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Originally Posted by simscott
Crazy that starting fire fighter pay in Texas is mid $50’s, for 6 months of training. Yet a few years, numerous check rides and a $70k debt later you’re lucky to get a $45k a year regional job.
The sign on bonus may be a thing of the past but if they eliminate it they will discourage many career changer that just can’t afford the pay cut. And let’s be honest, during the last few good years the majority of new hires were career changers 35-50 year olds.
That's how supply and demand labor markets work. Now we need pilots to change careers to bring things back in balance. We'll see what happens in October but assuming no furloughs is fairly illogical a priori.
Things will improve but your base case assumption should be a long slog. Hopefully we can hold the line and avoid a tidal wave of consessions. But to expect any gains for the next 2-3 years is extremely unrealistic.
The only way we got where we are today was the pipeline virtually stopping for at least half a decade.
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