There is no way under current industry staus-quo that that many pilots could be found next year.

Only way it happens: Eagle cuts/furloughs, Xjet cuts/furloughs, Pinnacle out of business...

So, churn of pilots already in the system is the only hiring solution.

The kids aren't showing up for this crap anymore. They can't make sense of how to pay for it, pay it back, or live on it after hired.