ratio using Alfa's numbers comes up to around 1.554. I bet 1.56 when you have the real numbers. Net growth, 0, in exchange for DCI 450/325 up from DCI 600 and declining/255. In that case, what's the upside of 717s for CRJ-900s? Someone mentioned the removal of 6 seats from the 82 seaters... 76 seaters... would cost $35M. I don't know if that is right. No clue. But if it is, it's about 275 FTBs based on my salary + 15% DC + 30% for other employment cost (not including training) = $127,000/ea. |
Originally Posted by forgot to bid
(Post 1205848)
I did forget about the ratio when I said 117 to 105. That would not work. You're right.
However, I know of one way to make this TA result in 0 net gain in airplanes and meet the ratio and forgive me for not using a table. Now to furlough protection, I think my favorite protection was the Compass flow down. I think that costs way too much money for the company to swallow. According to a union correspondence I looked at, we are looking at 24 additional 717s for a total of 112. Park the DC9s, park the 88s, add the 90s up until 65 total, and you get 566 total airplanes along with the Boeings and Airbus. Same as we have today, 566. The ratio using Alfa's numbers comes up to around 1.554. I bet 1.56 when you have the real numbers. Net growth, 0, in exchange for DCI 450/325 up from DCI 600 and declining/255. In that case, what's the upside of 717s for CRJ-900s? Someone mentioned the removal of 6 seats from the 82 seaters... 76 seaters... would cost $35M. I don't know if that is right. No clue. But if it is, it's about 275 FTBs based on my salary + 15% DC + 30% for other employment cost (not including training) = $127,000/ea. You can argue the numbers of airframes all you want, and I am sure that you can justify either position. What I do know is that right now... today... the block hour ratio is 1.19. Contractually, when it goes to 1.56, mainline HAS to grow vis a vis DCI. Has to. I have heard the planned number 1.76 bantered about, and I think it is a tactical mistake to parade that number around, because that is a PLAN. 1.56 is a minimum. An absolute. The block hour ratio is the key ftb.. At that point, it takes the number of airframes out of the equation and focuses squarely on jobs. If I were trying to convince guys of this deal, I would use THAT as a min, and anything else above that is gravy. But that's just me. Even using Auburn math,:D you have to admit that 1.56 gives more flying to mainline than the current 1.19. |
Good questions, by the way, FTB. I've been looking at this thing more in terms of the big picture, and I suppose some of the ranting makes it almost a religious discussion, but not enough in terms of details.
|
Originally Posted by Sink r8
(Post 1205781)
We smile a contented smile, for all is well is the world.
Do you prefer Zoloft or Prozac? Just when I thought Lumberg, slowplay, tsquare and their ilk had lowered our expectations to the point that living in North Korea sounded good, you give us this nonsense. Seriously, if everyone cared as little as you about our pay, benefits, and career progression, we'd be making less than the 14 year old babysitter next door by next month. Thank goodness there are some of us willing to man up to try to better our future prospects and improve our lot. |
Originally Posted by tsquare
(Post 1205854)
The removal of the seats is only part of the picture. At some point in time they would have to re-install them.. and even that doesn't take into account the lost revenue from those 6 seats. I would think that is pretty significant. Definitely not something that management will take lightly.
You can argue the numbers of airframes all you want, and I am sure that you can justify either position. What I do know is that right now... today... the block hour ratio is 1.19. Contractually, when it goes to 1.56, mainline HAS to grow vis a vis DCI. Has to. I have heard the planned number 1.76 bantered about, and I think it is a tactical mistake to parade that number around, because that is a PLAN. 1.56 is a minimum. An absolute. The block hour ratio is the key ftb.. At that point, it takes the number of airframes out of the equation and focuses squarely on jobs. If I were trying to convince guys of this deal, I would use THAT as a min, and anything else above that is gravy. But that's just me. Even using Auburn math,:D you have to admit that 1.56 gives more flying to mainline than the current 1.19. Plus, who says we won't tighten the cap and ratio in the next round? I mean we improve pay rates whenever possible, this is the same thing! |
Originally Posted by shiznit
(Post 1205923)
I don't really like ALPA putting the "planned" ratio out there. The PWA is to protect our jobs, I could not care less about the plan(in reference to PWA terms), the 1.56 is MUCH better than 1.19. Heck, even that is limited by the 450 cap, once the airline grows block hours over a certain point, the 450 limit will keep a lid on DCI.
Plus, who says we won't tighten the cap and ratio in the next round? I mean we improve pay rates whenever possible, this is the same thing! |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 1205944)
Ironically, in putting the planned ratio out there they show once again how much was left on the table. Why wasn't the ratio tightened up to where it is going to be with the full "growth" aircraft. We are leaving them significant flex on the downside from what is being spun by many as growth, whereas it will likely be marginal at best.
|
Originally Posted by shiznit
(Post 1205923)
Plus, who says we won't tighten the cap and ratio in the next round? ... I mean we improve pay rates whenever possible, this is the same thing!
|
Originally Posted by forgot to bid
(Post 1205755)
We don't seem to have a what if this TA passes thread. So outside of the pay rate tables and contract language, thoughts on Delta's next moves if this passes?
Then Delta begins parking older jets all across the mainline spectrum to maintain the same sized fleet we currently have. All of us say, fine but now Delta has to start reducing the number of block hours on those RJ's. Thank God for those block hour ratios. Concern begins to mount when many YES voters realize that the TA they voted in doesn't even require a measuring of the ratios until mid 2014. We scream to management that they're way out of balance. Management says: "We don't think we are, but we'll look at it in mid 2014". In mid 2014, the company finds out they are indeed out of balance. Concern mounts further as the YES voters realize that their TA doesn't require the company to even begin implementing a plan to bring the ratios back in balance until January 2015 (12 months to the amendable date). Delta begins to implement it's plan but says: "This may take a while". DALPA threatens to file a grievance (yes I know, stop laughing) over the imbalance. ALPA national reminds DALPA that such a reduction in block hours at DCI would cost thousands of jobs lost by our ALPA brothers. Management comes to DALPA in March 2015 and says: "Let's talk about opening early and discuss this whole ratio thing...and the time value of money". Carl |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 1205944)
Ironically, in putting the planned ratio out there they show once again how much was left on the table. Why wasn't the ratio tightened up to where it is going to be with the full "growth" aircraft. We are leaving them significant flex on the downside from what is being spun by many as growth, whereas it will likely be marginal at best.
The number we got is the guarantee. The union shouldn't try to "sell" additional growth, because we didn't "purchase" it. We may get it, but we didn't "buy it". If you accept the notion that we actually might have bought some scope in this TA, then I would say it would have been stupid to pay more. In a way, it actually looks to the company like money they left on the table (they're presumably going to deliver a higher number than we paid for). |
| All times are GMT -8. The time now is 01:13 AM. |
Website Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands