Originally Posted by Rotor2prop (Post 2758802)

Does anyone have the data that shows how the ages of flows compare to AA retirements? The age of the average flow up to this point has to be fairly high so it appears AAs retirement curve will stay higher than projected in the numbers that are published. I would just guess that at least 30-40ish percent of flows will retire before 2030 that are already at mainline.

I’d be interested in hearing others opinions about this. Does this data exist? From a business prospective this is interesting.

Originally Posted by Varsity (Post 2759401)

Most of them really aren't that old. Mid-30's. At the time they were hiring, Eagle was hiring really young guys with no experience.

Originally Posted by Varsity (Post 2759401)

Most of them really aren't that old. Mid-30's. At the time they were hiring, Eagle was hiring really young guys with no experience.

Originally Posted by uavking (Post 2759516)

The guys that are flowing right this minute are 34+, more or less. The lot before were older. If you look at the seniority list, flows for the next year are likely in their mid-30's as well. Now, I can't vouch for what PSA or PDT are flowing, but Eagle flows trend older.

Originally Posted by chrisreedrules (Post 2759770)

The pilots flowing from the WOs up until about early 2018 seemed to be from an older demographic. 40+. Now it seems that 30+ is the new norm. With some older and some younger.



Recent Group 2 narrow-body Captain sits around 3.5 years as of the latest award at AA. I would expect time to narrow body Captain to settle around 4-5 years. With time to widebody FO closer to 4. And I would expect this to continue for anyone hired into the mid 2020s.



The retirements at AA are staggering. They will turnover about 75% of their current seniority list by about 2031. And as contracts and pay improve I would expect early retirements to increase above their current levels as well. It’s a good time to be an airline pilot.

Originally Posted by mainlineAF (Post 2759784)

Junior group 2 captain at AA is a 2014 hire.

Originally Posted by chrisreedrules (Post 2760210)

I heard 3.5 years for PHL 320 CA from a couple different people...

Originally Posted by chrisreedrules (Post 2760210)

I heard 3.5 years for PHL 320 CA from a couple different people...

Originally Posted by TheRaven (Post 2760849)

You heard wrong......early 2014 hire