Originally Posted by rickt86

if it can hold out 5 more years, it wont matter because a huge shake out of movement will happen. If people want to admit it or not, the hard numbers have been posted on here, you have upwards of 40,000 retirements coming over the next two decades, with a good chunk of that in the next 5-8 years. I dont think there are even 40,000 pilots at the rj level. Weed out the idiots, weirdos, drunks, wife hitters, felons, crooks, and check ride flunky frequenters and your pool drys up more. This isnt any new knowledge.

The question on the airplane numbers is, AA is looking at up to 375 regional jets, Eagle has 250, your all thinking they can shrink 50 more planes and bid out 175, all in the next 3 years. This would be a stand alone picture, but IDK, its a rough market. I still think they want to spin this company off, and let it go to town on the free market of regionals. Its claimed to be the most profitable regional, and that's factoring in an industry average fee for departure rate.

EF how do you come up with 10 airlines, since there are only about 4 holding companies left that can bid for AA/USair flying. Transtates holding (TSA/Compass/blowjets), Skywest Holdings (skywest/asa/expressjet), and Rah (republic/shuttle/chq). PNCL is out of the game and is basically a unit of delta, and air willy is out of the came and is basically a unit of us air. Mesa is the only other player. You have some turbo prop units, but that is all I can think of. They can come up with all the funny names they want, some of which are thanks to AA to begin with, actually most are, ie at TSA and RAH. You got 4 players left anymore, RAH, Skyw, and Mesa, thats it. If the majors start hiring you got 3 companies that cant staff their flying.