Quote:
Originally Posted by ASAPsafetyGUY
So when can a pilot hired today reasonably expect to upgrade here?
Normal first available upgrade ran about 65% on the seniority list prior to current fleet growth beginning. Assuming a pilot group of 3200 on 1 Jan 2023 with a static fleet of 290 airframes after all announced deliveries are complete, one would need to be 2100ish to reach the left seat. From 1 Jan 2023 through 31 Dec 2030, we mandatory retire 1149 pilots.
Lots o' variables there though...when I was hired I was 10 years to 65% based on mandatory retirements alone but in a few months we'll have people activate as Captains prior to their 5th anniversary due to growth and retirements prior to age 65.
Caveat emptor, past performance not indicative of future results, etc etc.