The "Looming Pilot Shortage", (circa 1989)
#21
Are we there yet??!!
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 2,010
Likes: 0
The difference is this: there's a plentiful supply of foreign computer geeks (willing to work for poverty wages) for BOTH American and Non-American companies to draw from but there is NOT a plentiful supply of foreign pilots (willing to work for poverty wages) for EITHER American or Non-American companies to draw from.
Same thing happened in the IT industry. Took them about 6-10 yrs to catch up but the did.
Guys I graduated with in the early 90s could almost write their own ticket in the IT industry.
The were being offered starting salaries in the $60k-$70k range and were still a semester from graduation.
Fast forward 20 yrs later and the starting salaries are lower (much lower if you factor inflation) and you can't swing a dead cat without hitting a guy with a IT degree.
Just look at the US Merchant Marine fleet or lack thereof. Another victim of the "Flag of Convenience"
#22
The long term goal is to make airplanes smarter, so pilots can be dumber and have less skill. Airbus started this track earlier, seeing the rising demand in Asia. They are designing airplanes for a guy who previously drove a tractor. We've seen how this line of thinking ends up. You can't trust automation to fly an airplane yet, but they are trying hard to produce this. When this happens OR they convince people it has happened, everyone will be able to get a certificate. ALPA should be pointing out what happened with the "operators" on Air France 447 who were not properly trained--the plane killed them and all aboard. This is why I view ALPA as a failure; they have plenty of opportunity to air the dirty laundry to the public and they don't.
#23
Prime Minister/Moderator

Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 45,127
Likes: 796
From: Engines Turn or People Swim
Give it time and there will be.
Same thing happened in the IT industry. Took them about 6-10 yrs to catch up but the did.
Guys I graduated with in the early 90s could almost write their own ticket in the IT industry.
The were being offered starting salaries in the $60k-$70k range and were still a semester from graduation.
Fast forward 20 yrs later and the starting salaries are lower (much lower if you factor inflation) and you can't swing a dead cat without hitting a guy with a IT degree.
Same thing happened in the IT industry. Took them about 6-10 yrs to catch up but the did.
Guys I graduated with in the early 90s could almost write their own ticket in the IT industry.
The were being offered starting salaries in the $60k-$70k range and were still a semester from graduation.
Fast forward 20 yrs later and the starting salaries are lower (much lower if you factor inflation) and you can't swing a dead cat without hitting a guy with a IT degree.
Some coding can be offshored, but if you're a US citizen with reputable degree in a computer/systems/EE field you'll have no trouble getting a job in the defense industry.
Not to mention there's simply no source of cheap foreign pilots. This could change but it will be a long time coming, and would probably require MCPL. Congress is probably not going to raise domestic airline pilots standards to ATP and then turn around and allow foreigners with equivalent of a PPL and some flight sim experience to fly US domestic service.
#24
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 3,153
Likes: 16
The long term goal is to make airplanes smarter, so pilots can be dumber and have less skill. Airbus started this track earlier, seeing the rising demand in Asia. They are designing airplanes for a guy who previously drove a tractor. We've seen how this line of thinking ends up. You can't trust automation to fly an airplane yet, but they are trying hard to produce this. When this happens OR they convince people it has happened, everyone will be able to get a certificate. ALPA should be pointing out what happened with the "operators" on Air France 447 who were not properly trained--the plane killed them and all aboard. This is why I view ALPA as a failure; they have plenty of opportunity to air the dirty laundry to the public and they don't.


