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-   -   CAL dropping 9L rumors??? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/regional/41011-cal-dropping-9l-rumors.html)

captain152 06-13-2009 01:07 PM

CAL dropping 9L rumors???
 
Anyone else been hearing the latest and greatest rumor that CAL will be dropping 9L entirely at the end of July? I'm not much for rumors, but I thought this one was pretty good, haha, and I work for 9L.:confused::eek:

The Far Sides 06-13-2009 01:13 PM


Originally Posted by captain152 (Post 628030)
Anyone else been hearing the latest and greatest rumor that CAL will be dropping 9L entirely at the end of July? I'm not much for rumors, but I thought this one was pretty good, haha, and I work for 9L.:confused::eek:

They're going to stop using runways designated as 9L? You work for a runway?

SVA402 06-13-2009 01:15 PM

Yeah no kidding, this isn't airliners.net. Lets be grownups and use airline names.

JetJock16 06-13-2009 01:15 PM

Yep, it's true; they're replacing them with Aeromexico under their new Star Alliance agreement. :D :rolleyes:

xtreme 06-13-2009 01:16 PM

Colgan?....

MudPupppy 06-13-2009 01:33 PM


Originally Posted by captain152 (Post 628030)
Anyone else been hearing the latest and greatest rumor that CAL will be dropping 9L entirely at the end of July? I'm not much for rumors, but I thought this one was pretty good, haha, and I work for 9L.:confused::eek:

I assume if that were true then CAL wouldn't be conducting a CRM/TEM course for Colgan Pilots to aid in the new CRM training Colgan is developing.

captain152 06-13-2009 01:38 PM


Originally Posted by SVA402 (Post 628033)
Yeah no kidding, this isn't airliners.net. Lets be grownups and use airline names.

Pardon my lack of grownupness/professionalism.. Yes I'm referring to Colgan being dropped by CAL.. I don't pay much attention to rumors but this is the best one I've heard in a while.

The Juice 06-13-2009 01:50 PM

The problem is with rumors is that they are just that...rumors. We should stick to facts.

Plus CAL dropping Colgan in July, sucks for my July line I was just awarded.

av8sean 06-13-2009 01:55 PM

The other rumor is the Colgan Q400 makes almost double the revenue of an expressjet E145 for about half the cost. I've heard they actually want to get more.

johnso29 06-13-2009 02:05 PM


Originally Posted by av8sean (Post 628053)
The other rumor is the Colgan Q400 makes almost double the revenue of an expressjet E145 for about half the cost. I've heard they actually want to get more.


Looking at Colgan's contract that's not hard to believe. ;)

AirWillie 06-13-2009 02:06 PM


Originally Posted by SVA402 (Post 628033)
Yeah no kidding, this isn't airliners.net. Lets be grownups and use airline names.

THANK YOU.

MudPupppy 06-13-2009 02:16 PM


Originally Posted by av8sean (Post 628053)
The other rumor is the Colgan Q400 makes almost double the revenue of an expressjet E145 for about half the cost. I've heard they actually want to get more.


Colgan gets paid somewhere in the ballpark of 2400.00 per departure. After doing the math if CAL fills up the plane it only costs CAL $32 per pax. Pretty good deal for CAL. Sucks for pilots who average $70 per hour (salary, benefits, training) based on that tribune article.

JoeyMeatballs 06-13-2009 02:36 PM


Originally Posted by av8sean (Post 628053)
The other rumor is the Colgan Q400 makes almost double the revenue of an expressjet E145 for about half the cost. I've heard they actually want to get more.


I am sure the cost of 3407 will far outweigh any savings CAL had planned with the Q400, at least for now. I have noticed a lot of Colgan flying in our open time, it is interesting to say the least. I guarantee you, you wont see Q400's doing any flying in Mexico, but I will also tell ya they are not going anywhere in the northeast

dojetdriver 06-13-2009 02:39 PM


Originally Posted by MudPupppy (Post 628065)
Colgan gets paid somewhere in the ballpark of 2400.00 per departure.

Is Colgan on a FPD or CPA with CAL?

The Far Sides 06-13-2009 02:54 PM


Originally Posted by dojetdriver (Post 628081)
Is Colgan on a FPD or CPA with CAL?

FPD = Fargo Police Department, Flame Photometric Detector?

CPA = Certified Public Accountant...I couldn't even find it by googling it.

I'm going to start a movement against GUATNU (Geeks Using Acronyms That Nobody Understands).

JoeyMeatballs 06-13-2009 02:55 PM

Fee per Departure

Capacity Purchase Agreement

dojetdriver 06-13-2009 02:57 PM


Originally Posted by The Far Sides (Post 628087)
FPD = Fargo Police Department, Flame Photometric Detector?

CPA = Certified Public Accountant...I couldn't even find it by googling it.

I'm going to start a movement against GUATNU (Geeks Using Acronyms That Nobody Understands).

Edited, meatballs is 2 minutes ahead of me.

Like, OMG! Are you like, totally FUBAR? Kidding, don't get excited.

Fee Per Departure as opposed to a Capacity Purchase Agreement.

ExperimentalAB 06-13-2009 02:58 PM

Silly rumors...

MudPupppy 06-13-2009 03:24 PM


Originally Posted by dojetdriver (Post 628081)
Is Colgan on a FPD or CPA with CAL?

The Q400 is paid per departure, Saabs are on a shared revenue program.

deadstick35 06-13-2009 03:25 PM

Excuse me, sir.
Seeing as how the VP is such a VIP,
shouldn't we keep the PC on the QT,
because if it leaks to the VC,
he could end up an MIA,
and then we'd all be put on KP.



kalyx522 06-13-2009 03:28 PM


Originally Posted by johnso29 (Post 628060)
Looking at Colgan's contract that's not hard to believe. ;)

I wasn't aware that we had a contract... thought we were on the "make up the rules as we go" program. :rolleyes:

MudPupppy 06-13-2009 03:38 PM

As far was Colgan getting dropped by CAL, won't happen completely. I don't know when the Saab contract is up, but I think it's around the corner. I could see the Saab contract being terminated then having the next 15 Qs going to IAH.

Now will Colgan still be Colgan a year from now is the real question. There's a lot of outside forces involved in the industry now (mostly politicians). Management will wait until the dust settles with the possible changes coming and then adjust the business model accordingly. I'm planning on three possibilities:

1) PNCL gets rid of Colgan via bankrupcy, rights it off as a poor investment and moves on. Very unlikely.

2) PNCL gets rid of Colgan name, renames company "Simply The Best" airlines and continues on normal course of high work low morale.

3) PNCL picks apart Colgan, puts the Q's on PNCL certificate, rest is sold.

Herb Flemmming 06-13-2009 03:39 PM


Originally Posted by The Far Sides (Post 628031)
They're going to stop using runways designated as 9L? You work for a runway?

where do i send my resume?

JoeyMeatballs 06-13-2009 03:49 PM

It will be like ValueJet-----------> Airtran

Rama04 06-13-2009 03:56 PM


Originally Posted by MudPupppy (Post 628112)
3) PNCL picks apart Colgan, puts the Q's on PNCL certificate, rest is sold.

The only thing around those parts that is worth anything ... the Q flying. This wouldnt be a surprise, especially after the ALPA vote ...

The Juice 06-13-2009 04:06 PM


Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs (Post 628078)
I am sure the cost of 3407 will far outweigh any savings CAL had planned with the Q400, at least for now. I have noticed a lot of Colgan flying in our open time, it is interesting to say the least. I guarantee you, you wont see Q400's doing any flying in Mexico, but I will also tell ya they are not going anywhere in the northeast

I do not think the "costs" outweigh the savings of the Q400 vs RJ's over the next 10 Years. And by costs do you mean the 1 pax out of 100 that wont fly CAL because of 3407 (during the short time before people forget about 3407)

What are you going to put up from that guarantee? Dont make me pull this post up later on like everyone did with your "I love Colgan" thread back in the day.

Cost rules. Check out oil prices lately? As much as Colgan sucks they are cheap and mainline will want cheap once oil is back around $100+ again.

dojetdriver 06-13-2009 04:09 PM


Originally Posted by MudPupppy (Post 628105)
The Q400 is paid per departure, Saabs are on a shared revenue program.

Thanks.


Originally Posted by MudPupppy (Post 628065)
Colgan gets paid somewhere in the ballpark of 2400.00 per departure.

I didn't think the number would be that high. At my previous employer, we were on an FPD with UAL. It cost UAL just shy of $3000 every time we launched a CRJ somewhere. When the flying was put up for bid, the cheaper airlines out there put in numbers for about the same you stated the Q does it at. The thing being, that was for 50 seat jet equipment burning more gas and having higher labor costs, along with all the other associated things that factor in.

The Juice 06-13-2009 04:10 PM


Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs (Post 628119)
It will be like ValueJet-----------> Airtran

This has always been a misconception. ValuJet did not change their name to AirTran. They merged with the smaller company AirTran for their name.

So your logic would suggest Colgan would merge with Big Sky, to be called Big Sky.

Kind of how Comair changed their name to....wait....they still are Comair.

dojetdriver 06-13-2009 04:17 PM


Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs (Post 628078)
I guarantee you, you wont see Q400's doing any flying in Mexico

Why not? COEX used to run ATR's to places in Mexico.

Just going out on a limb here, but I'd venture to guess the Q has better SE performance than an ATR, as well as a higher SE ceiling. Although, the places the ATR went those were not a factor.

JoeyMeatballs 06-13-2009 04:55 PM


Originally Posted by dojetdriver (Post 628137)
Why not? COEX used to run ATR's to places in Mexico.

Just going out on a limb here, but I'd venture to guess the Q has better SE performance than an ATR, as well as a higher SE ceiling. Although, the places the ATR went those were not a factor.

The airplane isn't the problem, from what I have been told the operator is the concern, not the airplane

Juice

Thanks, I didnt know that

dojetdriver 06-13-2009 04:57 PM


Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs (Post 628150)
The airplane isn't the problem, from what I have been told the operator is the concern, not the airplane

Juice

Thanks, I didnt know that

Well, XJT has been doing Mexico for quite some time. So I guess you could say that they have "experience".

But with that being said, would you say that XJT is always on it's "A game" when going down there? If you don't know what I mean, take it to PM's.

Glass houses and all.

xtreme 06-13-2009 05:00 PM


Originally Posted by dojetdriver (Post 628154)
Well, XJT has been doing Mexico for quite some time. So I guess you could say that they have "experience".

But with that being said, would you say that XJT is always on it's "A game" when going down there? If you don't know what I mean, take it to PM's.

Glass houses and all.

I thought beach fly by's were SOP.

JoeyMeatballs 06-13-2009 05:10 PM


Originally Posted by dojetdriver (Post 628154)
Well, XJT has been doing Mexico for quite some time. So I guess you could say that they have "experience".

But with that being said, would you say that XJT is always on it's "A game" when going down there? If you don't know what I mean, take it to PM's.

Glass houses and all.

first off, I fly for Expressjet, check my sig, secondly for some reason I can't PM, and third dont shoot the messenger.......

also I am well aware of our near misses down there

The Juice 06-13-2009 05:29 PM


Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs (Post 628150)
The airplane isn't the problem, from what I have been told the operator is the concern, not the airplane

It is true, Colgan pilots could never fly down in Mexico...not skilled enough.

They should stick to noncontrolled fields in the icy northeast, that stuff is cake. Especially the pilots we have that have winters on the B1900, you know those guys suck and not even skilled enough to fly in Mexico.

Sounds like you are pretty close to Larry K and getting all the good info (No Colgan in Mexico but yes in the northeast). You should ask him what plans he has for your own airline come later this year

JoeyMeatballs 06-13-2009 05:33 PM


Originally Posted by The Juice (Post 628170)
It is true, Colgan pilots could never fly down in Mexico...not skilled enough.

They should stick to noncontrolled fields in the icy northeast, that stuff is cake. Especially the pilots we have that have winters on the B1900, you know those guys suck and not even skilled enough to fly in Mexico.


I hear ya man, like I said dont shoot the messenger. I think it is a PR issue. I have flown with guys like M Woosley at Colgan who are the best sticks I have ever flown with, however in recent light of 3407 I think CAL might just want to wait until the hysteria disappears before they send the Q's down to Mexico.

Of course the peeps I heard this from could have heard it from a F/A, so ya never know

The Juice 06-13-2009 05:37 PM


Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs (Post 628171)
I hear ya man, like I said dont shoot the messenger. I think it is a PR issue. I have flown with guys like M Woosley at Colgan who are the best sticks I have ever flown with, however in recent light of 3407 I think CAL might just want to wait until the hysteria disappears before they send the Q's down to Mexico.


Flying in Mexico is slightly different than flying in the Northeast..............

I got ya, but since there wont be another Q for a year I think the hysteria will be gone. Public is stupid and they will be fixated on the next "Jon and Kate" by then.

dojetdriver 06-13-2009 05:42 PM

....double post.

dojetdriver 06-13-2009 05:44 PM


Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs (Post 628160)
first off, I fly for Expressjet, check my sig, secondly for some reason I can't PM, and third dont shoot the messenger.......

also I am well aware of our near misses down there

First off, I KNOW who you fly for.

Secondly, because of your tertiary statement you DON'T need to PM me, your final statement makes it clear you know exactly what I'm talking about.

But I'm not talking just about those types of things. I have more than one occasion recently where the person I was flying with for some reason didn't know what the difference between Transition Level, and Transition Altitude was. Usually, not that big of deal. But when your climbing out, and the clearance limit is "one eight thousand feet", and you actually reach 18,000 feet before being cleared for higher due to traffic, it can become a big deal. Remember, we've been going down there for YEARS, and we even receive training for ops down there.


Originally Posted by xtreme (Post 628155)
I thought beach fly by's were SOP.

Too bad they're not.


Originally Posted by The Juice (Post 628175)
I got ya, but since there wont be another Q for a year I think the hysteria will be gone. Public is stupid and they will be fixated on the next "Jon and Kate" by then.

Exactly, won't be too long before the general public forgets all about it.

dashtrash300 06-13-2009 05:52 PM

Did US Airways also drop Colgan? The reason I ask is because Piedmont and PSA was given more flying until December.

ExperimentalAB 06-13-2009 05:58 PM


Originally Posted by dashtrash300 (Post 628186)
Did US Airways also drop Colgan? The reason I ask is because Piedmont and PSA was given more flying until December.

You mean possibly have reduced their flying, perhaps?


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