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Originally Posted by VacancyBid
(Post 4022756)
why 220 and why blue 220’s is a very fair question.
but just acquiring the planes & pilots would -not- be a big messy systems integration. All the things kirby (rightly) identifies as merger problems don’t apply. |
Originally Posted by Hedley
(Post 4022759)
but they haven’t really expressed interest in altering the current plan.
the why 220 over max7 is scope. The 450/550 casmmaxxing expeditions are where i see the jetblue 223 (requiring a 221 order) pencilling different |
I don’t see the benefit for a small Narrowbody what’s so ever today… With the increases of crew costs over the last 10 years, they see the value of spreading those increased costs over more seats in quite a bit of the domestic market.
The other segment of the market (premium), larger aircraft provides more floor space to offer more premium seats (domestic lie-flats, Higher number of FC seats, Premium Econ, more Econ+ seats, etc). The primary reason why Delta took on the A220 to begin with is because Bombardier offered them at a steep discount to become a US launch customer. Just like how Delta acquired the 717s from Southwest after the Southwest/AirTran merger, very very cheap…. United isn’t going to get that kind of deal for the A220 from Airbus |
Flew with a guy who was hired as engineer on 1011. Wonder how many are left these days? Later when UAL got LHR flying from Pan Am ALPA made it clear no more lifeboats for PAL guys.
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Originally Posted by JurgenKlopp
(Post 4022803)
Later when UAL got LHR flying from Pan Am ALPA made it clear no more lifeboats for PAL guys.
PAA1 to United (2/86 Pacific): .431 Pan Am pilots PAA2 to United (5/91 LHR): ......42 Pan Am pilots PAA3 to United (?/92 Lat Am): ..16 Pan Am pilots PAA4 to United (9/92 Lat Am): 215 Pan Am pilots PAAn (off street): ..................123 Pan Am pilots PAA Total: .............................827 Pan Am pilots |
Originally Posted by VacancyBid
(Post 4022767)
the why 220 over max7 is scope. The 450/550 casmmaxxing expeditions are where i see the jetblue 223 (requiring a 221 order) pencilling different |
Originally Posted by jerryleber
(Post 4022871)
That is incorrect.
PAA1 to United (2/86 Pacific): .431 Pan Am pilots PAA2 to United (5/91 LHR): ......42 Pan Am pilots PAA3 to United (?/92 Lat Am): ..16 Pan Am pilots PAA4 to United (9/92 Lat Am): 215 Pan Am pilots PAAn (off street): ..................123 Pan Am pilots PAA Total: .............................827 Pan Am pilots |
Originally Posted by JurgenKlopp
(Post 4022909)
But was that all DOH excluding street hires? I stand corrected if it was.
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Originally Posted by jerryleber
(Post 4022962)
I don't know, but 827 PAA pilots got jobs with United and I flew with a lot of them who got DOH. I also flew with a lot of rEAL, Midway and Spirit pilots among others who United ALPA worked to get preferential interviews/hiring, and they made our pilot group better. United ALPA has a strong culture of helping fellow ALPA pilots who need a 'lifeboat' as you say.
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Originally Posted by JurgenKlopp
(Post 4022978)
Lifeboat was a term used by Pan Am guys trying to get to Delta. Didn’t mean it disparaging. Well before my time, but I know a few rEAL guys that appreciated UAL ALPA making them a hiring priority. Might be wrong, but I was told CAL getting sued over Frank’s A-300 steal lead to EAL guys who got hired there (including our youngest scab unfort)…
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Originally Posted by Swakid8
(Post 4022799)
I don’t see the benefit for a small Narrowbody what’s so ever today… With the increases of crew costs over the last 10 years, they see the value of spreading those increased costs over more seats in quite a bit of the domestic market.
The other segment of the market (premium), larger aircraft provides more floor space to offer more premium seats (domestic lie-flats, Higher number of FC seats, Premium Econ, more Econ+ seats, etc). The primary reason why Delta took on the A220 to begin with is because Bombardier offered them at a steep discount to become a US launch customer. Just like how Delta acquired the 717s from Southwest after the Southwest/AirTran merger, very very cheap…. United isn’t going to get that kind of deal for the A220 from Airbus Up-gauging does not work out of smaller markets if you can't sell more than 130 (A223) or 150 (A225) seats profitably. The opportunity cost of more domestic First class on these planes is also very low at one seat per row. And some markets just don't call for premium lie-flat seating. Even if United doesn't get Delta's kind of A220 deal from Airbus, they might from JetBlue as part of a divided sale. It would also stop Delta from getting more of a very comfortable and competitive aircraft at a cheap price. Further, United's legacy birds cannot financially compete with the A220, they're just not in the same league for operating costs. |
Originally Posted by FlyingSlowly;[url=tel:4023148
4023148]The 319s, 737-700 and 320s at United are not getting any younger. The A220-300 and the (most likely forthcoming) A220-500 replaces everything up to a 737-800, but at a much lower operating cost.
Up-gauging does not work out of smaller markets if you can't sell more than 130 (A223) or 150 (A225) seats profitably. The opportunity cost of more domestic First class on these planes is also very low at one seat per row. And some markets just don't call for premium lie-flat seating. Even if United doesn't get Delta's kind of A220 deal from Airbus, they might from JetBlue as part of a divided sale. It would also stop Delta from getting more of a very comfortable and competitive aircraft at a cheap price. Further, United's legacy birds cannot financially compete with the A220, they're just not in the same league for operating costs. |
Originally Posted by Grumble
(Post 4023155)
Isn’t 40% of the worldwide 220 fleet grounded because of Pratt engine issues? Thought I saw a headline about that.
But only (just a guess) 2 of JB's 60+ are parked. |
Originally Posted by FlyingSlowly
(Post 4023148)
The 319s, 737-700 and 320s at United are not getting any younger. The A220-300 and the (most likely forthcoming) A220-500 replaces everything up to a 737-800, but at a much lower operating cost.
Up-gauging does not work out of smaller markets if you can't sell more than 130 (A223) or 150 (A225) seats profitably. The opportunity cost of more domestic First class on these planes is also very low at one seat per row. And some markets just don't call for premium lie-flat seating. Even if United doesn't get Delta's kind of A220 deal from Airbus, they might from JetBlue as part of a divided sale. It would also stop Delta from getting more of a very comfortable and competitive aircraft at a cheap price. Further, United's legacy birds cannot financially compete with the A220, they're just not in the same league for operating costs. its not like there’s a significant savings costs wise operating a smaller Narrowbody like a A220-300, A319/320, 737-7/8 vs a Max-9, A321. Also you are limiting and capping revenue potential across the network introducing a small narrowbody unless there’s a intention of using them to replace RJ flying…. They want more seats to spread those higher costs around and have the opportunity to grab higher revenue across the network vs matching capacity to select few markets… There’s a reason why A321, Max-9, Max-10 have sold and are selling like hot cakes and A220-100/300, A319, A320, 737-7,-8 sales have stalled out…. |
Originally Posted by Swakid8
(Post 4023332)
There’s a reason why A321, Max-9, Max-10 have sold and are selling like hot cakes and A220-100/300, A319, A320, 737-7,-8 sales have stalled out….
But short-body 73X and 32x don't sell because longer versions on the same wing are lower cost If you fundamentally decide you need a 100-150 seat airplane ... something designed for that makes sense. If you're looking at a 150-200 seat airplane, all 200's make sense. |
Originally Posted by VacancyBid
(Post 4023339)
If you fundamentally decide you need a 100-150 seat airplane ... something designed for that makes sense. If you're looking at a 150-200 seat airplane, all 200's make sense.
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Originally Posted by Hedley
(Post 4023349)
I think that’s the issue. They have decided that they really don’t want anything for the 100-150 seat market.
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United hasn’t ordered a plane with less than 166 seats in decades. That’s not going to change now. The MAX 8 will be the smallest A/C in the mainline fleet once the 319/320 -700 are retired.
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Originally Posted by JimmyDean
(Post 4023570)
United hasn’t ordered a plane with less than 166 seats in decades. That’s not going to change now. The MAX 8 will be the smallest A/C in the mainline fleet once the 319/320 -700 are retired.
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Straight from the founder of B6: UA is not interested
https://viewfromthewing.com/jetblue-...y-will-buy-it/ |
Originally Posted by kangs
(Post 4024069)
Straight from the founder of B6: UA is not interested
https://viewfromthewing.com/jetblue-...y-will-buy-it/ |
Originally Posted by jdavk
(Post 4024073)
Which just means that the probability of it actually happening are now very high! ;)
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Originally Posted by kangs
(Post 4024069)
Straight from the founder of B6: UA is not interested
https://viewfromthewing.com/jetblue-...y-will-buy-it/ He is just angry that B6 can't acquire Breeze, which was his whole intention of starting Breeze just so he could come back and control what he founded. "Neeleman never fails"...some Blue Juicers (Jetblue company cool aid guys) say.......which is only true if you don't count his failures. His whole "success" formula only works with cheap, at-will labor. |
Originally Posted by kangs
(Post 4024069)
Straight from the founder of B6: UA is not interested
https://viewfromthewing.com/jetblue-...y-will-buy-it/ |
Originally Posted by Flyby1206
(Post 4024149)
UA not interested in JBs debt. There are ways to remedy that, mainly a prepackaged Ch11 filing with UA as a DIP provider and post-BK merger partner. The process would take 4-6mo allowing enough time for DOJ/DOT review under this current administration. I think the biggest hurdle to this plan would be Icahn/Galkin who own a combined ~18% of JBLU stock and would be wiped out during a Ch11 scenario.
SK wants very certain B6 assets that cannot be achieved through a merger. Spirit likely to liquidate this year and best case scenario for UA or any other major would be B6 going Ch7 asap to divvy up the assets. |
Originally Posted by Ripinpeace
(Post 4024241)
B6 has around $9B in debt. Optimistically, they can maybe wipe out $3B, maybe $4B? That’s still $5-6B of debt. Add up all the M&A costs UA would have to shell of their own pocket to integrate every single part of B6 over multiple years (that could otherwise be done organically). Onboarding a whole new fleet of A220’s alone is a costly endeavor. Re-painting & re-configuring too. How many times now has SK openly put down the idea of a merger? Several times now.
SK wants very certain B6 assets that cannot be achieved through a merger. Spirit likely to liquidate this year and best case scenario for UA or any other major would be B6 going Ch7 asap to divvy up the assets. |
Originally Posted by LifetimeCFI
(Post 4024245)
I agree. I think Bastion largely pointed to the consolidation to come largely being focused among the smaller players, I don't think any legacies will be outright merging with or acquiring any of the distressed or smaller players. I think it's more likely that one or more of Southwest, B6, F9, and AS are involved in mergers or acquisitions with each other or with carriers like Breeze. The leisure/VFR/economy stuff is beyond saturated, and that's where my unintelligent guess would be as for where consolidation is focused.
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While in an acquisition of B6 by UAL, I will most likely have depression and suicidal thoughts or actions…..so I’ll talk to my doctor before taking Cymbalta……but one silver lining is we may actually start flying the Airbus…….the way an Airbus is supposed to be flown and not making up our own way ……which not only is annoying but kind of borderline unprofessional
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Originally Posted by 11atsomto
(Post 4024587)
While in an acquisition of B6 by UAL, I will most likely have depression and suicidal thoughts or actions…..so I’ll talk to my doctor before taking Cymbalta……but one silver lining is we may actually start flying the Airbus…….the way an Airbus is supposed to be flown and not making up our own way ……which not only is annoying but kind of borderline unprofessional
By the way are you from Missouri? |
Originally Posted by jdt30
(Post 4024593)
you should have stayed there.
I've been at United long enough to get used to it. Doesn't mean it's the best way. I love when an FM revision comes out, and during the town hall, where the genesis of the changes is referenced. Recommendations from the manufacturer (Airbus) is like always the last.....I think that says it all. I will not reveal where I am from, but know that it is not Missouri. |
Originally Posted by 11atsomto
(Post 4024601)
Your response is the classic knee jerk response that anyone old and senior says when an improvement and/or enhancement either operational or contractual exists in the industry pointed out by someone less senior. I mean I get it, it will hurt your ego too much to admit there might be validity to it.
I've been at United long enough to get used to it. Doesn't mean it's the best way. I love when an FM revision comes out, and during the town hall, where the genesis of the changes is referenced. Recommendations from the manufacturer (Airbus) is like always the last.....I think that says it all. I will not reveal where I am from, but know that it is not Missouri. I didn’t like it when they started making us fly Boeings like the Airbus, but it’s much easier when you transition to another fleet. The major problem I have with your post is calling it unprofessional to fly the Airbus the way the United FM states. I hate flying with old people that always say “this isn’t how we did it at” My ego gets left at home when I’m flying. |
Originally Posted by jdt30
(Post 4024607)
i realized it was knee jerk so I deleted it.
I didn’t like it when they started making us fly Boeings like the Airbus, but it’s much easier when you transition to another fleet. The major problem I have with your post is calling it unprofessional to fly the Airbus the way the United FM states. I hate flying with old people that always say “this isn’t how we did it at” My ego gets left at home when I’m flying. My criticism mainly is with the fact our policies are so unique and exceptional compared to almost all Airbus operators. My hypothesis for this is that I think this stems from at some time (potentially still) a lot of people high up in TK and in maintenance are of the “if it’s not Boeing, I’m not going” faith, and are also likely to think that all Airbus is all garbage and “stupid French”, “freakin Metric system” types…which is an ok opinion to have but that bias has found its way into official company policy. |
Originally Posted by 11atsomto
(Post 4024613)
Right, well certainly we (line pilots) flying it the way the FM states is not unprofessional, it’s what we are supposed to do.
My criticism mainly is with the fact our policies are so unique and exceptional compared to almost all Airbus operators. My hypothesis for this is that I think this stems from at some time (potentially still) a lot of people high up in TK and in maintenance are of the “if it’s not Boeing, I’m not going” faith, and are also likely to think that all Airbus is all garbage and “stupid French”, “freakin Metroc system” types…..which is an ok opinion to have but that bias has found its way into official company policy. just talked to a friend at Delta. He said they are slowly transitioning back to flying the Airbus like an Airbus. |
Originally Posted by 11atsomto
(Post 4024613)
Right, well certainly we (line pilots) flying it the way the FM states is not unprofessional, it’s what we are supposed to do.
My criticism mainly is with the fact our policies are so unique and exceptional compared to almost all Airbus operators. My hypothesis for this is that I think this stems from at some time (potentially still) a lot of people high up in TK and in maintenance are of the “if it’s not Boeing, I’m not going” faith, and are also likely to think that all Airbus is all garbage and “stupid French”, “freakin Metric system” types…which is an ok opinion to have but that bias has found its way into official company policy. |
Originally Posted by ThumbsUp;[url=tel:4024617
4024617[/url]]Fleet harmonization. It’s not hypothetical.
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Originally Posted by 11atsomto
(Post 4024587)
……but one silver lining is we may actually start flying the Airbus…….the way an Airbus is supposed to be flown and not making up our own way ……which not only is annoying but kind of borderline unprofessional
Please, give us some examples on how to fly the Airbus "professionally"... |
Originally Posted by libertyrisk
(Post 4024622)
lol gross... if anyone from TK reads this please keep these people out of the Airbus training dept.
Please, give us some examples on how to fly the Airbus "professionally"... |
Originally Posted by 11atsomto
(Post 4024623)
Airbus FCOM
Since all the hiring after covid I have flown with a lot of Airbus folks formally at JB, Spirit, Frontier, Allegiant and International and it's been great for the most part. I've even learned some stuff from those folks. The hardest to fly with have your mindset... "UA flies the Airbus wrong" ... na dude, I'm flying it per UA standards, I'm good. |
Originally Posted by libertyrisk
(Post 4024630)
I'm looking super hard at FOM chapter 1 section 20 and I don't see anything about "Airbus FICOM" ... so, if we are flying the plane per UAs standards, how is that "borderline unprofessional"? Give some examples...
Since all the hiring after covid I have flown with a lot of Airbus folks formally at JB, Spirit, Frontier, Allegiant and International and it's been great for the most part. I've even learned some stuff from those folks. The hardest to fly with have your mindset... "UA flies the Airbus wrong" ... na dude, I'm flying it per UA standards, I'm good. Do you really NOT know what the Airbus FCOM is?......it's ok if you don't but it would surprise me. Have you ever wondered why all that inhibition logic is based on 80 knots?.......It's ok if you haven't Again I know my lines in the script so I can produce a great performance with the other actors in our theatre company..........but I think the adaption of our play might just be a little different than what the original playwright had in mind. Sorry if pointing this out makes people feel uncomfortable. |
Originally Posted by Grumble
(Post 4024621)
It’s stupid, and Airbus makes a fantastic airplane.
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