Originally Posted by
ShyGuy
A wind-down would have taken at least 12 months. 65% of the pilot group will be furloughed (or gone - attrition) within the next 12-24 months. It seems no matter which way this TA went, the die is already cast for 65% of the pilots.
It isnt that simple. We arent losing 140 airplanes overnight. The latest projections still have us possibly having up to 60 200s 2 years from now. The exit schedule for them is based on when the engine mx comes up. They arent all at the same time. There will be overlap between 900s arriving and 200s leaving. The latest projections accounting for the SSP, retirements and attrition is less than 100 now. At some point hiring may even be necessary. So while 65% of the pilots currently on the list may not be here in a couple of years, they will not be involuntarily furloughed most likely.