Old 12-30-2013 | 08:55 AM
  #56  
Bzzt
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Originally Posted by Packrat
Except the RJ guys who lose their jobs. Everyone seems to think they'll automatically get a mainline job. In actuality, its MAYBE a 10% shot at best.

It sounds good that DAL is hiring 600 pilots next year. How many apps? 10,000? That's a 6% shot.

UCAL/AA the same number? That's an 18% shot.

Ask yourself this...would you go all-in in a poker tourney if you only had a 6% shot at getting the card you need?
Considering every legacy is saying they have 10000 qualified apps on file tells me they have a lot of common apps. Take your number of 600 multiply 3 and you get 1800 new hires in a year. Add that to the LLCs, cargo, etc. and that applicant pool is going to dry up awfully fast.

I'm not an optimist but this is math.
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