Originally Posted by DarkSideMoon
(Post 2866002)
That depends entirely on your risk tolerance and goals. You want safe and slow? Skywest/Republic/AA wholly owneds/Endeavor are likely either too big or too secure to fail. Some upgrade quicker than others.
You want quick upgrades to get out of the regionals or to make a lot of money and build time quickly? Expressjet, Whiskey, Mesa, Commutair. There's no one right or wrong answer, it all depends on your personal situations. |
Originally Posted by hawk21
(Post 2865970)
Because Horizon has such a great track record. :rolleyes:
When our management isnt burning us to the ground with their ineptitude and arrogance, our performance is probably best in the industry (whatever that's worth). |
Originally Posted by DarkSideMoon
(Post 2866002)
That depends entirely on your risk tolerance and goals. You want safe and slow? Skywest/Republic/AA wholly owneds/Endeavor are likely either too big or too secure to fail. Some upgrade quicker than others.
You want quick upgrades to get out of the regionals or to make a lot of money and build time quickly? Expressjet, Whiskey, Mesa, Commutair. There's no one right or wrong answer, it all depends on your personal situations. |
Originally Posted by TransWorld
(Post 2865959)
Same as a couple of years ago, here is what my crystal ball says. In the next 3 - 8 years (was 5 - 10 years when I made it):
1. American will consolidate their 3 wholly owned to 1. They already tried that a while back...
Originally Posted by PhantomHawk
(Post 2865432)
2. American, Delta, and United each will have no more than 3 regionals to do their flying. This includes any wholly owned.
Originally Posted by PhantomHawk
(Post 2865432)
3. Alaska will revert to just Horizon doing their regional flying.
QX is one camel which already thinks it should live in the tent, they won't want to encourage that.
Originally Posted by PhantomHawk
(Post 2865432)
4. Skywest will be a survivor. Hard to tell who else will survive.
Originally Posted by PhantomHawk
(Post 2865432)
5. A220s (flown by the majors) will take over some of the 76 seat capacity. The 76 seaters will take over some of the 50 seat capacity. A significant portion of the 50 seat planes will be parked.
Originally Posted by PhantomHawk
(Post 2865432)
6. The number of regional carriers will reduce to 1/4 of the number when I made the prediction. Several have already going out of business or been bought out. This will continue.
Originally Posted by PhantomHawk
(Post 2865432)
7. The number of pilots flying for regionals will be 1/2 of what they were. 20,000 pilots will go to 10,000 pilots. A lot of these slots will be added to the number of pilots flying for the majors. Some slots will go away (fewer 76 seat flights replacing 50 seat flights) driven by the pilot shortage.
Originally Posted by PhantomHawk
(Post 2865432)
8. Because of the pilot shortage, at the peak of retirements the majors will be hiring 4,000 pilots per year from the 20,000 pilot pool at the regionals. This is in addition to the hiring of military and other pilots (135, etc.).
|
Originally Posted by stabapch
(Post 2865935)
I’ve said this already in the past, but we are now beginning to witness the consolidation of regional partners among our codeshares. Like every other big change in this industry, DL will lead the charge and AA/UA will eventually follow suit. The outcome will be dedicated “wholly-owned” carriers to one specific codeshare, along with YX and OO as wildcards to tie up any loose ends. If you’re just beginning to enter this industry choose your stepping-stone wisely!
Consolidation has been in process for some time now of which seems to be a trend of consolidating away from TSH companies. |
Originally Posted by stabapch
(Post 2865935)
I’ve said this already in the past, but we are now beginning to witness the consolidation of regional partners among our codeshares. Like every other big change in this industry, DL will lead the charge and AA/UA will eventually follow suit. The outcome will be dedicated “wholly-owned” carriers to one specific codeshare, along with YX and OO as wildcards to tie up any loose ends. If you’re just beginning to enter this industry choose your stepping-stone wisely!
|
Originally Posted by Meow1215
(Post 2866132)
Your 6 months on the line has made you into some type of oracle!
Consolidation has been in process for some time now of which seems to be a trend of consolidating away from TSH companies. Consolidation within regionals has been going on forever yes, not consolidating carriers under codeshares. |
Originally Posted by hawk21
(Post 2866037)
Nobody is making "a lot of money" at any of those companies you listed. "Oh but the 300% at Mesa!" Yeah, the 300% that is not sustainable and can be taken away at any second.
|
Originally Posted by rickair7777
(Post 2866101)
...
I think they'll fly them until they wear out simply because they are relatively cheap (outsourced labor plus most are paid for at this point), scope will not allow them to be replaced with anything bigger and scope is NOT getting relaxed :mad: ... |
Originally Posted by stabapch
(Post 2866143)
Thanks, a new CA as well.
Probably goes great with the hat. |
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