I'm on EIL, and plan on taking the unpaid leave to complete the 15 months away plan. Looking at the projections for pax returning, it seems that there would be a possibility for NK to offer a continued "voluntary furlough" for an extended time. Any thoughts? I haven't flown since March so I admit my finger is not quite on the pulse of what is going on.

J

 

I think anything is possible at this point.


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Where are you seeing these projections at? Ultimately, no one has any clue. Like the morons that claim we won’t be pre-Covid until 2024 or 2030 or not until 55 years from now. 🙄

Heres what I know. Every holiday weekend has been bigger and better than the one before. July 4th we hit 760k. Labor Day weekend was nearly 1 million coming in at 980k pax.

A lot of people feared/expected that September (after Labor Day) everything was going to nose dive hard with school resuming and summer being over. That hasn’t happened.

We are still holding well into the 700ks on weekends and improving Tues/Weds and Sat numbers Week over Week.

I just read 22 states are seeing increases in cases now. Yet again, pax numbers aren’t decreasing. This is a good sign.

We just dropped a ton of flying out of FLL in IOT for October. Restarted multiple International flights. I don’t think they are adding this much back on a hope and prayer type strategy.

Given the trend, Thanksgiving/Xmas season will absolutely be well over 1mill pax a day during those weekends.

 

I have no idea what's going to happen after the EIL, but from the last P2P, VIL numbers will be much lower than before for November. I guess we'll find out in a couple of days.

 

Dang son, you're over there talking about who's gonna win the Heisman and we're still in the preseason

In all seriousness, I would be floored if EILs continued beyond the current projection. I'm even betting they ask people to come back early. Election season is almost over, a vaccine will be available at some point during that time frame, and unless they can conjure up something super scary, like COVID mutating into a zombie inducing hell where people die and start eating each other, then I think life will largely return back to normal by next spring/summer.

 

Hahah. I took another flying job, just trying to prognosticate. I sure hope it comes back sooner than later.


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doubt there will be any more eil. we are adding back a ton and have heard they will be asking pilots to come back early

 

I agree...email today from the scheduling committee confirmed that there is a "slight uptick in load" and they expect more hours for November. I hope they do ask guys to come back first of the year...better than the alternative when there most likely will be legacy carriers with guys on the street still.

 

I even heard we are going to start hiring again. You heard it here first!

 

It would definitely be great news if they started to offer early returns from EIL but I was kind of looking forward to 6-8 months in lineholder territory.