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-   -   What's your guess? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/regional/38867-whats-your-guess.html)

Speedbird172 04-05-2009 06:35 PM

Something will have to be done about this summer I'm thinking, with certain carriers that are picking up hours and are already stretched with reservists etc. Whether or not that lasts who knows, but the markets have been heading in the right direction the last few weeks, so maybe, just maybe there's a sparkle of hope in there somewhere. As for who hires first? Who knows. Guess I'll go with Colgan, seems to be the popular answer here so far; besides they're one of few that don't have pilots on the street as far as I know.

Paok 04-05-2009 06:38 PM

Never......well not for a long time. I dont ever expect to be recalled... so I did something about my future, and joined the military...... I could sit around for the next few years and wait like my friends are......................................... even if they do recall soon, ill be better off with my career path now then going back and being an FO for 12 years.

Airsupport 04-05-2009 07:22 PM

the industry will pick up in 2-3 years. just think about it guys. since the age 65 rule attrition has been held to nearly 0. the only people leaving the majors are guys who cant hold a medical anymore, or wanted out. once the new delta starts losing about 1200 pilots a year in about 3 years the bottom will fall out and this place will look like the 60's all over again. same with usair america west. i mean at usair the most junior captain has a DOH of 3/17/86. there is going to be movement in the next few years. and the movent will make this last run look like we were standing still.

AZFlyn1 04-05-2009 07:48 PM


Originally Posted by TPROP4ever (Post 591077)
1. I hope soon
2. Who knows

Final thought, this will change when it does, none of us control it, but what we can control is what we do with our spare time (that we have recieved). I choose to spend mine with a positive attitiude and telling my wife how much she means to me. Yes the state of the industry is very important, but never forget the most important thing is right under your nose....I lost a friend last month, and it brought me some perspective

Go tell your loved ones how important they are, you never know when it might be your last chance

TProp, I couldn't have said it better myself. I used to think being an Airline Pilot defined my life... I have come to realize these past 18 months that it's just a PART of my life, not MY life... I love my profession, hate seeing what's happening to it, but in the end, family and friends are way more important

Diver Driver 04-05-2009 08:23 PM

1. 1-3 years, depends on a lot of things though...

2. This is hard to guess, a lot of regionals have folks furloughed so look for those that don't have any on the street to hire first because everyone will have to be recalled everywhere else before street hires. My money is on Colgan and Lakes to be first up to bat.

FL450 04-05-2009 08:58 PM

1: One year for the first regional to start the hiring spree

2: Based on delivery schedules Colgan will need to hire in mass exodus to fulfill the slots in the Q

3. All regionals call furloughees back :rolleyes:


disclaimer... its still april so I had to add number 3 in; but I do hope everyone gets called back soon

ZDub 04-06-2009 04:29 AM


Originally Posted by TPROP4ever (Post 591077)
1. I hope soon
2. Who knows

Final thought, this will change when it does, none of us control it, but what we can control is what we do with our spare time (that we have recieved). I choose to spend mine with a positive attitiude and telling my wife how much she means to me. Yes the state of the industry is very important, but never forget the most important thing is right under your nose....I lost a friend last month, and it brought me some perspective

Go tell your loved ones how important they are, you never know when it might be your last chance

Well said. Words to live by....

withthatsaid182 04-06-2009 06:01 AM

when there is some sign of "unity and solidarity"....

flight0813 04-06-2009 08:37 PM


Originally Posted by withthatsaid182 (Post 591342)
when there is some sign of "unity and solidarity"....

Simple and clear you are.
Every fellow pilot I talk with has a sever case of Resignation when it comes to their career. I constantly hear things like "that will never happen", "it will never be as it was", "no way", "we will never be appreciated again", "that idea will never work", "nothings going to change".
What in Gods name is wrong with all of you!
Our profession will become what we as a whole believe we are.

Joepa84 04-07-2009 08:51 AM

It will come back when it comes back. In the mean time just focus on being the best fantasy baseball manager you can be and focus on "positive energy." My Dad, got cancer and turned over this new leaf of "positive attitude=positive energy= positive results" and he is still here...So maybe all this new age crap works?

PS Randolph tell Mortimer I say hello!


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