UAL Pilot Staffing
07-30-2013 | 12:40 PM
#1
Thread Starter
Peace Love Understanding
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 1,040
Likes: 0
From: Airbus
UAL Pilot Staffing
Interesting site. He uses some publicly available data and generates future UAL pilot staffing. This was from Feb 2012, so I'm not sure if the new contract or new FAA regs fit into this. He claims UAL is understaffed by 600+ pilots. Not sure when that is.
It also uses known aircraft deliveries and retirements.
There is also an interesting seniority calculator. When I put hired in 2013 it said pilots hired this year would hit the 50% overall seniority in just 12 years!
United Airlines - Audries Aircraft Analysis
It also uses known aircraft deliveries and retirements.
There is also an interesting seniority calculator. When I put hired in 2013 it said pilots hired this year would hit the 50% overall seniority in just 12 years!
United Airlines - Audries Aircraft Analysis
07-30-2013 | 01:53 PM
#2
Line Holder
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 407
Likes: 5
From: A320 FO
Hi am a pilot in the pool. I looked at this sight when I was trying to decide if this was a good choice (currently a captain at a NY based airline that flies 320 and 190). I found this sight to be helpful. This guy assumes everyone will work until retirement age (historical average and data based on age 60 retirement says that retirements over 15 years will happen in 10). If you assume the no growth numbers a new hire in 2028 would be 30%. If you use historical numbers that would be by 2023. That is unbelievable consider the last 12 years everyone has went through. Hope this decade is better than the last.
07-30-2013 | 03:23 PM
#4
Line Holder
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,725
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From: UAL retired
Well considering in the first year he is off by 12 aircraft and his pilot count suggests an over staff situation of (16.5 x 12) + 161 = 359 but the airline is hiring, I would say this individua'ls work is more than worthless.
07-30-2013 | 03:25 PM
#5
Thread Starter
Peace Love Understanding
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 1,040
Likes: 0
From: Airbus
07-31-2013 | 03:36 AM
#7
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 424
Likes: 0
From: FO
I agree it's potentially very good news
07-31-2013 | 07:04 AM
#8
Banned
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 364
Likes: 0
From: next to chronic complainers...
He is also suggesting that airline is under stuffed by 667; we already hired over 550 pilots since last year and will be hiring 48 a month.
His fleet numbers are off, 757-200, 737-900 and A350s
As always, the only constant in airline business is change.
His fleet numbers are off, 757-200, 737-900 and A350s
As always, the only constant in airline business is change.
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