Originally Posted by
FL510
When I first read the post title it brought me back to May 29, 1973. I know I read a post with the exact same title back then, something about a pilot shortage. Oh wait, Al Gore hadn't invented the internet yet...never mind.
My point is that this subject has been talked about for as long as I've been in aviation. There are two things I have never seen in my lifetime, a unicorn and a pilot shortage!
What he said.
Ain't gonna happen.
Hint: Next time it looks like The Shortage is happening, better cash out your stocks, 'cause pilot hiring frenzy ALWAYS predicts the impending economic crash. (Or in one case the President bypasses due process and with the stroke of a pen increases retirement age 5 years - didn't see that one coming, did ya?...)
The forty-some years I've seen has always been like that. There's always something that derails it, some sinister (airline lobbyists getting the laws changed) but mostly just economics.
Moral of the story: Don't bet on it. (Bet against it and you'll probably get a lot richer.)