Originally Posted by
stbloc
Because I'm an analyst for a firm. Just because what I say doesn't mean it's going to happen. I look at all the facts and previous ventures and apply logic. Thats what I do but now however I want to go back and fly again. I'm sorry if said some information that ruffled some feathers. Just people need to understand the facts. As you know i'm a big opponent to going to Eagle although I would go if no other airline gave me an opportunity. Just make sure you have an exit plan at all times. This new AE is about a 50/50 chance it will work out for most new hires. You know they run fleet totally obsolete. So unless they have any replacement insight I wouldn't plan any growth here. The only event that will provide pilots moving up is the flow up. But the real question is how fast can they flow up while parking 135's in the desert. That's why is say 50/50. To many varibles to get a clear picture right now. And a AMR BK, all bets and contracts are off with AE. you are at the mercy of the courts and they will get those obsolete planes parked overnight.
if you're as good a pilot as an analyst, do us a favor... don't return to flying.
lets assume for a moment that all the majors will be hiring in huge numbers starting over the next year or two.... then lets assume that the majority of these new hires are going to come from the regionals... and most - but not all - of them from the left seat at the regionals.
Now, every regional is going to have tons of guys bailing for greener pastures.... which means the new guys will all be moving up that much sooner... except, at Eagle guys will also be moving on up to AA as well as bailing for other carriers... so, it stands to reason more guys will be leaving from Eagle than from say TSA or PNCL simply due to the extra opportunities....
all of which means the new kids get into the left seat faster at Eagle than anyplace else.... get their turbine PIC sooner and can then bail for a major sooner than the next guy.... or, if they choose... they can sit back being a senior CA in just a few short years and wait for a walk on job at AA without jumping through any hoops as a backup plan.