Lateral moves from Eagle?
#1
Gets Weekends Off
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Joined APC: Jan 2013
Posts: 1,648
Lateral moves from Eagle?
Actually looking for a little advice here. I have heard many horror stories of lateral moves not working and typically standing pat at your current regional works best, but I'm considering the idea given Eagle's new future (or lack thereof).
The way I see it anyone with a seniority number > 2000 is looking at a pretty uncertain future. Even if the concessions are voted in (god forbid) we're still looking at a fleet of 107 aircraft (47 CRJ / 60 ERJ) which is significantly smaller than what we have today. This means that even with the flow our relative seniority will stagnate until the staffing reaches levels more in line with that fleet size, in short upgrades are still quite a way off. As to the flow even at 50% of new hire classes we're looking at 6 years and 4000 pilots minimum hired at AA before our number is called (assuming the agreement goes as written).
So compare that to places like:
Skywest (stability)
Compass (playing the upgrade lottery)
PSA...haha just kidding
What do you guys think? Is it time to abandon ship? Thanks for the responses.
The way I see it anyone with a seniority number > 2000 is looking at a pretty uncertain future. Even if the concessions are voted in (god forbid) we're still looking at a fleet of 107 aircraft (47 CRJ / 60 ERJ) which is significantly smaller than what we have today. This means that even with the flow our relative seniority will stagnate until the staffing reaches levels more in line with that fleet size, in short upgrades are still quite a way off. As to the flow even at 50% of new hire classes we're looking at 6 years and 4000 pilots minimum hired at AA before our number is called (assuming the agreement goes as written).
So compare that to places like:
Skywest (stability)
Compass (playing the upgrade lottery)
PSA...haha just kidding
What do you guys think? Is it time to abandon ship? Thanks for the responses.
#3
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Joined APC: Feb 2013
Posts: 264
#4
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: May 2009
Position: Another RJ FO
Posts: 1,272
I'm currently out on a trip with a captain who made a lateral move after 7 years (5 of being a captain) at another regional because he anticipatied things going way downhill fast for him there. He was right and it ended up being a good move for him. He wouldn't have fared well at his first regional. I'm sure there are hundreds of other people who have taken that gamble and lost it though too. The airlines are unpredictable and the regionals are even more unpredictable. If you do make a lateral move it will be a gamble. It could work out great or you could regret it in 10 years.
#6
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Joined APC: Jan 2013
Posts: 1,648
What I'm wondering is, do you have some concrete information we just don't know yet? Or is this betting on the outcome that APA gets those 175s? A lot is up in the air, hopefully it gets resolved sooner rather than later.
#7
Lateral moves from Eagle?
I stayed at Comair till the end. If I had it to do over again I would have left at the first sign of trouble. All of my friends that bailed early are captains and I am swinging their gear.
#9
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Joined APC: Jun 2008
Position: Reclined
Posts: 2,168
You were replaced by a much younger and cheaper regional. That dynamic probably wouldn't line up just right again in any of our lifetimes.
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