Whether a Regional offers a bonus or not is going to be the least of your worries over the next 4 to 5 years.

At the FAPA virtual pilot fair they said cadet interviews only, has that changed?

So it looks like while the recovery is still slow, it’s recovering slightly quicker than most “experts” predicted. So, at what point would hiring start back up? It looks like today the TSA numbers reached roughly 15% of last year’s same day. At what percentage might airlines start deciding to start training new hires again? I know there was already a shortage of pilots before this all started. During the pandemic, I’m sure a few have left for cargo gigs and a lot of AAL pilots took the early retirement. Any thoughts?

You need pilots to move out to create space for pilots to move in. So until the big 6, more specifically the big 3, start hiring again there will be little movement in the Regional levels.

The best answer right now is that nobody knows. You'll just have to "hurry up and wait" like the rest of us.

We all need travel demand to get back to what it was. Honestly, this year, 2020 is shot. Even with states lifting stay at home orders it does not mean people will return to travel right away. The economy has suffered a massive blow from jobs lost and economic stagnation. People are strapped for cash and not spending money like before. Business are adapting to having their workers work from home. The major airlines have retired jets early and a lot of senior pilots took early retirement so the "pilot shortage" is not what it once was. To top it all off, not to make this a political debate, but this is an election year and that will have an impact for 2021 depending on the outcome. Right now the best thing we can all hope for is increased demand and no layoffs come October 1st.

I’ve heard that Piedmont may be one of the first to start training again (depending on what American lets them do) because they were so behind on pilots before the pandemic began. Any truth to this?

I wouldn’t doubt it, I would say with everything going on now we are “properly staffed”, which is kind of sad but that’s what happens when the company kicks the can down the road with improved QOL.

That would be a good sign for everyone. Legit question though, has anyone heard what AA is wanting to do come OCT 1? Once everything begins rolling downhill to the WO?

We need to take this speedbump in the economy and keep rolling....

The consensus on the AA forum seems to be zero pilot furloughs.

Great news!! Now to see what happens to us...