By this same logic, no one has career expectations. God forbid something occurs tomorrow and United decides they need to park half the fleet and furlough half the pilots. No one could realistically hope their employer will be around forever. For the first time in 5 years United pilots begin retiring today. Unless you want to make the claim that United was going to liquidate (not likely with billions in the bank), even with zero growth you can easily see that all of the pilots that have a desire to return, would have been recalled in the next few years. I would imagine no more than half of the 1437 will return. This is what has Pierce grasping at straws such as LOA 25, pay banding and keeping United pilots at CAL from getting over $750 in pay on the first of the month even though they are earning close to ten times that. A furloughed United pilot flying at CAL does better on two of the three required considerations for an SLI, career expectations and longevity. It is up to the arbitrator to way each one, but they are instructed to consider these along with status and category. As I have posted before, my classmate was set to be number one on the list for a long time. We both have around 1650 CAL pilots that were hired after us. If you take out our time on furlough as well as their time on furlough, you would still have 1625 CAL pilots that have less longevity and arguably lesser career expectations based on the disparity in the number of wide bodies. What is fair?