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-   -   Will this judge approve NK’s exit plan (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/spirit/148944-will-judge-approve-nkis-exit-plan.html)

JulesWinfield 12-31-2024 05:51 PM


Originally Posted by afterburn81 (Post 3866344)
Earning 100k at American Airlines requires more work than earning 100k at Spirit as a pilot. You can however earn far more in the end at American. Even Delta and UAL. They’re going to make people work for their money.

What? I blocked a little over 400 hours in 2024 at AA on 1st and 2nd year pay and made almost double that. I also flew way less redeyes than I did at Spirit.

afterburn81 12-31-2024 07:33 PM


Originally Posted by JulesWinfield (Post 3866369)
What? I blocked a little over 400 hours in 2024 at AA on 1st and 2nd year pay and made almost double that. I also flew way less redeyes than I did at Spirit.


For every 1 guy like you that says this, I speak to 3 that don’t share your experience. I don’t work for AA. I’m
simply echoing what I’ve been told by people that work there.

OpieTaylor 01-01-2025 08:22 AM


Originally Posted by afterburn81 (Post 3866344)
Earning 100k at American Airlines requires more work than earning 100k at Spirit as a pilot. You can however earn far more in the end at American. Even Delta and UAL. They’re going to make people work for their money.


It doesn’t matter if this is true or not.

Ford and Harrison will crawl over your contract and Frontiers.

Their review will be the “professional witness” to the judge on the exact cost disadvantage Spirit has to Frontier.

Their review will attempt to establish justification to a judge for a specific dollar amount mgmt needs to seek to open the contract for concessions.


OpieTaylor 01-01-2025 08:25 AM


Originally Posted by JulesWinfield (Post 3866369)
What? I blocked a little over 400 hours in 2024 at AA on 1st and 2nd year pay and made almost double that. I also flew way less redeyes than I did at Spirit.

I think he’s trying to say if you only want to make 100k and be off the rest of the year then at Spirit you’d be off more. At AA once you hit 100k the rest of the trips would be “against your will”.

It doesn’t necessarily translate to if you want to make 200k a year you’d be off more.

Sieve 01-01-2025 10:00 AM


Originally Posted by afterburn81 (Post 3866344)
Why would you assume labor concessions would be their ONLY solution to the problem?

I see it as a high probability, there will be some kind of financial relief through modified labor agreements. Spirit pilots may be some of the lowest per hour flown compensated pilots. However, due to some pretty sweet work rules and contractual agreements, the overall burden on the company probably bears some room for helping improve the state of the company.

With that being said, I’d imagine there will be hourly rate increases in the near future. And the ability to make equal to or more will be a thing. The change will come in how hard we have to work to obtain the same income.

Earning 100k at American Airlines requires more work than earning 100k at Spirit as a pilot. You can however earn far more in the end at American. Even Delta and UAL. They’re going to make people work for their money.

These are all devastatingly optimistic assumptions, and require the company to be profitable before achieving any of them.

hockeypilot44 01-01-2025 01:51 PM

Spirit’s peer airlines are Breeze, Allegiant, Frontier, Sun Country, and Avelo.

How well are the Spirit pilots paid compared to the above airlines? If above average, look out. You’d be amazed how many concessions pilots are willing to accept when the alternative is no job at all. If you don’t think they’ll threaten you and use that leverage, you’re kidding yourselves. There’s no way to tell if the threat is real, but it has to be taken seriously which means the concessions will happen. If the restructure is anything like the legacies in the mid 2000’s, they’ll be multiple rounds of concessions.

YdidIChosePilot 01-01-2025 02:38 PM


Originally Posted by hockeypilot44 (Post 3866533)
Spirit’s peer airlines are Breeze, Allegiant, Frontier, Sun Country, and Avelo.

How well are the Spirit pilots paid compared to the above airlines? If above average, look out. You’d be amazed how many concessions pilots are willing to accept when the alternative is no job at all. If you don’t think they’ll threaten you and use that leverage, you’re kidding yourselves. There’s no way to tell if the threat is real, but it has to be taken seriously which means the concessions will happen. If the restructure is anything like the legacies in the mid 2000’s, they’ll be multiple rounds of concessions.

Spirit should just pack it up then and shut it all down. Almost everyone has a class date or interview right now that is not close to retirement. There is a massive group in the AA pool right now leaving in the next 2 months. Many for United too... Spirit is literally over if they come for concessions. There will be no pilots left. I dont know one person that isnt leaving Spirit now. 2025 is going to be a blood bath. Add concessions in there and i think the company shuts down due to no staffing

havoste 01-01-2025 03:47 PM


Originally Posted by YdidIChosePilot (Post 3866544)
Spirit should just pack it up then and shut it all down. Almost everyone has a class date or interview right now that is not close to retirement. There is a massive group in the AA pool right now leaving in the next 2 months. Many for United too... Spirit is literally over if they come for concessions. There will be no pilots left. I dont know one person that isnt leaving Spirit now. 2025 is going to be a blood bath. Add concessions in there and i think the company shuts down due to no staffing

With every 1 capt that has a CJO there are a lot more 'going down with the ship'. Also I'd say most of the FOs have met haven't heard a peep due to 'no turbine PIC'. Don't think the attrition will be nearly as bad as you say in 2025.

BKbigfish 01-01-2025 04:36 PM


Originally Posted by hockeypilot44 (Post 3866533)
Spirit’s peer airlines are Breeze, Allegiant, Frontier, Sun Country, and Avelo.

How well are the Spirit pilots paid compared to the above airlines? If above average, look out. You’d be amazed how many concessions pilots are willing to accept when the alternative is no job at all. If you don’t think they’ll threaten you and use that leverage, you’re kidding yourselves. There’s no way to tell if the threat is real, but it has to be taken seriously which means the concessions will happen. If the restructure is anything like the legacies in the mid 2000’s, they’ll be multiple rounds of concessions.

Why would you post this? Is Ford & Harrison slipping you a little cash on the side to come onto the NK forum to try and manage expectations? This whole “peer group” nonsense needs to go away. It hurts all ALPA pilots in the long run. Kind of shocking to see a fellow pilot actively perpetuating that narrative.

Margaritaville 01-01-2025 05:54 PM


Originally Posted by BKbigfish (Post 3866583)
Why would you post this? Is Ford & Harrison slipping you a little cash on the side to come onto the NK forum to try and manage expectations? This whole “peer group” nonsense needs to go away. It hurts all ALPA pilots in the long run. Kind of shocking to see a fellow pilot actively perpetuating that narrative.

He's a hat wearer. They just can't help themselves but to come to all the non triangle forums and talk down to everyone. It's sad really. Then they wonder why they have the reputation they do.

checkgear 01-01-2025 06:52 PM


Originally Posted by havoste (Post 3866564)
With every 1 capt that has a CJO there are a lot more 'going down with the ship'. Also I'd say most of the FOs have met haven't heard a peep due to 'no turbine PIC'. Don't think the attrition will be nearly as bad as you say in 2025.

May be true for the more junior guys, but I have zero turbine PIC and just got my class date for Feb at AAL. If the rumours are anything to be believed it looks like 20% of the pilots have CJO’s and a lot more have apps out actively looking to leave.

Flyweight 01-01-2025 07:18 PM


Originally Posted by Margaritaville (Post 3866621)
He's a hat wearer. They just can't help themselves but to come to all the non triangle forums and talk down to everyone. It's sad really. Then they wonder why they have the reputation they do.

Buddy, guy, pal. If you mean Delta. Dont lump us in with that guy. I see no recent posts or history in the widget side.

Wish ya NK guys the best. I easily could be there too and I have seen multiple furloughs and layoffs before.

rickair7777 01-02-2025 05:56 AM


Originally Posted by hockeypilot44 (Post 3866533)
Spirit’s peer airlines are Breeze, Allegiant, Frontier, Sun Country, and Avelo.

There's a grain of truth to this.

I don't believe it, and neither should you. But it's certainly a line of argument the company would pursue in court *if* they decided to make the case that the current CBA was excessive and they wanted to get some relief on that.

At face value I'd say that would drive attrition and damage future recruiting to the point where it would be counter-productive to the recovery plan. My shop experienced that prior to our current CBA, and they had far better prospects than NK right now.

But if F9 is in the mix, maybe they hope they can get the JCBA closer to F9's CBA?


Originally Posted by hockeypilot44 (Post 3866533)
How well are the Spirit pilots paid compared to the above airlines? If above average, look out. You’d be amazed how many concessions pilots are willing to accept when the alternative is no job at all. If you don’t think they’ll threaten you and use that leverage, you’re kidding yourselves. There’s no way to tell if the threat is real, but it has to be taken seriously which means the concessions will happen. If the restructure is anything like the legacies in the mid 2000’s, they’ll be multiple rounds of concessions.

What's the MEC makeup? It's true that senior lifers might well give concessions rather than start over as gear-slingers. It's happened in the past... and many seniors remember Eastern. Silver lining today is that most folks *should* be able to get jobs, and would likely be better off in 3-5 years after they rip the bandaid off.

CincoDeMayo 01-02-2025 06:23 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 3866750)
There's a grain of truth to this.

I don't believe it, and neither should you. But it's certainly a line of argument the company would pursue in court *if* they decided to make the case that the current CBA was excessive and they wanted to get some relief on that.

At face value I'd say that would drive attrition and damage future recruiting to the point where it would be counter-productive to the recovery plan. My shop experienced that prior to our current CBA, and they had far better prospects than NK right now.

But if F9 is in the mix, maybe they hope they can get the JCBA closer to F9's CBA?



What's the MEC makeup? It's true that senior lifers might well give concessions rather than start over as gear-slingers. It's happened in the past... and many seniors remember Eastern. Silver lining today is that most folks *should* be able to get jobs, and would likely be better off in 3-5 years after they rip the bandaid off.

MEC can’t just “give concessions,”’major changes to the CBA require membership ratification

dera 01-02-2025 09:32 AM


Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo (Post 3866761)
MEC can’t just “give concessions,”’major changes to the CBA require membership ratification

Not directly. But they are in the negotiation table with Jerry Glass and a judge, and that's where they can give things for the judge to rule on.
An arbitrated/forced through Ch11 court CBA does not require a membership ratification.

hifive 01-02-2025 10:42 AM

The airline is dead. Those who cant see that are just naive

sioux8ships 01-02-2025 12:00 PM


Originally Posted by hifive (Post 3866857)
The airline is dead. Those who cant see that are just naive

Cool first post. I remember my first beer.

hifive 01-02-2025 12:18 PM

Time to wake up brother

fcoolaiddrinker 01-02-2025 12:51 PM


Originally Posted by dera (Post 3866835)
Not directly. But they are in the negotiation table with Jerry Glass and a judge, and that's where they can give things for the judge to rule on.
An arbitrated/forced through Ch11 court CBA does not require a membership ratification.

https://repository.law.miami.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2059&context=fac_articles

here’s an article that outlines leverage (the monetary value of any potential court forced concessions) unions have used to become stakeholders in bankruptcy as opposed to just trying to limit the damage. With APA and FAPA being the most recent airline examples.
it’s a bit long winded but the you’ll get the idea after the first few pages.
You have leverage even in bankruptcy. It’s up to your mec to capture it. They still need pilots to move airplanes.

Powderkeg 01-02-2025 05:31 PM


Originally Posted by fcoolaiddrinker (Post 3866891)
https://repository.law.miami.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2059&context=fac_
articles

here’s an article that outlines leverage (the monetary value of any potential court forced concessions) unions have used to become stakeholders in bankruptcy as opposed to just trying to limit the damage. With APA and FAPA being the most recent airline examples.
it’s a bit long winded but the you’ll get the idea after the first few pages.
You have leverage even in bankruptcy. It’s up to your mec to capture it. They still need pilots to move airplanes.

Pay attention to this post...Frontier promised FAPA an equity stake in the business during the BK days. It cost F9 nothing since the equity was worth $0. It took a decade but it paid dividends eventually...they didn't give something for nothing. I'm not advocating for NK to agree to concessions but if you decide that's in your best interest make sure your union backstops it with something.

Powderkeg 01-02-2025 05:39 PM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 3866750)
But if F9 is in the mix, maybe they hope they can get the JCBA closer to F9's CBA?

Irrelevant.

If F9 and NK merge the new company needs the JCBA more than the pilots. There isn't a single F9 pilot I know that would agree to calling past-due contracts at places like Allegiant and Sun Country as our peer groups. Any concessions given away by NK won't be agreed to by the F9 group working under a 6+ year old CBA for a company that claims they are making (about to make) double digit margins.

Born2FlyAv8R 01-02-2025 10:03 PM


Originally Posted by hifive (Post 3866857)
The airline is dead. Those who cant see that are just naive

welcome to the show - where have ya been the whole time?

SSlow 01-03-2025 05:17 AM


Originally Posted by Born2FlyAv8R (Post 3866980)
welcome to the show - where have ya been the whole time?

Probably busy giving out free "hifives"

PilotJ3 01-03-2025 05:26 AM


Originally Posted by Margaritaville (Post 3866621)
He's a hat wearer. They just can't help themselves but to come to all the non triangle forums and talk down to everyone. It's sad really. Then they wonder why they have the reputation they do.

But is his point wrong? We all know what happens in BK. Didn’t NK CEO said that there was not going to be more furlough? Then there was another round of furlough?

Management will do what management do best…lie, manage expectations and eventually hanging everyone dry while they go out and use their golden parachute.

rickair7777 01-03-2025 06:01 AM


Originally Posted by Powderkeg (Post 3866954)
Irrelevant.

If F9 and NK merge the new company needs the JCBA more than the pilots. There isn't a single F9 pilot I know that would agree to calling past-due contracts at places like Allegiant and Sun Country as our peer groups. Any concessions given away by NK won't be agreed to by the F9 group working under a 6+ year old CBA for a company that claims they are making (about to make) double digit margins.

Makes sense to me, and I hope that's how it would go down. If recent trends indicate anything, pilots should prevail by standing strong.

But I'm talking about mgt trying to lower the entry argument going into JCBA, by slashing the NK CBA, just to give you all a steeper hill to climb.

This could be significant: does either NK or F9 have an arbitration clause for JCBA? It would be in the scope language.

But all speculation aside, I too think it would be a bad idea for management to go after the CBA... retirements don't lie, the legacies will be hiring and massice retention/recruiting challenges won't help their restructure plans. I'm only even talking about it because Solo Han entered the chat. But they might be there for other work groups, who are mostly just commodites in the general job market with forklift drivers, Denny's waitresses, fast food techs, etc.

hifive 01-03-2025 07:58 AM


Originally Posted by Born2FlyAv8R (Post 3866980)
welcome to the show - where have ya been the whole time?

Let me guess, you're one of those heros "Going down with the ship" Can't wait to see how that works out for you.

CatPilot1 01-03-2025 08:10 AM


Originally Posted by hifive (Post 3867072)
Let me guess, you're one of those heros "Going down with the ship" Can't wait to see how that works out for you.

Gettin’ a bit nervous are you?

hifive 01-03-2025 08:14 AM


Originally Posted by CatPilot1 (Post 3867076)
Gettin’ a bit nervous are you?

You were probably one of those guys who bought $200,000 in shares and said "I didn't think the merger was going to go through anyway" I wish you all the very best of luck. Looks like you'll need it.

CatPilot1 01-03-2025 08:38 AM


Originally Posted by hifive (Post 3867077)
You were probably one of those guys who bought $200,000 in shares and said "I didn't think the merger was going to go through anyway" I wish you all the very best of luck. Looks like you'll need it.

It’ll all work itself out for you in the end. Nervousness causes stress, which leads to a lack of sleep; resulting in an untimely death. Nobody wants that for you.

hifive 01-03-2025 08:56 AM


Originally Posted by CatPilot1 (Post 3867094)
It’ll all work itself out for you in the end. Nervousness causes stress, which leads to a lack of sleep; resulting in an untimely death. Nobody wants that for you.

Hitting a nerve? Read the first post. It mentions the word Niave which was in no way pointed at you. It'll be great when to have the last laugh. Oh wait, I was just nervous. dont mind me. You're going to be fine and I'll be dead.

SSlow 01-03-2025 10:16 AM


Originally Posted by hifive (Post 3867104)
Hitting a nerve? Read the first post. It mentions the word Niave which was in no way pointed at you. It'll be great when to have the last laugh. Oh wait, I was just nervous. dont mind me. You're going to be fine and I'll be dead.

Get some help man...seriously


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