And, thus, we have the problem of too many pilots chasing too few jobs. The 10,000 app answer was the same in 1984, "we have to get hired, they'll run out of pilots". No matter how you slice it, a thin minority, 15% at most, will get mainline legacy jobs. Look who is getting hired now--flows and ex-mil guys with beaucoup squares filled--SQ DO, safety, IP/SEFEs. I've been around since the '70s, it's a small group that gets hired at majors, the rest fly at regionals, corporates, freight ( not FDX, UPS, either).

GF