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Short Bus Drive 10-30-2013 05:19 PM

Snapshot
 
Can anyone explain the latest snapshot?
756 EWR has over 100%?

APC225 10-30-2013 05:34 PM


Originally Posted by Short Bus Drive (Post 1510551)
Can anyone explain the latest snapshot?
756 EWR has over 100%?

Might be overstaffed. But if you're talking about captains, 38 of the 329 are SUP/LTA/RET=11%. Snapshot shows 111%. Take out the SUP/LTA/RET and you've got 100%. This is very similar to other equipment as well.

Lerxst 10-30-2013 05:44 PM

See the note at the top of the page:

Base %'s are now based on the Bulletin's posted MIN's. As a result, some pilots may exceed 100%.

EWR 756 FO is staffed at 451 with a min of 361 and a max of 451.

Short Bus Drive 10-30-2013 07:06 PM

OK.Thanks.

pilotgolfer 10-31-2013 05:53 AM


Originally Posted by Lerxst (Post 1510569)
See the note at the top of the page:

Base %'s are now based on the Bulletin's posted MIN's. As a result, some pilots may exceed 100%.

EWR 756 FO is staffed at 451 with a min of 361 and a max of 451.


Doesn't this method conflict with the way that people bid for percentages in base? If you say you want to be in a base at 70% to ensure that you are a lineholder...the numbers don't match up. For example, in November I'm at around 80% on 756 in EWR but according to the snapshot, I would be at 101%. There weren't that many people senior to me bid into the BES.

Zoomie 10-31-2013 08:23 AM


Originally Posted by pilotgolfer (Post 1510773)
Doesn't this method conflict with the way that people bid for percentages in base? If you say you want to be in a base at 70% to ensure that you are a lineholder...the numbers don't match up. For example, in November I'm at around 80% on 756 in EWR but according to the snapshot, I would be at 101%. There weren't that many people senior to me bid into the BES.

That's why the "snapshot" is just an "estimate" of where you would be. When the actual bid comes out, no one will be above 100% in base since the result will have the actual as the denominator. In the snapshot, the min number is the denominator. However, you won't ever be able to bid "into" a base that is showing over 100% staffing unless there are enough pilots that bid out of that base during the vacancy to bring the base to 100% - 1 pilot or more, thus creating the vacancy.

If you notice all of the bases with 100% plus are "overstaffed to the max" number on the bid sheet. The company is trying to minimize staffing in those bases through attrition (movement or retirements).

The end game here has us with only 9616 pilots per this bid. Right now it's less expensive to overstaff rather than do a displacement bid. Also, we don't have the means to do all the training required for new hires and displacements simultaneously.

Although we're "hiring" off the street right now, take a look at the min numbers on these last 2 vacancy bids. A better term would be "optimum" instead of "min" in that column.

If you notice, a base that is growing like 787 LAX or ORD747 will always have max and min equal. That's because it's growing. Those bases where the "actual" and "max" are equal, means that base is set to shrink because the company can fill the schedule with the min pilots according to their manpower model.

We're just playing musical chairs at the moment. All these retirements we thought were going to move up in reality will just amount to stagnation since many of the retirement positions are currently being shrunk through attrition.

pilotgolfer 10-31-2013 08:38 AM


Originally Posted by Zoomie (Post 1510890)
That's why the "snapshot" is just an "estimate" of where you would be. When the actual bid comes out, no one will be above 100% in base since the result will have the actual as the denominator. In the snapshot, the min number is the denominator. However, you won't ever be able to bid "into" a base that is showing over 100% staffing unless there are enough pilots that bid out of that base during the vacancy to bring the base to 100% - 1 pilot or more, thus creating the vacancy.

If you notice all of the bases with 100% plus are "overstaffed to the max" number on the bid sheet. The company is trying to minimize staffing in those bases through attrition (movement or retirements).

The end game here has us with only 9616 pilots per this bid. Right now it's less expensive to overstaff rather than do a displacement bid. Also, we don't have the means to do all the training required for new hires and displacements simultaneously.

Although we're "hiring" off the street right now, take a look at the min numbers on these last 2 vacancy bids. A better term would be "optimum" instead of "min" in that column.

If you notice, a base that is growing like 787 LAX or ORD747 will always have max and min equal. That's because it's growing. Those bases where the "actual" and "max" are equal, means that base is set to shrink because the company can fill the schedule with the min pilots according to their manpower model.

We're just playing musical chairs at the moment. All these retirements we thought were going to move up in reality will just amount to stagnation since many of the retirement positions are currently being shrunk through attrition.


The last vacancy bid showed 10 unfilled A320 FO slots in DCA. As of this bid, those vacancies were not assigned to any new hires yet. I'm curious why those vacancies are not reflected in this bid. I wonder if they have new hire names penciled into those slots...they just haven't been hired yet??

LifeNtheFstLne 10-31-2013 08:59 AM

Pilotgolfer- New hires cannot be assigned anything that everyone else doesn't have the opportunity to bid on first.

LAX Pilot 10-31-2013 09:51 AM


Originally Posted by pilotgolfer (Post 1510773)
Doesn't this method conflict with the way that people bid for percentages in base? If you say you want to be in a base at 70% to ensure that you are a lineholder...the numbers don't match up. For example, in November I'm at around 80% on 756 in EWR but according to the snapshot, I would be at 101%. There weren't that many people senior to me bid into the BES.

The percentage is a joke because you can't really be at 101%. If you are last you are at 100%

Its like the CAL MC trying to put some United pilots at 117% for SLI saying that they were moving up by being stapled because they would end up less than 100%.

The bottom line is you are X out of Y total pilots, and X can't exceed Y for obvious reasons.

LeeMat 10-31-2013 09:55 AM


Originally Posted by LifeNtheFstLne (Post 1510915)
Pilotgolfer- New hires cannot be assigned anything that everyone else doesn't have the opportunity to bid on first.

Unfilled Vacancies!


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