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Originally Posted by afterburn81
(Post 721691)
First off, there are a lot more than 1375 active pilots. It's 1557 active pilots.
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yeah I was looking at awarded lines (includes reserve lines) to get the total number.
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Originally Posted by flyingkangaroo
(Post 721700)
I think he is taking out the mil leave, Instructors, and med leave... Yeah I would think you are right on but there is likely going to be an adjusted model given the new bases. Also, any change to duty time regulations will require more pilot staffing.
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Originally Posted by Av8trix
(Post 721687)
Trying to figure out current staffing levels. If I get this wrong some one correct me, since I'm a noob with this. 159 airframes currently, loosing 6, down to 154 in the spring.
I count roughly 1375 total active (bids awarded) pilots so.. 1375 / 154 = 8.9 pilots or 4.45 crews per a/c? That sounds a lot tighter than I would have expected, am I borking the math/aircraft/pilot counts somewhere? Same figures, well - close enough, to what I came up with about a month ago. 10 pilots per plane is a comfortable staffing level for the most part. 4.5-4.8 crews per a/c tend to provide sufficient reserve/sick/vacation leaves. So, they're kinda cutting it close. The transition will be entertaining. My previous post though, to whoever replied, wasn't in regards to seeing a recall. Delta mainline is looking at a 7% YOY increase in block hours. How that may trickle down to increasing sub-contract feed demand is yet to be determined. |
Originally Posted by Intl Jumper
(Post 721411)
John,
are they still planning on sending 25-35 crews to IAD in addition to ORD, or is the next displacement just going to happen because the ORD base is opening? I am confused about this. |
Originally Posted by surreal1221
(Post 721867)
Nope, you got it right.
Same figures, well - close enough, to what I came up with about a month ago. 10 pilots per plane is a comfortable staffing level for the most part. 4.5-4.8 crews per a/c tend to provide sufficient reserve/sick/vacation leaves. So, they're kinda cutting it close. The transition will be entertaining. My previous post though, to whoever replied, wasn't in regards to seeing a recall. Delta mainline is looking at a 7% YOY increase in block hours. How that may trickle down to increasing sub-contract feed demand is yet to be determined. |
Originally Posted by John Pennekamp
(Post 721871)
I really haven't heard anything detailed like that, but my opinion is that ORD will be in addition to what's already going to IAD. It's no secret that Mesa is in the bottom of the ninth, and down. I predict SOME of UAL's Mesa flying coming our way. Scott's change from no base, to base would seem to confirm that. Of course, don't believe anything until you see it on a bid sheet.
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This is what SH told me:
No we are still downsizing ATL due to the aircraft moving out of here. We still have the remaining 6 aircraft to find work for. If we perform well with United then possibly more work but ExpressJet is very aggressive since they have a lot of unused aircraft. |
Originally Posted by flyingkangaroo
(Post 721897)
John, there has been nothing from management to indicate that. I remember SH specifically saying that it looks like the bulk of the flying will be out of ORD now, and nothing about additional stuff. Do you know something the rest of us don't? Or did I confuse what you are saying? Did you just mean that IAD staffing will stay at about 60 and not reduce?
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So based off an e-mail that was sent out awhile ago, ASA might not be opening an ORD base. However, it seems SkyWest will be increasing its block hours significantly for 2010 (possible hiring). Is ASA seeing the same thing?
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