Originally Posted by
prior121
There are going to be a TON of 50 seaters parked over the next 5-10 years. Yeah mainline is ordering a lot of large RJs but I really bet it will still be a wash or possibly less Regional Aircraft flying around.
Expressjet has what 500 50 seaters, What about Skywest?
PSA? Republic? Air Wisky? Lots of news of large RJ orders but don't forget all these 50 seaters that are on their way out....
Assume 1-for-2 swap of new 70's for old 50's to be the norm.
That means everybody on average will see a loss of airframes equal to 50% of their 50-seat inventory.
Some may do better, some may do worse, but that's probably an accurate number across the industry. There will be a few niche markets where 50-seaters will linger
The only way to do better than that is growth (little if any expected), or taking flying from other regionals. I suspect the PCL and PSA situations will be the trend-setters for the next decade.