Hi am a pilot in the pool. I looked at this sight when I was trying to decide if this was a good choice (currently a captain at a NY based airline that flies 320 and 190). I found this sight to be helpful. This guy assumes everyone will work until retirement age (historical average and data based on age 60 retirement says that retirements over 15 years will happen in 10). If you assume the no growth numbers a new hire in 2028 would be 30%. If you use historical numbers that would be by 2023. That is unbelievable consider the last 12 years everyone has went through. Hope this decade is better than the last.