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-   -   Will BRAVO take us to the promised land? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/spirit/148706-will-bravo-take-us-promised-land.html)

symbian simian 11-22-2024 08:58 AM


Originally Posted by VacancyBid (Post 3854445)
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1498710/000095010324016405/ex9905_037.jpg

This is the key slide. It shows the pivot from $50-$150 fares to $200-$400 fares.

If you do a little math, they are looking to dump $1 billion in revenue from their current customer base and pick up $1.5 billion from the new upmarket crowd.

Put another way, they're basically looking to totally abandon their current customers and swap for a totally new group of consumers.

They are basing getting profitable by raising market share in the $200 class from 15% to 20%, sloping to the $600 class from 1.5% to 15%. Maybe getting another 5% @ $200 is achievable, but getting 10 times as many people @ $600 and over 15% of everyone in between without a new pitch & more BFSs, new gate people, food in the airplanes, better reservations options (person you can talk to) is not going to happen. I heard UAL didn't want NK planes because it would take too long and expensive to reconfigure them.

Napkin math: for the first 6 months of the year, NK lost $350M, flying 12M people at $108/person. Breaking even would have required another $30/person. Focussing on getting an extra $50 has a better chance than focussing on an extra $500...

gonyon 11-22-2024 09:14 AM


Originally Posted by BKbigfish (Post 3854542)
That’s what the BFS and blocked middle premium seating are in the short term. From what I can tell seat pitch will supposedly change (at least in the premium section) starting in 2025. Along with in seat power? Who knows. I’ve yet to see this management team implement anything effectively. One would think in order to work these cabin configuration changes would need to take place in relatively short order so that higher end customers giving the new product a try wouldn’t get frustrated at an inconsistent product and bail back to the legacies.

You’re right increased seat pitch was mentioned. That would probably require fewer seats. I think it would take actually offering different seats in addition to the added leg room. We have two hour seats. They are absolutely miserable beyond that amount of time.

CatPilot1 11-22-2024 09:46 AM


Originally Posted by gonyon (Post 3854651)
You’re right increased seat pitch was mentioned. That would probably require fewer seats. I think it would take actually offering different seats in addition to the added leg room. We have two hour seats. They are absolutely miserable beyond that amount of time.


This is all smoke and mirrors. The bond holders know then’ll make more money selling the assets piecemeal than all at once via chapter 7 liquidation. So they injected some money to keep the operation going while they figure out how to lose less money.

This injection was to avoid chapt 7 and was a lifeline. Now they actually take control of the company, which is a big deal; they can start selling off everything. Ted's job is to get $3.8m bonus to ride it to the end and keep order here, not create panic

Ted got his parachute ahead of time.

JulesWinfield 11-22-2024 12:00 PM


Originally Posted by CatPilot1 (Post 3854659)
This is all smoke and mirrors. The bond holders know then’ll make more money selling the assets piecemeal than all at once via chapter 7 liquidation. So they injected some money to keep the operation going while they figure out how to lose less money.

This injection was to avoid chapt 7 and was a lifeline. Now they actually take control of the company, which is a big deal; they can start selling off everything. Ted's job is to get $3.8m bonus to ride it to the end and keep order here, not create panic

Ted got his parachute ahead of time.

What assets?

VacancyBid 11-22-2024 01:44 PM


Originally Posted by JulesWinfield (Post 3854701)
What assets?

Full company fire-sale would be hard to accomplish and get divided many ways. If the bondholders take the company, they get full access to divertable cash flow, the headquarters and the opportunity to more deliberately burn the furniture.

As for dollar general vs target. True, the old crowd didn't pay all the bills, but they paid 95%. Throw them out and now nobody is paying the bills UNTIL the target shoppers show up.

GPullR 11-22-2024 02:08 PM


Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo (Post 3854603)
Which is why you’ll never see business travel on us.

Simply, the he clientele Spirit is seeking won’t fly Spirit because its Spirit.

Spirit needs a new name, period. The name Spirit is always the punchline, right before the drum fill “ba dum dum”. Pinnacle Airlines changed their name to Endeavor after emerging from Chapter 11. Spirit needs to do the same. Sadly, we don’t even have the cash to slap a new name on a plane.

This 100x over. The damage to the brand is done. You need a new name and new paint, otherwise too much damage done to change your audience.

Noisecanceller 11-22-2024 03:56 PM


Originally Posted by CatPilot1 (Post 3854659)
This is all smoke and mirrors. The bond holders know then’ll make more money selling the assets piecemeal than all at once via chapter 7 liquidation. So they injected some money to keep the operation going while they figure out how to lose less money.

This injection was to avoid chapt 7 and was a lifeline. Now they actually take control of the company, which is a big deal; they can start selling off everything. Ted's job is to get $3.8m bonus to ride it to the end and keep order here, not create panic

Ted got his parachute ahead of time.

I don’t see it going this way. Explain how they control the company? Are they getting 51% of the equity for their forgiven $800m in debt and $300M in cash? Are they taking the company private? It’s also not one bond holder. It’s a collective so they each have smaller pieces of the pie of the new equity not one entity w one controlling chunk. I’ll have to go back and read the RSA

VacancyBid 11-22-2024 05:28 PM


Originally Posted by Noisecanceller (Post 3854765)
Explain how they control the company? Are they getting 51% of the equity for their forgiven $800m in debt and $300M in cash?

I think they're getting all of it. That's the deal. Current stock goes away - new stock goes to bondholders.

Noisecanceller 11-22-2024 06:34 PM


Originally Posted by VacancyBid (Post 3854780)
I think they're getting all of it. That's the deal. Current stock goes away - new stock goes to bondholders.

I tried to go back and understand it. Way to complex for me to understand. They are definitely getting 100% of a $350M equity offering but I’m not sure what that means in regards to control of the business. I couldn’t find an answer.

It would be nice if ALPA could break down the ownership of the company in “the plan” upon exiting bankruptcy in March.

checkgear 11-23-2024 04:31 AM


Originally Posted by VacancyBid (Post 3854780)
I think they're getting all of it. That's the deal. Current stock goes away - new stock goes to bondholders.

Yep that’s basically it. And Spirit put up the HQ as collateral. If it all goes as smoothly as planned the bondholders will come out with a fantastic deal.

Judge Smails 11-23-2024 05:26 AM


Originally Posted by Noisecanceller (Post 3854791)
I tried to go back and understand it. Way to complex for me to understand. They are definitely getting 100% of a $350M equity offering but I’m not sure what that means in regards to control of the business. I couldn’t find an answer.

It would be nice if ALPA could break down the ownership of the company in “the plan” upon exiting bankruptcy in March.

Maybe the company should do that. Why is that the union's job?

zoooropa 11-23-2024 06:18 AM


Originally Posted by VacancyBid (Post 3854780)
I think they're getting all of it. That's the deal. Current stock goes away - new stock goes to bondholders.

They are going to issue millions and millions of new shares of stock if they emerge. The bondholders doen't want control they want $$$$.

RiddleEagle18 11-23-2024 07:09 AM


Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo (Post 3854603)
Which is why you’ll never see business travel on us.

Simply, the he clientele Spirit is seeking won’t fly Spirit because its Spirit.

Spirit needs a new name, period. The name Spirit is always the punchline, right before the drum fill “ba dum dum”. Pinnacle Airlines changed their name to Endeavor after emerging from Chapter 11. Spirit needs to do the same. Sadly, we don’t even have the cash to slap a new name on a plane.

How do you go about rebranding a 200 airplane airline, new paint, new interiors, new airport branding, with limited resources, in a timeframe that allows the targeted customer to forget its spirit?

endeavor can call itself something new every month and no one cares because it’s still delta connection.

Noisecanceller 11-23-2024 08:36 AM


Originally Posted by Judge Smails (Post 3854862)
Maybe the company should do that. Why is that the union's job?


BC now they don’t have to answer to anyone. They don’t have to give an explanation so they won’t. All the answers are in a couple 300+ page documents of legalese. Alpa has lawyer that are familiar and versed in this stuff. Breaking it down for us non-lawyers would be nice

Noisecanceller 11-23-2024 08:38 AM


Originally Posted by zoooropa (Post 3854879)
They are going to issue millions and millions of new shares of stock if they emerge. The bondholders doen't want control they want $$$$.


This is kind of what I thought but couldn’t find an answer skimming the docs

Noisecanceller 11-23-2024 09:28 AM

[double post

dera 11-23-2024 01:36 PM


Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo (Post 3854603)
Which is why you’ll never see business travel on us.

Simply, the he clientele Spirit is seeking won’t fly Spirit because its Spirit.

Spirit needs a new name, period. The name Spirit is always the punchline, right before the drum fill “ba dum dum”. Pinnacle Airlines changed their name to Endeavor after emerging from Chapter 11. Spirit needs to do the same. Sadly, we don’t even have the cash to slap a new name on a plane.

The main reason you wont see any meaningful business travel on Spirit is that most major company travel policies specifically prohibit booking ULCC.
For example, my airline (and we are nr3 company in the country in travel spend) can not book Spirit or Frontier unless we specifically request it, Southwest is allowed in certain city pairs.
Most companies that spend heavily on travel have similar restrictions.
That is the hurdle NK has to figure out if they want to cater for the heavy hitter business travelers.

Halon1211 11-23-2024 04:25 PM


Originally Posted by dera (Post 3855067)
For example, my airline (and we are nr3 company in the country in travel spend

huh???

——

StoneQOLdCrazy 11-23-2024 05:40 PM


Originally Posted by Noisecanceller (Post 3854941)
. Alpa has lawyer that are familiar and versed in this stuff. Breaking it down for us non-lawyers would be nice

I’m pretty sure alpa does not have any bankruptcy or corporate finance attorneys on staff.

dera 11-23-2024 07:08 PM


Originally Posted by Halon1211 (Post 3855106)
huh???

——

Huh what?

2022 we spent $212 million in travel and half the world was still shut down. This year we'll exceed $300 million.
This year I've spent over $100k and that doesn't include direct-bill hotels (which are probably around 90% of my hotel stays).

As a comparison, Coca Cola Company spent $27.5 million in 2023.

symbian simian 11-23-2024 07:26 PM


Originally Posted by Halon1211 (Post 3855106)
huh???

——

He gets airlined positive space around the globe all the time. And not in economy.

Margaritaville 11-24-2024 01:50 AM


Originally Posted by dera (Post 3855140)
Huh what?

2022 we spent $212 million in travel and half the world was still shut down. This year we'll exceed $300 million.
This year I've spent over $100k and that doesn't include direct-bill hotels (which are probably around 90% of my hotel stays).

As a comparison, Coca Cola Company spent $27.5 million in 2023.

And I'm sure we're all very impressed. Glad you finally got to tell us. You've been trying to get asked that for days now.

So anyhow...

Halon1211 12-06-2024 06:19 AM

Anybody know specifics of Project Bravo?

just seems pretty vague what they have online.

Stayontarget 12-06-2024 06:27 AM


Originally Posted by Halon1211 (Post 3858720)
Anybody know specifics of Project Bravo?

just seems pretty vague what they have online.

You mean besides the 55 page SEC filing? I doubt anybody does besides the ones at the head of the table.

symbian simian 12-06-2024 08:21 AM


Originally Posted by Halon1211 (Post 3858720)
Anybody know specifics of Project Bravo?

just seems pretty vague what they have online.


https://file.io/LratGtR802Ey

https://send.vis.ee/download/dcaa9c4fe9c8e7cb/#To1_4kAKaT1Ur6D8dyrzUQ


Don't want to link my personal account, and these links expire... If someone knows a better way to share let me know

symbian simian 12-06-2024 08:39 AM

I especially doubt page 10 (#37 on the page itself) where they assume NK will capture over 20% of the domestic market in the $200-$400 segment, and between 20%-15% in the $400-$600 segment. Currently less than 5% in anything over $300. There is no way they can do that in a yellow bus with Spirit on the side. It would require a massive, lenghty and expensive overhaul. NK does not have the time, momey or managment to pull that off.

AutoBrksMedium 12-16-2024 03:37 AM


Originally Posted by dera (Post 3855140)
This year I've spent over $100k and that doesn't include direct-bill hotels (which are probably around 90% of my hotel stays.)

How do you spend $100K annually in travel excluding hotel costs?? Do you only eat at airport Panera while on the road??

LinaPeru 12-16-2024 11:36 AM


Originally Posted by AutoBrksMedium (Post 3861987)
How do you spend $100K annually in travel excluding hotel costs?? Do you only eat at airport Panera while on the road??

If you spent $100 everyday 365 days a year at Panera, you’d still only be spending $36.5k a year.

is this guy not using the company hotels and transportation? Is he buying tickets instead of nonrevving/JS? Are you staying at the Ritz Carlton instead of a crash pad?

yeah this guy is def doing it wrong.


APCbot 12-16-2024 05:54 PM


Originally Posted by LinaPeru (Post 3862116)
If you spent $100 everyday 365 days a year at Panera, you’d still only be spending $36.5k a year.

is this guy not using the company hotels and transportation? Is he buying tickets instead of nonrevving/JS? Are you staying at the Ritz Carlton instead of a crash pad?

yeah this guy is def doing it wrong.

I took it to mean his company spends $100K a year on travel.

ROTORGUY 12-22-2024 06:40 AM


Originally Posted by gonyon (Post 3854187)
Will BRAVO return us to viability? Profitability?

or is this a short term play to get us through h bankruptcy with hopes of enticing a partner?

I doubt it. First quarter is a slow quarter for all the airlines. Does Spirt have the cash or ability to pay the bills until next summer when travel picks up? Can Spirt convince their passengers to pay a higher premium for tickets so they can make a profit? When Spirt ticket prices get close to the big 4’s ticket prices I would assume the majority of the general public would choose the airline with more frequency and a better reputation/brand.

Unfortunately I don’t believe Spirt will be around in two years. The Brand is associated with poor customer service (mainly gate agents) and historically with a none apologetic attitude towards customers trying to get a refunds for anything, along with brawls on their flights. I don’t think many people will ever see Spirt in a very good light. It’s the Dollar General of Airlines with typical customers. With all the talks about bankruptcy I can only assume more people would avoid buying tickets on an airline that might go chapter 7 right before their trip 3-6 months from
now. I have a few friends that are pilots at Spirt and are great people. Spirt has a lot of nice new planes with great pilots and a great safety record. I hope the best for them. My guess is they merge or go away unfortunately. This is just my opinion and it means absolutely nothing. I hope I’m wrong.

rickair7777 01-27-2025 09:57 AM

Tuning up the dress code...

https://www.foxbusiness.com/fox-news...ng-tattoos-fly

Noisecanceller 01-27-2025 10:01 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 3875473)


Would love for it to be enforced and enforced without causing a scene or fight

Halon1211 01-27-2025 10:57 AM


Originally Posted by Noisecanceller (Post 3875475)
Would love for it to be enforced and enforced without causing a scene or fight

why, so we lose a third of our customers?

CincoDeMayo 01-27-2025 11:17 AM


Originally Posted by Halon1211 (Post 3875499)
why, so we lose a third of our customers?

That’s the entire point of this Bravo plan, to get rid of the ratchet trash that pays the lowest cost and replace it with higher fare passengers who will pay for the extras.

Do I think this will work, heck no. Do I think this is basically their way to say Atlanta and Detroit folks, maybe you should take the bus, yes.

Noisecanceller 01-28-2025 04:38 AM


Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo (Post 3875508)
That’s the entire point of this Bravo plan, to get rid of the ratchet trash that pays the lowest cost and replace it with higher fare passengers who will pay for the extras.

Do I think this will work, heck no. Do I think this is basically their way to say Atlanta and Detroit folks, maybe you should take the bus, yes.

Don’t forget New Orleans and Baltimore

TadKrusty 01-28-2025 07:35 AM

Actually 90% of NK flights

Hugh Betcha 02-01-2025 01:10 PM

Corporate meeting of VP's and select departmental Directors:
Leader 1)
"Now that the COVID Mask Mandate fist fights are over, and the MAGA Hat consternation is dwindling, the Middle East buttons and support bling is simmering down, what can we possibly do to cause further delays, consternation, and disruptive behavior that earmarks us as the go to late night joke bumbling fools that we're known for?

Leader 2)
"I know, how about a new completely subjective policy that alienates and embarrasses our customers publicly on Social Media? Let's mandate the way people dress based on a single employee's feelings, mood, religious beliefs, and personal political affiliation? Heck, half our staff can barely read, instantly judge people based on attire, since we don't pay them enough to own homes, and they certainly don't understand irony or complex ideas that may mean the idea expressed on the front of a T-shirt may actually not be offensive since we hire based on needs of the moment and the whims of the team leader interviewing."

Leader3)
"But won't this cause operational problems that affect our A14, you know a percentage of Ted's bonus depends on that right?, It's the whole purpose of the "Feel Good Friday" newsletter isn't it? You know, more delays and irate passengers causing scenes and filling less seats?"

Leader 4)
"Are you crazy? We already billed their credit card"

Leader 1)
"Leader 3, we haven't had a single Passenger since 2005 when that smart guy we hired in Marketing proclaimed them as Customers, are you daft? Please see me after the meeting, have you even done the Empowerment PowerPoint?"
Leader 1)
So it is written, so shall it be done. Unless that phrase offends anyone. The point is to empower those Spirit Family Members that feel disenfranchised or morally obligated to judge something completely unrelated to their job at any company!


Leader 3)
"I'm sorry Leader 1 Sir/Madam/Them/They/It/Was , sounds good, we're the improved classier Spirit, Plan B or something, we'll show those scumbags that buy our tickets we ain't playin, I'll report for PowerPoint re-education immediately"

colonials13 02-01-2025 02:20 PM


Originally Posted by Hugh Betcha (Post 3878178)
Corporate meeting of VP's and select departmental Directors:
Leader 1)
"Now that the COVID Mask Mandate fist fights are over, and the MAGA Hat consternation is dwindling, the Middle East buttons and support bling is simmering down, what can we possibly do to cause further delays, consternation, and disruptive behavior that earmarks us as the go to late night joke bumbling fools that we're known for?

Leader 2)
"I know, how about a new completely subjective policy that alienates and embarrasses our customers publicly on Social Media? Let's mandate the way people dress based on a single employee's feelings, mood, religious beliefs, and personal political affiliation? Heck, half our staff can barely read, instantly judge people based on attire, since we don't pay them enough to own homes, and they certainly don't understand irony or complex ideas that may mean the idea expressed on the front of a T-shirt may actually not be offensive since we hire based on needs of the moment and the whims of the team leader interviewing."

Leader3)
"But won't this cause operational problems that affect our A14, you know a percentage of Ted's bonus depends on that right?, It's the whole purpose of the "Feel Good Friday" newsletter isn't it? You know, more delays and irate passengers causing scenes and filling less seats?"

Leader 4)
"Are you crazy? We already billed their credit card"

Leader 1)
"Leader 3, we haven't had a single Passenger since 2005 when that smart guy we hired in Marketing proclaimed them as Customers, are you daft? Please see me after the meeting, have you even done the Empowerment PowerPoint?"
Leader 1)
So it is written, so shall it be done. Unless that phrase offends anyone. The point is to empower those Spirit Family Members that feel disenfranchised or morally obligated to judge something completely unrelated to their job at any company!


Leader 3)
"I'm sorry Leader 1 Sir/Madam/Them/They/It/Was , sounds good, we're the improved classier Spirit, Plan B or something, we'll show those scumbags that buy our tickets we ain't playin, I'll report for PowerPoint re-education immediately"

https://images.app.goo.gl/zHB1HqYjgEhxpqC99https://images.app.goo.gl/E8raEAW2k5vKmeJN7https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/pr...o5k4BNHmjCoUws


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