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baseball 03-29-2016 04:42 AM


Originally Posted by Flytolive (Post 2098492)
Here is a link to the top 9 executives at Delta Airlines.

Delta Leadership : Delta Air Lines

Only one, Glen Hauenstein, was at CAL during Bethune's tenure. Who are the other 7 'key decision makers'?

between 2004 and 2007 there were some financial pieces written about the defection over to Delta. I will see if I can find them. It's been a few years and many may have moved on.

Glen Hauenstein was the network guru over at CAL. Now he's the revenue guy. He was a big player.

Ben Hirst comes to mind as well.

There are some other people within the operation at Delta that may not be wearing a suit and tie every day. I recall some folks at Tech Ops who were pretty talented.

Flytolive 03-30-2016 05:16 AM


Originally Posted by baseball (Post 2098661)
Ben Hirst comes to mind as well.

Ben Hirst was the general counsel (not key decision makers at airlines) at CAL for only four years. He left for Northwest where his tenure was twice as long prior to the Delta merger. Who were the other six 'key decision makers'?

El10 03-30-2016 07:15 AM


Originally Posted by Flytolive (Post 2099509)
Ben Hirst was the general counsel (not key decision makers at airlines) at CAL for only four years. He left for Northwest where his tenure was twice as long prior to the Delta merger. Who were the other six 'key decision makers'?

There was Mike Campbell who was known for his ability to neuter unions.

Andy 03-30-2016 08:34 AM


Originally Posted by baseball (Post 2098480)
I am fairly certain that all investors are in it for the money. And all big investors are in it for the big money. All Institutional investors are in it for insane amounts of money.

They own both a piece of Delta and a piece of United strictly because of two factors: one United route network and two Delta's management team. For United they believe the route network is very strong and would be a formidable force to reckon with if higher PRASM's can be realized off those routes. On the Delta front, they know the top 8 managers from Gordon Bethune's turn-a-round of Continental are key decision makers at DAL and they are betting they will keep that airline efficient and competitive.

Since they aren't going "all in" on one airline over another, they are simply content to make a butt-load of cash from both. Too risky putting all their eggs in one airline basket.

If they can be successful in putting up candidates for each board they will be more likely to invest more money in both. This gives them "hedges" against their cash positions in being comfortable with the decision-making skills of their candidates.

It's sort of like Obama putting up an ultra liberal judge for Supreme Court. Obama doesn't have to wonder how that person will rule on abortion or other liberal special interests.

hedge funds and other institutional investment firms seem to do this allot at publicly traded companies when large sums of money are in play.

Baseball, the key players that turned around Continental are Brenneman and Bonderman. Neither are at Delta. Brenneman's Chairman of CCMP Capital. Bonderman's still a partner at TPG Capital. Bethune's performance at Aloha proves he's not the talent.

And let's not forget that United and Delta are tremendously more complicated beasts than Continental ever was.

As far as diversifying their bets, that's not true of Altimeter Capital. They've now got ~40% of their investments in United Airlines. Sure there's the other 60% mixed among other companies, but Brad Gerstner's making a huge bet on United. Here's a post where I've documented PAR and Altimeter's position in United:


Originally Posted by Andy (Post 2087842)
I dug through Altimeter and PAR's SEC filings and have compiled a history of their holdings in United. I've only gone back as far as 12/31/2011. Here are the links to the SEC filings:
https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001541617&type=&dateb =&owner=include&count=100
https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001051359&owner=inclu de&count=40&hidefilings=0
https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?CIK=0001066867&action=getcompany

Altimeter Capital Management, LP
12/31/2011 2,359,108 SH
3/31/2012 1,406,553 SH (remained same until 12/31/2012)
12/31/2012 178,302 SH
3/31/2013 514,502 SH
6/30/2013 2,195,145 SH
9/30/2013 2,895,745 SH
12/31/2013 1,980,538 SH
3/31/2014 2,053,621 SH
6/30/2014 2,549,680 SH
9/30/2014 2,866,645 SH
12/31/2014 4,812,903 SH
3/31/2015 4,480,179 SH
6/30/2015
4,748,637 SH
9/30/2015 9,300,000 SH
12/31/2015 10,650,000 SH
3/8/2016 11,509,268 SH
PAR Capital Management Inc/PAR Investment Partners LP
No shares owned until 9/30/2014 filing
9/30/2014 800,000 SH
12/31/2014 1,805,000 SH
3/31/2015 1,885,000 SH
6/30/2015 2,642,632 SH
9/30/2015 5,380,000 SH
12/31/2015
6,423,600 SH
3/8/2016 14,389,711 SH


Based on the purchase dates, I suspect that this scheme has been planned since late 2014.

If you dig through Altimeter's quarterly filings, you'll see the size each holding represents within each fund. 13F Manager Holdings - Altimeter Capital Management, LLC
Brad Gerstner of Altimeter likes to make outsized bets with OPM (Other Peoples' Money). If his hedge fund blows up, he can close its doors and start over. If the bets pay off, he collects outsized management fees.

Regularguy 03-30-2016 03:21 PM

The real question you all should be asking is, why do these guys want control of the board?

The stock price by itself is rather limited so that can't be the real thing they want to affect.

My list of possible scenarios are:

1. They want to force a cash settlement to go away.
2. They could actually sell off parts of the route system for cash.
3. They just love the fight.

In it all I think we can all agree they really don't want to run an airline.

Flytolive 03-30-2016 03:41 PM


Originally Posted by Regularguy (Post 2099995)
...why do these guys want control of the board?

The stock price by itself is rather limited so that can't be the real thing they want to affect.

My list of possible scenarios are:

1. They want to force a cash settlement to go away.
2. They could actually sell off parts of the route system for cash.
3. They just love the fight.

In it all I think we can all agree they really don't want to run an airline.

4. More share repurchases AAL, DAL & SWA
5. Dividends like AAL, DAL & SWA

sleeves 03-30-2016 06:15 PM


Originally Posted by Andy (Post 2099680)
Baseball, the key players that turned around Continental are Brenneman and Bonderman. Neither are at Delta. Brenneman's Chairman of CCMP Capital. Bonderman's still a partner at TPG Capital. Bethune's performance at Aloha proves he's not the talent.

And let's not forget that United and Delta are tremendously more complicated beasts than Continental ever was.

As far as diversifying their bets, that's not true of Altimeter Capital. They've now got ~40% of their investments in United Airlines. Sure there's the other 60% mixed among other companies, but Brad Gerstner's making a huge bet on United. Here's a post where I've documented PAR and Altimeter's position in United:



If you dig through Altimeter's quarterly filings, you'll see the size each holding represents within each fund. 13F Manager Holdings - Altimeter Capital Management, LLC
Brad Gerstner of Altimeter likes to make outsized bets with OPM (Other Peoples' Money). If his hedge fund blows up, he can close its doors and start over. If the bets pay off, he collects outsized management fees.

Bondermen and Brenneman were definitely players but Bethune definitely played a major role. Brenneman left after only a couple of years. The biggest thing both Bonderman, Bethune and to a lesser degree Brenneman did was to bring in talented people and let them run their side of things. Larry Kellner was a great finance guy, and still is. He was a great pick for that position and an ok CEO. Smicek while a terrible CEO, was a great lawyer. Bethune and Bondermen were able to assemble a very talented MGT. team and then let them excell in their field. That was really Continentals strength, not one or 2 stars. As Jeff found out, that does not work so well.

As far as the new Delta and United being much more complicated, I just don't see it.

baseball 03-30-2016 06:17 PM


Originally Posted by Flytolive (Post 2099509)
Ben Hirst was the general counsel (not key decision makers at airlines) at CAL for only four years. He left for Northwest where his tenure was twice as long prior to the Delta merger. Who were the other six 'key decision makers'?

I don't recall that. The name Jennifer Vogel comes to mind when I think of Gen Cnsl.

baseball 03-30-2016 06:20 PM

B and B were the big brains, but the guys that did the work and got things done were the "8 Amigo's." Bethune trusted 8 guys to get the grunt work done. It's a cool skill-set to be able to take what Bethune wanted done, and get B and B to hammer it out behind the scenes and then have 8 or so of your trusted agents to get things implemented on the operational side. Brennaman and Bonderman wouldn't get their hands dirty or attend middle management meetings.

Flytolive 03-31-2016 04:40 AM


Originally Posted by baseball (Post 2100117)
...the guys that did the work and got things done were the "8 Amigo's."

Any luck finding the 8 eight key decision makers who are running Delta who have the confidence of the hedge funds?


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