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Old 07-30-2011, 08:35 PM
  #31  
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Originally Posted by jungle View Post
My point exactly, this points to complete regulatory failure, the only groups actually doing something about this are within private industry. Voting present just doesn't get it.

Not a single NTSB report has named the batteries as a causal factor. Read them yourself.

Please feel free to quote anything to the contrary.

Until you have had the "pleasure" of participating in an investigation involving your friends, you obviously don't understand the failure.
If the above was your point exactly, you should learn to get to it quicker. Because when you post stuff like this:

Originally Posted by jungle View Post
Narrator: A new car built by my company leaves somewhere traveling at 60 mph. The rear differential locks up. The car crashes and burns with everyone trapped inside. Now, should we initiate a recall? Take the number of vehicles in the field, A, multiply by the probable rate of failure, B, multiply by the average out-of-court settlement, C. A times B times C equals X. If X is less than the cost of a recall, we don't do one.
Woman on plane: Are there a lot of these kinds of accidents?
Narrator: You wouldn't believe.
Woman on plane: Which car company do you work for?
Narrator: A major one.
[Plane turns heavily, narrator thinks to himself]: Every time the plane banked sharply, I prayed for a crash, or mid air collision, I wonder what the insurance claim for something like that would be.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
It tells me that you should sober up before you post.

Carl
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Old 07-30-2011, 09:07 PM
  #32  
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Originally Posted by Carl Spackler View Post
If the above was your point exactly, you should learn to get to it quicker. Because when you post stuff like this:



It tells me that you should sober up before you post.

Carl
And yet you have no factual information to counter anything I have said, keep defending the incompetent and corrupt and you will be just where you are now.

The regulators have done zero to prevent these events. We all know it, most of us can't admit it.

Come back when you have any facts to the contrary.
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Old 07-30-2011, 11:21 PM
  #33  
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Originally Posted by jungle View Post
And yet you have no factual information to counter anything I have said,
In the post I was responding to, you offered no factual information at all. It was intemperate at best. Here it is again for your review:

Originally Posted by jungle View Post
Narrator: A new car built by my company leaves somewhere traveling at 60 mph. The rear differential locks up. The car crashes and burns with everyone trapped inside. Now, should we initiate a recall? Take the number of vehicles in the field, A, multiply by the probable rate of failure, B, multiply by the average out-of-court settlement, C. A times B times C equals X. If X is less than the cost of a recall, we don't do one.
Woman on plane: Are there a lot of these kinds of accidents?
Narrator: You wouldn't believe.
Woman on plane: Which car company do you work for?
Narrator: A major one.
[Plane turns heavily, narrator thinks to himself]: Every time the plane banked sharply, I prayed for a crash, or mid air collision, I wonder what the insurance claim for something like that would be.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Originally Posted by jungle View Post
keep defending the incompetent and corrupt and you will be just where you are now.
Not defending the incompetent. Only advising the intemperate to sober up before they post.

Originally Posted by jungle View Post
The regulators have done zero to prevent these events. We all know it, most of us can't admit it.
I completely agree. You do much better sober.

Carl
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Old 07-31-2011, 02:21 PM
  #34  
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Originally Posted by jungle
Narrator: A new car built by my company leaves somewhere traveling at 60 mph. The rear differential locks up. The car crashes and burns with everyone trapped inside. Now, should we initiate a recall? Take the number of vehicles in the field, A, multiply by the probable rate of failure, B, multiply by the average out-of-court settlement, C. A times B times C equals X. If X is less than the cost of a recall, we don't do one.
Woman on plane: Are there a lot of these kinds of accidents?
Narrator: You wouldn't believe.
Woman on plane: Which car company do you work for?
Narrator: A major one.
[Plane turns heavily, narrator thinks to himself]: Every time the plane banked sharply, I prayed for a crash, or mid air collision, I wonder what the insurance claim for something like that would be.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


I get it, that is Ed Norton in Fight Club.



But to those who lost their lives and those that will in the future, I sure hope and pray something is done about the LI batteries we all (pax and cargo) seem to have onboard flying all over the world.
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Old 07-31-2011, 03:16 PM
  #35  
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Originally Posted by HankHill View Post
Originally Posted by jungle
Narrator: A new car built by my company leaves somewhere traveling at 60 mph. The rear differential locks up. The car crashes and burns with everyone trapped inside. Now, should we initiate a recall? Take the number of vehicles in the field, A, multiply by the probable rate of failure, B, multiply by the average out-of-court settlement, C. A times B times C equals X. If X is less than the cost of a recall, we don't do one.
Woman on plane: Are there a lot of these kinds of accidents?
Narrator: You wouldn't believe.
Woman on plane: Which car company do you work for?
Narrator: A major one.
[Plane turns heavily, narrator thinks to himself]: Every time the plane banked sharply, I prayed for a crash, or mid air collision, I wonder what the insurance claim for something like that would be.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


I get it, that is Ed Norton in Fight Club.



But to those who lost their lives and those that will in the future, I sure hope and pray something is done about the LI batteries we all (pax and cargo) seem to have onboard flying all over the world.
Thanks, I knew someone would.

My boy Carl is often a little slow on the uptake, but he more than makes up for it with highly repetitive gibberish. God bless his little heart.
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Old 07-31-2011, 03:19 PM
  #36  
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If i remember correctly-read the posts a long time ago: Fedex developed their own wide-body main deck fire suppression system. It works on both metal containers and palletized cargo. They were installing them on all their widebodys. I don't know if it works on lithium batteries, but I don't see why it couldn't be adopted to suppress those fires also. They were planning on selling it to other companies.

I think all the 747s need to be retrofitted with this system, regardless of the lithium battery situation.

As others have noted, not allowing shipments of lithium batteries on aircraft would help. For items like the ipad, the battery could be built to be installed, just like a computer battery. If apple builds the ipads/batteries in another continent than the one they are selling them on, they can transport the batteries by sea, and install them in the other continent before they are delivered.

On the other hand, making a new type of battery (or energy source) that doesn't catch fire would also be nice.

cliff
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Old 08-01-2011, 12:58 PM
  #37  
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The issue with the lithium batteries are threefold:
  1. The way they're packaged (internally within the device), and the amount of them (usually hundreds of these devices on a pallet) make it difficult to identify a thermal runaway issue before it's out of control, especially from the flightdeck.
  2. Once a thermal runaway occurs, to 'supress' or 'extinguish' the runaway requires cooling the thermal issue, whereas most other on-board fires are controlled by denying oxygen through the use of halon and/or depressurization. Halon and/or depressurization will not effectively suppress a thermal runaway event.
  3. Because these thermal runaways usually lead to total hull loss, it is impossible to determine EXACTLY where the fire started, only that the lithium batteries where some of the cargo items to burn first. The shipping industry therefore maintains that the batteries are not the ignition source, so the current regulations are satisfactory. This is the issue that 'Jungle' pointed out.

What does this mean for cargo pilots?

If you have a thermal runaway on a pallet, you're not going to be able to control it unless you can recognize it and properly administer to it. A 'particle detector' triggered fire detection system will accurately show there's smoke, but where's the event itself? The nature of air circulation in an aircraft while pressurized, particularly on the main deck of a 747, results in the particle detector that is triggering is not necessarily representative of the location of the pallet producing the smoke. Furthermore, if the lithium battery 'running away' is located in the middle of a pallet of hundreds of items (rather than on the accessible 'exterior' of the pallet), you're not going to be able to effectively cool it, even if you know EXACTLY where it is and how to cool it.

Check out this FAA video to get a full understanding of the problem, and how to properly fight a thermal runaway. Skip ahead to 6:14 into the video to see why using a Halon fire extinguisher is NOT effective.

Whether a lithium battery issue or something else, we must always hope that something can be gained from the recent tragedies of both UPS and Asiana.
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Old 08-01-2011, 01:20 PM
  #38  
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Originally Posted by Sniper View Post
The issue with the lithium batteries are threefold:
  1. The way they're packaged (internally within the device), and the amount of them (usually hundreds of these devices on a pallet) make it difficult to identify a thermal runaway issue before it's out of control, especially from the flightdeck.
  2. Once a thermal runaway occurs, to 'supress' or 'extinguish' the runaway requires cooling the thermal issue, whereas most other on-board fires are controlled by denying oxygen through the use of halon and/or depressurization. Halon and/or depressurization will not effectively suppress a thermal runaway event.
  3. Because these thermal runaways usually lead to total hull loss, it is impossible to determine EXACTLY where the fire started, only that the lithium batteries where some of the cargo items to burn first. The shipping industry therefore maintains that the batteries are not the ignition source, so the current regulations are satisfactory. This is the issue that 'Jungle' pointed out.

What does this mean for cargo pilots?

If you have a thermal runaway on a pallet, you're not going to be able to control it unless you can recognize it and properly administer to it. A 'particle detector' triggered fire detection system will accurately show there's smoke, but where's the event itself? The nature of air circulation in an aircraft while pressurized, particularly on the main deck of a 747, results in the particle detector that is triggering is not necessarily representative of the location of the pallet producing the smoke. Furthermore, if the lithium battery 'running away' is located in the middle of a pallet of hundreds of items (rather than on the accessible 'exterior' of the pallet), you're not going to be able to effectively cool it, even if you know EXACTLY where it is and how to cool it.

Check out this FAA video to get a full understanding of the problem, and how to properly fight a thermal runaway. Skip ahead to 6:14 into the video to see why using a Halon fire extinguisher is NOT effective.

Whether a lithium battery issue or something else, we must always hope that something can be gained from the recent tragedies of both UPS and Asiana.
Great summary, but my point is that the regulators have admitted there may be a problem, but they have taken no action, or actually cited the batteries as a direct cause of several hull/crew loss accidents. The shippers (fedex/ups) have actually spent a lot of time and money working on real solutions, some of which they are currently implementing fleet wide.

In other words, it has their full attention, maybe it won't take another hull/crew loss to make these changes industry wide. Maybe it will.
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Old 08-02-2011, 05:11 AM
  #39  
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Originally Posted by jungle View Post
. . . In other words, it has their full attention, maybe it won't take another hull/crew loss to make these changes industry wide. Maybe it will.
If an air cargo carrier really wanted to take a stand, they would refuse to accept these shipments (many are not properly labeled, of course), or develop a special container for this cargo that would contain the damage, preventing the spread of the event (at additional cost to the shipping system, likely significant). The continued acceptance of these known shipments in their current packaging is an unambiguous statement: the profit of shipping a potential thermal runaway is worth the cost of a potential hull loss and/or crew deaths.
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Old 08-02-2011, 09:07 AM
  #40  
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deleted ..............

Last edited by Radials Rule; 08-02-2011 at 09:10 AM. Reason: off topic
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