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-   -   Kirby's New Message (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/united/100283-kirbys-new-message.html)

UAL T38 Phlyer 02-27-2017 06:47 AM

Kirby's New Message
 
Wow.

Short version: blunt, direct, says we can't shrink to profitability, or be a "docile competitor." Lots of new mainline flying.

Said "We're going on the offense!"

I'm astounded by the candor.

El10 02-27-2017 06:52 AM

He has been saying all these same things for the past few months. Nothing new today.

UAL T38 Phlyer 02-27-2017 06:59 AM

First time I saw it in writing, with a route map.

757Driver 02-27-2017 07:03 AM

Looks great if you're an Air Wis RJ guy.

PacNWflyer 02-27-2017 07:12 AM

While I am disappointed with the decision to ADD more 50 seat RJ flying (I don't fit in the back of those things and I think the smallest plane with "United" painted on the side should be a E-175), I am happy about his enthusiasm. Seems like he is motivated to help run this airline properly.

Customer service still needs a lot of improvement, but it seems like we are heading the right direction.

cadetdrivr 02-27-2017 07:18 AM

Fearless prediction:

Standby for the announcement concerning the further reduction of the E145 fleet.

(Actually, I doubt they'll "announce" it to avoid a meltdown at ExpressJet but the end result is there.)

Sunvox 02-27-2017 07:23 AM


Originally Posted by PacNWflyer (Post 2309872)
While I am disappointed with the decision to ADD more 50 seat RJ flying (I don't fit in the back of those things and I think the smallest plane with "United" painted on the side should be a E-175), I am happy about his enthusiasm. Seems like he is motivated to help run this airline properly.

Customer service still needs a lot of improvement, but it seems like we are heading the right direction.

I think maybe you misinterpreted his words. Here's a quote:


It's important to note that we are not growing our fleet of 50-seat aircraft, but as other partners have upgauged some of our 50 seat aircraft to 70- and 76-seat aircraft, our new partnership with ZW will enable us to maintain a consistent level of flying across our domestic network as we also upgauge and grow the mainline.


blockplus 02-27-2017 07:23 AM

So the question is are they replacing oo's 200s or xjt 145s

Flubber 02-27-2017 07:51 AM


Originally Posted by blockplus (Post 2309885)
So the question is are they replacing oo's 200s or xjt 145s

Isn't SkyWest retiring a large portion of their -200 fleet, 60-some airplanes on the UA side plus others for DAL and AA, on renegotiated early lease returns?

Sunvox 02-27-2017 09:13 AM


Originally Posted by Flubber (Post 2309915)
Isn't SkyWest retiring a large portion of their -200 fleet, 60-some airplanes on the UA side plus others for DAL and AA, on renegotiated early lease returns?

Well there is this . . .


SkyWest, Inc. Announces Additional Fleet Transitions, Bombardier Agreement and Anticipated 50-Seat Aircraft Non-Cash Impairment Charge

ST. GEORGE, Utah, Dec. 13, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- SkyWest, Inc. SKYW +0.44% ("SkyWest") announced today additional fleet transitions and contract updates designed to reduce SkyWest's long-term fleet risk and enhance its ability to respond to changing partner needs. Specifically, SkyWest's ExpressJet operation expects to transition to flying primarily dual-class aircraft in its CRJ operation by removing its CRJ200 aircraft from service over the next year.


MasterOfPuppets 02-27-2017 09:18 AM


Originally Posted by Sunvox (Post 2309999)
Well there is this . . .

Yeah but that is DL flying. it is on the ASA side of the Xjet brand.

AboveMins 02-27-2017 10:00 AM


Originally Posted by cadetdrivr (Post 2309878)
(Actually, I doubt they'll "announce" it to avoid a meltdown at ExpressJet but the end result is there.)

Haha... We're past the meltdown phase at XJT. Many of us come to work half expecting to find the lights turned out anyway. Congrats to the AWAC folks, at least it's good to see the flying awarded to a decent company that finally deserved some good news.

Saabs 02-27-2017 11:45 AM


Originally Posted by UAL T38 Phlyer (Post 2309841)
Wow.

Short version: blunt, direct, says we can't shrink to profitability, or be a "docile competitor." Lots of new mainline flying.

Said "We're going on the offense!"

I'm astounded by the candor.

He's the number one proponent of loosening scope come contract time. Kirby is not on any united pilots side.

mainlineAF 02-27-2017 12:10 PM


Originally Posted by Saabs (Post 2310140)
He's the number one proponent of loosening scope come contract time. Kirby is not on any united pilots side.



Exactly. His argument is more RJs means more mainline jobs. Just look what he tried to do with 81 seat scope in the US/AA JCBA.

ugleeual 02-27-2017 12:12 PM

Our job is to get passengers from Pt A to Pt B safely... Management's job to squeeze every dime out of passengers and employees and drive the stock price up... its what we do. Friendly management is a pipe dream.

Tank21 02-27-2017 12:25 PM


Originally Posted by UAL T38 Phlyer (Post 2309853)
First time I saw it in writing, with a route map.

Any new mainline routes and locations?

catIIIc 02-27-2017 12:39 PM


Originally Posted by Tank21 (Post 2310167)
Any new mainline routes and locations?

Sfo-Muc,Bdl,Cvg,Dtw,Msy, Ord-Geg,Rno, Ewr-Smf, and seasonal extensions IAd-Fll and Ewr-Slc.

Tank21 02-27-2017 12:42 PM


Originally Posted by catIIIc (Post 2310178)
Sfo-Muc,Bdl,Cvg,Dtw,Msy, Ord-Geg,Rno, Ewr-Smf, and seasonal extensions IAd-Fll and Ewr-Slc.

Wow, none out of IAH?

Was really hoping for some in the Gulf Coast area...

Galaxy5 02-27-2017 02:10 PM


Originally Posted by Tank21 (Post 2310179)
Wow, none out of IAH?

Was really hoping for some in the Gulf Coast area...

The formatting is a little choppy, but the letter is posted in one of the RJ forums, and they're all listed. I think it was additional flying everywhere but LAX.

eta link: https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/2309816-post14.html

Pretty close to the bottom of the letter.

fasteddie800 02-28-2017 10:05 AM


Let's go!
Scott
p.s. I'm sorry for the really long note, but I'm just so excited about the future here at United that I couldn't help myself.
The message itself had a lot of interesting info. However, am I the only one who thought this last bit came off as unprofessional?

mrmak2 02-28-2017 11:46 AM


Originally Posted by fasteddie800 (Post 2310752)
The message itself had a lot of interesting info. However, am I the only one who thought this last bit came off as unprofessional?

Well...

https://youtu.be/jW3i6x6DbT0

SpecialTracking 02-28-2017 11:57 AM


Originally Posted by fasteddie800 (Post 2310752)
The message itself had a lot of interesting info. However, am I the only one who thought this last bit came off as unprofessional?

I've actually heard those words almost verbatim from a former senior officer at United over a decade ago.

rp2pilot 02-28-2017 04:45 PM


Originally Posted by fasteddie800 (Post 2310752)
The message itself had a lot of interesting info. However, am I the only one who thought this last bit came off as unprofessional?

Meh, the letter was to every United Employee, not just the pilots, so perhaps it was meant to add a certain "folksiness" to the message.

fanaticalflyer 03-01-2017 01:18 AM


Originally Posted by fasteddie800 (Post 2310752)
The message itself had a lot of interesting info. However, am I the only one who thought this last bit came off as unprofessional?

?????Really!!!???

must be Air Force

jsled 03-01-2017 04:21 AM

Bottom line.....

in the last 12 months.....

65- 737-700s were ordered to "replace 50 seat RJ flying"
of those orders, 4 were converted to 800s..61 were deferred indefinitely.
Now we just signed up for 65- 50 seat RJs

cadetdrivr 03-01-2017 04:28 AM


Originally Posted by jsled (Post 2311286)
Bottom line.....

in the last 12 months.....

65- 737-700s were ordered to "replace 50 seat RJ flying"
of those orders, 4 were converted to 800s..61 were deferred indefinitely.
Now we just signed up for 65- 50 seat RJs

Bingo.

Until we see actual mainline growth all the talk is talk and Lucy is still holding the football.

I'm cautiously optimistic that UAL is actually trying be an airline for the first time in a long time but we've also all seen this movie before.

I'll be far more comfortable with the plan when we actually see what's gonna happen (or not) with the mainline fleet plan.

Andy 03-01-2017 09:09 AM


Originally Posted by jsled (Post 2311286)
Bottom line.....

in the last 12 months.....

65- 737-700s were ordered to "replace 50 seat RJ flying"
of those orders, 4 were converted to 800s..61 were deferred indefinitely.
Now we just signed up for 65- 50 seat RJs

Regional outsourcing's been shrinking for at least the last couple of years. I haven't checked the 2014 annual report, but regional flying shrunk in 2015 and 2106.

See page 10 (listed as page 9 on the slide) of this slide deck from a presentation 2/28/17 for 2017 forecast:
http://ir.united.com/~/media/Files/U...ation-2017.pdf

I don't expect to shrink on the RJ side as much as is listed and I hope that we'll have more mainline aircraft than the presentation indicates.

Grumble 03-01-2017 09:15 AM


Originally Posted by jsled (Post 2311286)
Bottom line.....

in the last 12 months.....

65- 737-700s were ordered to "replace 50 seat RJ flying"
of those orders, 4 were converted to 800s..61 were deferred indefinitely.
Now we just signed up for 65- 50 seat RJs

We're not adding any 50 seaters, it's just shifting. It's a net zero to the current fleet plan. Would you rather buy 65 737's we don't currently need and start losing money?

They're also going to finally start using them the way we're supposed to... on smaller cities that in no way support mainline flying. Yet. Finally ditching the stupidity of flying RJs and -8's between major hubs.

The sky isn't falling, I'm optimistic for the time being. Lot of smaller towns being added to pump passenger traffic into the system.

Scrappy 03-01-2017 10:25 AM


Originally Posted by jsled (Post 2311286)
Bottom line.....

in the last 12 months.....

65- 737-700s were ordered to "replace 50 seat RJ flying"
of those orders, 4 were converted to 800s..61 were deferred indefinitely.
Now we just signed up for 65- 50 seat RJs

I've talked to a number of LCA's fairly recently (two in the past three trips). Based on the recent standards meeting cliff notes it seems (new) management didn't want to commit to 65 737-700s that were already a decade old technology and not substantially fuel effecient when newer, much more effecient technology is right around the corner. Once those 737s were on property UCH would be stuck with them for a considerable length of time and didn't want that commitment. Seemed reasonable to me from a financial standpoint.

RJDio 03-01-2017 12:19 PM

I hope that's the true reason for the deferment. I wonder what the break even point is on a NG vs MAX though? I remember Dal years ago stating the break even point of a used MD90 (price tag +fuel) vs a new 737 NG (price tag+fuel) was something like 20 years. In other words it would take 20 years in added fuel costs from the MD to equal the bigger price tag of the new guppy. I wonder how many more millions of $ the MAX is than the last of the NG's.

Firsttimeflyer 03-01-2017 03:05 PM

I honestly have a hard time believing the max will be that much more efficient for the extra $$$. Especially when you take a look at the "new" cockpit. Based on the pics I've seen it's just a prettier shade of lipstick.

Bring on the new 321NEOs!

webecheck 03-01-2017 07:21 PM


Originally Posted by Firsttimeflyer (Post 2311752)
I honestly have a hard time believing the max will be that much more efficient for the extra $$$. Especially when you take a look at the "new" cockpit. Based on the pics I've seen it's just a prettier shade of lipstick.

Bring on the new 321NEOs!

14% at cruise. Just toured the max production line in Renton. It's essentially the same thing, just more fuel savings. If you do the math, which isn't too hard to figure out, you can see what kind of cost savings it will generate. I fly the plane, recently suffered a BOS-SFO leg, but it doesn't bother me all that much....although I do plan to bid off by the end of the year. 14% is significant enough to make the purchase I guess. I did the math and can see why.

pilotgolfer 03-01-2017 07:33 PM


Originally Posted by webecheck (Post 2311940)
14% at cruise. Just toured the max production line in Renton. It's essentially the same thing, just more fuel savings. If you do the math, which isn't too hard to figure out, you can see what kind of cost savings it will generate. I fly the plane, recently suffered a BOS-SFO leg, but it doesn't bother me all that much....although I do plan to bid off by the end of the year. 14% is significant enough to make the purchase I guess. I did the math and can see why.

At least you can get up and stretch the legs when they are adding fuel in MSP.

Firsttimeflyer 03-01-2017 09:07 PM


Originally Posted by webecheck (Post 2311940)
14% at cruise. Just toured the max production line in Renton. It's essentially the same thing, just more fuel savings. If you do the math, which isn't too hard to figure out, you can see what kind of cost savings it will generate. I fly the plane, recently suffered a BOS-SFO leg, but it doesn't bother me all that much....although I do plan to bid off by the end of the year. 14% is significant enough to make the purchase I guess. I did the math and can see why.

On paper looks great. But at what true cost and what true fuel efficiency. I fly the guppy too and it isn't all it is said to be. Same goes for any airplane I guess. I ran some numbers and see what you are saying if that is the projected increase over current numbers. Now it would be interesting to know the actual price difference for a NG vs MAX for United and see what timeframe it will take at current fuel prices with minor fuel price increases over the next 8 years to make up the difference and get in the black.

Probe 03-01-2017 09:19 PM


Originally Posted by webecheck (Post 2311940)
14% at cruise. Just toured the max production line in Renton. It's essentially the same thing, just more fuel savings. If you do the math, which isn't too hard to figure out, you can see what kind of cost savings it will generate. I fly the plane, recently suffered a BOS-SFO leg, but it doesn't bother me all that much....although I do plan to bid off by the end of the year. 14% is significant enough to make the purchase I guess. I did the math and can see why.

Several months ago their was an article about the new CFM LEAP missing its fuel efficiency targets. 1-2 pct on the version for the NEO. 4-5 pct for the MAX version. They thought they would eventually recoup the 1-2 pct for the NEO, but that the smaller fan MAX version the 4-5 pct miss was unreachable.

One more reason to buy NEO's, in addition to being able to eat off a table like a human, having some semblance of hearing remaining into your 50's, and not having the unbearable humiliation of having to fly something called a Guppy for a living.

Regularguy 03-02-2017 01:46 AM


Originally Posted by Probe (Post 2311993)
...and not having the unbearable humiliation of having to fly something called a Guppy for a living.

No you can fly something called "fifi" instead.


http://globerove.com/wp-content/uplo...te-de-pelo.jpg

Or maybe...


http://media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/73...075305a320.jpg

SpecialTracking 03-02-2017 02:40 AM

With cute little green frog stickers adorning the cockpit.

gettinbumped 03-02-2017 06:22 AM


Originally Posted by Grumble (Post 2311496)
We're not adding any 50 seaters, it's just shifting. It's a net zero to the current fleet plan. Would you rather buy 65 737's we don't currently need and start losing money?

They're also going to finally start using them the way we're supposed to... on smaller cities that in no way support mainline flying. Yet. Finally ditching the stupidity of flying RJs and -8's between major hubs.

The sky isn't falling, I'm optimistic for the time being. Lot of smaller towns being added to pump passenger traffic into the system.

I agree the sky isn't falling, but the 65 RJ's will be 65 50-seaters that were originally supposed to be parked and indirectly subbed out with 737-700's. Maybe a good solid financial move by the company, but will definitely stunt mainline growth from what was in the plan 6 months ago.

Al Czervik 03-02-2017 07:12 AM


Originally Posted by RJDio (Post 2311657)
I hope that's the true reason for the deferment. I wonder what the break even point is on a NG vs MAX though? I remember Dal years ago stating the break even point of a used MD90 (price tag +fuel) vs a new 737 NG (price tag+fuel) was something like 20 years. In other words it would take 20 years in added fuel costs from the MD to equal the bigger price tag of the new guppy. I wonder how many more millions of $ the MAX is than the last of the NG's.

Kirby loves RJ's

-an American pilot

Boeing Aviator 03-02-2017 08:26 AM


Originally Posted by Al Czervik (Post 2312167)
Kirby loves RJ's

-an American pilot

https://www.thestreet.com/story/1402...footsteps.html


I'll take Kirby in a NY second over the that ego maniac - grossly incompetent Smisek. We have a good scope clause (industry's best) in our current contact. I agree it's going to be difficult negotiating against Kirby. But with solid union leadership, unified pilot group, industry profits and industry pattern bargaining, I think will fare well.

Rather have a well run very profitable airline with the very best hubs and network in the industry vs a poorly run airline squandering away its customer base and just barely keeping its head above the water.


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